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  • Severe windstorm for S England 09 Jan

    From N_Cook@diverse@tcp.co.uk to uk.sci.weather on Sat Jan 3 13:14:55 2026
    From Newsgroup: uk.sci.weather

    Concensus among the models, except for a rogue datapoint presumably
    getting into the met. start condition of the 00Z run models
    GFS 06Z gives sustained 70mph along the English Channel which ,if it
    came about, would lead to a century record flood tide for whoever the
    surge coincides with the high tide pulse, only just off peak of spring
    tides.
    --
    Global sea level rise to 2100 from curve-fitted existing altimetry data <http://diverse.4mg.com/slr.htm>
    --- Synchronet 3.21a-Linux NewsLink 1.2
  • From N_Cook@diverse@tcp.co.uk to uk.sci.weather on Mon Jan 5 15:26:55 2026
    From Newsgroup: uk.sci.weather

    On 03/01/2026 13:14, N_Cook wrote:
    Concensus among the models, except for a rogue datapoint presumably
    getting into the met. start condition of the 00Z run models
    GFS 06Z gives sustained 70mph along the English Channel which ,if it
    came about, would lead to a century record flood tide for whoever the
    surge coincides with the high tide pulse, only just off peak of spring
    tides.


    After divergence, maybe coming together for sustained 60mph or more
    along the Eng Channel coincident with the high tidal pulse along the
    channel 08/09 over midnight.
    GFS windswathe as-is like GEM and NAVGEM, MetO if 20 miles more south,
    ECMWF if 20 miles more north.
    --
    Global sea level rise to 2100 from curve-fitted existing altimetry data <http://diverse.4mg.com/slr.htm>
    --- Synchronet 3.21a-Linux NewsLink 1.2
  • From N_Cook@diverse@tcp.co.uk to uk.sci.weather on Thu Jan 8 09:37:24 2026
    From Newsgroup: uk.sci.weather

    Shipping forecast giving a rare Beaufort (sustained, not gusts) Forve 11
    in the Eng Channel. Luckily high tide at any south coast site is later
    than peak surge at that site
    --
    Global sea level rise to 2100 from curve-fitted existing altimetry data <http://diverse.4mg.com/slr.htm>
    --- Synchronet 3.21a-Linux NewsLink 1.2