From Newsgroup: uk.sci.weather

Concensus among the models, except for a rogue datapoint presumably
getting into the met. start condition of the 00Z run models
GFS 06Z gives sustained 70mph along the English Channel which ,if it
came about, would lead to a century record flood tide for whoever the
surge coincides with the high tide pulse, only just off peak of spring
tides.
--
Global sea level rise to 2100 from curve-fitted existing altimetry data <http://diverse.4mg.com/slr.htm>
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From Newsgroup: uk.sci.weather

On 03/01/2026 13:14, N_Cook wrote:

Concensus among the models, except for a rogue datapoint presumably
getting into the met. start condition of the 00Z run models
GFS 06Z gives sustained 70mph along the English Channel which ,if it
came about, would lead to a century record flood tide for whoever the
surge coincides with the high tide pulse, only just off peak of spring
tides.

After divergence, maybe coming together for sustained 60mph or more
along the Eng Channel coincident with the high tidal pulse along the
channel 08/09 over midnight.
GFS windswathe as-is like GEM and NAVGEM, MetO if 20 miles more south,
ECMWF if 20 miles more north.
--
Global sea level rise to 2100 from curve-fitted existing altimetry data <http://diverse.4mg.com/slr.htm>
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From Newsgroup: uk.sci.weather

Shipping forecast giving a rare Beaufort (sustained, not gusts) Forve 11
in the Eng Channel. Luckily high tide at any south coast site is later
than peak surge at that site
--
Global sea level rise to 2100 from curve-fitted existing altimetry data <http://diverse.4mg.com/slr.htm>
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