From Newsgroup: uk.d-i-y

Why are these coming from the Met Office, rather than NESO?
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From Newsgroup: uk.d-i-y

On 24/06/2026 06:41, Andy Burns wrote:

Why are these coming from the Met Office, rather than NESO?

Perhaps because they have a very low threshold for making alarming predictions? Every time there is the slightest sprinkling of snow in
winter they issue terrible warnings about travel disruption, almost all
of which don't come to pass.
--
Clive Page

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From Newsgroup: uk.d-i-y

On 24/06/2026 06:41, Andy Burns wrote:

Why are these coming from the Met Office, rather than NESO?

Presumably because the Met Office knows where lightning is likely, not
NESO. And they may have an inkling where over reliance on solar energy
will put the grid at risk
--
"Socialist governments traditionally do make a financial mess. They
always run out of other people's money. It's quite a characteristic of them"

Margaret Thatcher

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From Newsgroup: uk.d-i-y

On 24/06/2026 09:56, Clive Page wrote:

On 24/06/2026 06:41, Andy Burns wrote:

Why are these coming from the Met Office, rather than NESO?

Perhaps because they have a very low threshold for making alarming predictions?-a-a Every time there is the slightest sprinkling of snow in winter they issue terrible warnings about travel disruption, almost all
of which don't come to pass.

And current weather is merely pleasant, not 'dangerously hot'

Though the humidity is higher than I would like
Not everyday one can sit naked in front of a computer with a window open.
--
"Socialist governments traditionally do make a financial mess. They
always run out of other people's money. It's quite a characteristic of them"

Margaret Thatcher

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From Newsgroup: uk.d-i-y

On Wed, 24 Jun 2026 11:49:32 +0100, The Natural Philosopher wrote:

On 24/06/2026 09:56, Clive Page wrote:

On 24/06/2026 06:41, Andy Burns wrote:

Why are these coming from the Met Office, rather than NESO?

Perhaps because they have a very low threshold for making alarming
predictions?-a-a Every time there is the slightest sprinkling of snow in
winter they issue terrible warnings about travel disruption, almost all
of which don't come to pass.

And current weather is merely pleasant, not 'dangerously hot'

Though the humidity is higher than I would like Not everyday one can sit naked in front of a computer with a window open.

And that m'Lud concludes the case for the defence.
--
AMD FX-6300 in GA-990X-Gaming SLI-CF running Windows 10 x64

--
This email has been checked for viruses by Avast antivirus software. www.avast.com
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From Newsgroup: uk.d-i-y

On 24/06/2026 12:00, David wrote:

On Wed, 24 Jun 2026 11:49:32 +0100, The Natural Philosopher wrote:

On 24/06/2026 09:56, Clive Page wrote:

On 24/06/2026 06:41, Andy Burns wrote:

Why are these coming from the Met Office, rather than NESO?

Perhaps because they have a very low threshold for making alarming
predictions?-a-a Every time there is the slightest sprinkling of snow in >>> winter they issue terrible warnings about travel disruption, almost all
of which don't come to pass.

And current weather is merely pleasant, not 'dangerously hot'

Though the humidity is higher than I would like Not everyday one can sit
naked in front of a computer with a window open.

And that m'Lud concludes the case for the defence.

LOL!

Good thing no one is within half a mile of said window
--
rCLThere are two ways to be fooled. One is to believe what isnrCOt true; the other is to refuse to believe what is true.rCY

rCoSoren Kierkegaard

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From Newsgroup: uk.d-i-y

The Natural Philosopher wrote:

Andy Burns wrote:

Why are these coming from the Met Office, rather than NESO?

Presumably because the Met Office knows where lightning is likely, not
NESO. And they may have an inkling where over reliance on solar energy
will put the grid at risk

They are billed as "due to heat" rather than specifically to lightning.
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From Newsgroup: uk.d-i-y

On 24/06/2026 12:13, Andy Burns wrote:

The Natural Philosopher wrote:

Andy Burns wrote:

Why are these coming from the Met Office, rather than NESO?

Presumably because the Met Office knows where lightning is likely, not
NESO. And they may have an inkling where over reliance on solar energy
will put the grid at risk

They are billed as "due to heat" rather than specifically to lightning.

Mmm. Sagging overhead cables perhaps?
--
rCLPeople believe certain stories because everyone important tells them,
and people tell those stories because everyone important believes them. Indeed, when a conventional wisdom is at its fullest strength, onerCOs agreement with that conventional wisdom becomes almost a litmus test of onerCOs suitability to be taken seriously.rCY

Paul Krugman

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From Newsgroup: uk.d-i-y

The Natural Philosopher wrote:

Andy Burns wrote:

The Natural Philosopher wrote:

Andy Burns wrote:

-aWhy are these coming from the Met Office, rather than NESO?

Presumably because the Met Office knows where lightning is likely,
not NESO. And they may have an inkling where over reliance on solar
energy will put the grid at risk

They are billed as "due to heat" rather than specifically to lightning.

Mmm. Sagging overhead cables perhaps

The local rags love running scary headlines

"powercut warnings for these 71 locations"

But all I can see on the meto's own site is a generic warning

"High risk of failure of heat-sensitive systems and equipment,
with the loss of power and other essential services, such as
water, electricity, gas or mobile phone services"
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From Newsgroup: uk.d-i-y

The Natural Philosopher <tnp@invalid.invalid> wrote:

On 24/06/2026 09:56, Clive Page wrote:

On 24/06/2026 06:41, Andy Burns wrote:

Why are these coming from the Met Office, rather than NESO?

Perhaps because they have a very low threshold for making alarming
predictions?-a-a Every time there is the slightest sprinkling of snow in
winter they issue terrible warnings about travel disruption, almost all
of which don't come to pass.

And current weather is merely pleasant, not 'dangerously hot'

Though the humidity is higher than I would like
Not everyday one can sit naked in front of a computer with a window open.

Must make doing that clip for Pornhub far easier.

GH

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From Newsgroup: uk.d-i-y

On 24/06/2026 14:15, Marland wrote:

The Natural Philosopher <tnp@invalid.invalid> wrote:

On 24/06/2026 09:56, Clive Page wrote:

On 24/06/2026 06:41, Andy Burns wrote:

Why are these coming from the Met Office, rather than NESO?

Perhaps because they have a very low threshold for making alarming
predictions?-a-a Every time there is the slightest sprinkling of snow in >>> winter they issue terrible warnings about travel disruption, almost all
of which don't come to pass.

And current weather is merely pleasant, not 'dangerously hot'

Though the humidity is higher than I would like
Not everyday one can sit naked in front of a computer with a window open.

Must make doing that clip for Pornhub far easier.

Sorry, but nothing about my ageing body is in the slightest bit erotic.

The girls are far more likely to reach for a cold Pym's cup than my
shrunken limp organ...

GH

--
There is something fascinating about science. One gets such wholesale
returns of conjecture out of such a trifling investment of fact.

Mark Twain

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From Newsgroup: uk.d-i-y

On Wed, 24 Jun 2026 12:13:16 +0100
Andy Burns <usenet@andyburns.uk> wrote:

The Natural Philosopher wrote:

Andy Burns wrote:

Why are these coming from the Met Office, rather than NESO?

Presumably because the Met Office knows where lightning is likely,
not NESO. And they may have an inkling where over reliance on solar
energy will put the grid at risk

They are billed as "due to heat" rather than specifically to
lightning.

Lightning is a function of very high rainfall, and any kind of
precipitation is extremely difficult to forecast. I can't imagine a
useful lightning forecast can be made.
--
Joe

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From Newsgroup: uk.d-i-y

On 24/06/2026 15:14, Joe wrote:

On Wed, 24 Jun 2026 12:13:16 +0100
Andy Burns <usenet@andyburns.uk> wrote:

The Natural Philosopher wrote:

Andy Burns wrote:
>> Why are these coming from the Met Office, rather than NESO?

Presumably because the Met Office knows where lightning is likely,
not NESO. And they may have an inkling where over reliance on solar
energy will put the grid at risk

They are billed as "due to heat" rather than specifically to
lightning.

Lightning is a function of very high rainfall, and any kind of
precipitation is extremely difficult to forecast. I can't imagine a
useful lightning forecast can be made.

Can and is, especially in the short term (next 12 hours)

Now you cannot say exactly where a storm will form (as in Lynmouth
1952*), but you can say 'general likelihood of storms high'

Right now the rain radar shows a small frontal system off the west of
ireland. That MIGHT be storms in Ulster later on

And the south of england and wails is showing very light precipitation,
that might build up later.

https://www.netweather.tv/live-weather/radar
(Although they claim no data is being received? Odd)


Here in east anglia it's clear skies,but excessively humid. Almost cold
beer humid, and that just needs a bit of cold air sliding underneath to
let all hell loose

I was brought up on these, and this shows that there are fronts around
and some lows over Biscay and Iberia.

All conditions that usually end in a bit of a bang

Air this warm and moist is inherently unstable.


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5SAbMtJiFes

This is latest met office preachings

No immediate sign of storms...at leats in the south east.
By the way the you tube channel from the Met is thankfully devoid of
nearly all climate change propaganda and sensationalism. Yes, it's going
to be a week in the 30-#C plus area for the 'beautiful south'

But then, it was, in 1976, too

Right Tortilla, salsa and beer, and pretend i am in Mexico....


* "On 15 and 16 August 1952, a storm of tropical intensity broke over south-west England, depositing 229 millimetres (9.0 in) of rain within
24 hours on the already saturated soil of Exmoor, Devon. It is thought
that a cold front scooped up a thunderstorm, and the orographic effect worsened the storm. Debris-laden floodwaters cascaded down the northern escarpment of the moor, converging upon the village of Lynmouth; in particular, in the upper West Lyn valley, fallen trees and other debris
formed a dam, which in due course gave way, sending a huge wave of water
and debris down the river. "
--
In todays liberal progressive conflict-free education system, everyone
gets full Marx.

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From Newsgroup: uk.d-i-y

On 24/06/2026 12:14, The Natural Philosopher wrote:

On 24/06/2026 12:13, Andy Burns wrote:

The Natural Philosopher wrote:

Andy Burns wrote:

Why are these coming from the Met Office, rather than NESO?

Presumably because the Met Office knows where lightning is likely,
not NESO. And they may have an inkling where over reliance on solar
energy will put the grid at risk

They are billed as "due to heat" rather than specifically to lightning.

Mmm. Sagging overhead cables perhaps?

excessive use of fans?
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From Newsgroup: uk.d-i-y

On 24/06/2026 17:30, Charles Hope wrote:

On 24/06/2026 12:14, The Natural Philosopher wrote:

On 24/06/2026 12:13, Andy Burns wrote:

The Natural Philosopher wrote:

Andy Burns wrote:

Why are these coming from the Met Office, rather than NESO?

Presumably because the Met Office knows where lightning is likely,
not NESO. And they may have an inkling where over reliance on solar
energy will put the grid at risk

They are billed as "due to heat" rather than specifically to lightning.

Mmm. Sagging overhead cables perhaps?

excessive use of fans?

Look summer electricity usage is way within winter limits and we have
the gas power stations to cover it.

Demand is a pissy 37GW and half of that is being covered by gas and nuclear. That cannot be the problem

It has to be heat affecting equipment and infrastructure. It does bad
things to overhead railway wires for example
--
rCLI know that most men, including those at ease with problems of the greatest complexity, can seldom accept even the simplest and most
obvious truth if it be such as would oblige them to admit the falsity of conclusions which they have delighted in explaining to colleagues, which
they have proudly taught to others, and which they have woven, thread by thread, into the fabric of their lives.rCY

rCo Leo Tolstoy

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From Newsgroup: uk.d-i-y

On 24/06/2026 16:30, Charles Hope wrote:

On 24/06/2026 12:14, The Natural Philosopher wrote:

On 24/06/2026 12:13, Andy Burns wrote:

The Natural Philosopher wrote:

Andy Burns wrote:

Why are these coming from the Met Office, rather than NESO?

Presumably because the Met Office knows where lightning is likely,
not NESO. And they may have an inkling where over reliance on solar
energy will put the grid at risk

They are billed as "due to heat" rather than specifically to lightning.

Mmm. Sagging overhead cables perhaps?

excessive use of fans?

Not here. Well they may get excessive use but they are powered by
portable solar panels.
--
Regards
wasbit
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From Newsgroup: uk.d-i-y

The Natural Philosopher <tnp@invalid.invalid> wrote:

* "On 15 and 16 August 1952, a storm of tropical intensity broke over south-west England, depositing 229 millimetres (9.0 in) of rain within
24 hours on the already saturated soil of Exmoor, Devon. It is thought
that a cold front scooped up a thunderstorm, and the orographic effect worsened the storm. Debris-laden floodwaters cascaded down the northern escarpment of the moor, converging upon the village of Lynmouth; in particular, in the upper West Lyn valley, fallen trees and other debris formed a dam, which in due course gave way, sending a huge wave of water
and debris down the river. "

It was bit of an unlucky choice of places for my parents to choose for
their Honeymoon,though fortunately they were staying in Parracombe
upstream from Lynmouth , even so someone died there.. The B+B was flooded
so they moved on to stay with relatives in another part of Devon.

GH
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