From Newsgroup: rec.sport.soccer

Waka waka!

Against all odds, South Africa are through, and will face Canada!

FT
CZE 0-3 MEX
RSA 1-0 KOR

Final standings:
MEX 9
RSA 4
KOR 3
CZE 1

Tchau!
Jesus Petry

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From Newsgroup: rec.sport.soccer

A collateral effect of today's results:

Bosnia are qualified, because they can't be overtaken by third place
teams of groups A (finished), C (finished), I (Senegal and Iraq can't
reach 4 points) and D (Paraguay and Australia can't both overtake them
with a draw because of Paraguay's GD).

-aTchau!
-aJesus Petry

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From Newsgroup: rec.sport.soccer

On Thu, 25 Jun 2026 00:11:35 -0300, Jesus Petry
<jesus.petry@gmail.com> wrote:

A collateral effect of today's results:

Bosnia are qualified, because they can't be overtaken by third place
teams of groups A (finished), C (finished), I (Senegal and Iraq can't
reach 4 points) and D (Paraguay and Australia can't both overtake them
with a draw because of Paraguay's GD).

Nice.

On the other hand, Scotland's situation is now pretty dire. I have
them at only 28% to advance, and that must be an upper bound, as it
doesn't take into account teams' incentives to target 4 points, or 3
points and a better GD than Scotland. I would put their real chances
at somewhere between 15 and 20 percent.

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From Newsgroup: rec.sport.soccer

On 25/06/2026 00:18, Futbolmetrix wrote:

On Thu, 25 Jun 2026 00:11:35 -0300, Jesus Petry
<jesus.petry@gmail.com> wrote:

A collateral effect of today's results:

Bosnia are qualified, because they can't be overtaken by third place
teams of groups A (finished), C (finished), I (Senegal and Iraq can't
reach 4 points) and D (Paraguay and Australia can't both overtake them
with a draw because of Paraguay's GD).

Nice.

On the other hand, Scotland's situation is now pretty dire. I have
them at only 28% to advance, and that must be an upper bound, as it
doesn't take into account teams' incentives to target 4 points, or 3
points and a better GD than Scotland. I would put their real chances
at somewhere between 15 and 20 percent.

Another thing determined by yesterday's results:

Since:
- 3rd of B is guaranteed to qualify;
- 3rd of C can't qualify if 3rd of A doesn't;
only 246 of the original 495 3rd place qualifiers permutations are
still possible.
In 245 of them, Bosnia play USA. In the other one (BEGHIJKL), they
play Germany (and USA play Senegal or Iraq).

Tchau!
Jesus Petry

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From Newsgroup: rec.sport.soccer

Futbolmetrix wrote:

On the other hand, Scotland's situation is now pretty dire.
I have them at only 28% to advance, and that must be an upper
bound, as it doesn't take into account teams' incentives to
target 4 points, or 3 points and a better GD than Scotland.
I would put their real chances at somewhere between 15 and 20
percent.

I agree with Steve Clarke - they're going home.

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From Newsgroup: rec.sport.soccer

On Thu, 25 Jun 2026 14:58:34 GMT, "Blueshirt" <blueshirt@indigo.news>
wrote:

Futbolmetrix wrote:

On the other hand, Scotland's situation is now pretty dire.
I have them at only 28% to advance, and that must be an upper
bound, as it doesn't take into account teams' incentives to
target 4 points, or 3 points and a better GD than Scotland.
I would put their real chances at somewhere between 15 and 20
percent.

I agree with Steve Clarke - they're going home.

And if the leader of the SophCon says that, it must be right!

Seriously, for Scotland to survive, it needs any 4 of the following
things to happen:

- Germany to not lose to Ecuador
- Sweden to lose to Japan by 4 goals or more
- Paraguay to lose to Australia by two goals or more
- Senegal to not beat Iraq
- Spain to beat Uruguay
- Egypt to beat Iran
- Ghana to beat Croatia by at least 3 goals
- DR Congo to not beat Uzbekistan
- Austria to beat Algeria by at least two goals

Individually, some of these events are somewhat likely, some less so.
But Scotland needs four of them. It just seems very tough.





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From Newsgroup: rec.sport.soccer

On 25/06/2026 05.02, Jesus Petry wrote:

Waka waka!

-aAgainst all odds, South Africa are through, and will face Canada!

-aFT
CZE 0-3 MEX
RSA 1-0 KOR

-aFinal standings:
MEX 9
RSA 4
KOR 3
CZE 1

Imagine going out in qualification against CZE. Must be humiliating.
It's even worse than going out against Scotland.

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From Newsgroup: rec.sport.soccer

On Thu, 25 Jun 2026 21:07:04 +0200, Jesper Lauridsen
<rorschak@stofanet.dk> wrote:

On 25/06/2026 05.02, Jesus Petry wrote:

Waka waka!

aAgainst all odds, South Africa are through, and will face Canada!

aFT
CZE 0-3 MEX
RSA 1-0 KOR

aFinal standings:
MEX 9
RSA 4
KOR 3
CZE 1

Imagine going out in qualification against CZE. Must be humiliating.
It's even worse than going out against Scotland.

Meanwhile, NOR and BIH through to the second round!


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From Newsgroup: rec.sport.soccer

Jesper Lauridsen <rorschak@stofanet.dk> wrote:

On 25/06/2026 05.02, Jesus Petry wrote:

Waka waka!

-aAgainst all odds, South Africa are through, and will face Canada!

-aFT
CZE 0-3 MEX
RSA 1-0 KOR

-aFinal standings:
MEX 9
RSA 4
KOR 3
CZE 1

Imagine going out in qualification against CZE. Must be humiliating.
It's even worse than going out against Scotland.

CanrCOt say that I didnrCOt think of that.
Denmark died for this?

Ciao,
Werner

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