• Unsophisticated Prediction Tiers Season 66 organizational thread

    From Futbolmetrix@futbolmetrix@yahoo.com to rec.sport.soccer on Sun May 3 22:31:50 2026
    From Newsgroup: rec.sport.soccer


    Season 66 tiers:

    Tier 1:
    --------
    Jesus
    Lleo
    Mark
    Werner Pichler


    Tier 2:
    -------
    The Doctor
    Jesper Lauridsen
    Blueshirt
    Futbolmetrix


    Tier 3
    ------
    MH
    milivella
    Homer Simmpson


    Questions:
    1) Do we start Season 66 right away, or do we wait until the beginning
    of the 2026-2027 season? We will only have a few matches of the
    traditional leagues, but then we will have to switch the the World
    Cup.

    2) Unfortunately Silver Skull disappeared, so he has forfeited his
    spot in UPT. Assuming nobody else joins, do we stick with an 11-team
    format, with only three teams in Tier 3? Drop Homer and move to 10
    teams (two tiers of 5?)? Add another bot (assuming no humans want to
    join) and stay with 12 teams?

    3) Lleo: pick two leagues.

    --- Synchronet 3.21f-Linux NewsLink 1.2
  • From doctor@doctor@doctor.nl2k.ab.ca (The Doctor) to rec.sport.soccer on Mon May 4 02:45:06 2026
    From Newsgroup: rec.sport.soccer

    In article <fq0gvk51qtfr4nr7r8dmmu4k6li4ck1df4@4ax.com>,
    Futbolmetrix <futbolmetrix@yahoo.com> wrote:

    Season 66 tiers:

    Tier 1:
    --------
    Jesus
    Lleo
    Mark
    Werner Pichler


    Tier 2:
    -------
    The Doctor
    Jesper Lauridsen
    Blueshirt
    Futbolmetrix


    Tier 3
    ------
    MH
    milivella
    Homer Simmpson


    Questions:
    1) Do we start Season 66 right away, or do we wait until the beginning
    of the 2026-2027 season? We will only have a few matches of the
    traditional leagues, but then we will have to switch the the World
    Cup.

    2) Unfortunately Silver Skull disappeared, so he has forfeited his
    spot in UPT. Assuming nobody else joins, do we stick with an 11-team
    format, with only three teams in Tier 3? Drop Homer and move to 10
    teams (two tiers of 5?)? Add another bot (assuming no humans want to
    join) and stay with 12 teams?

    3) Lleo: pick two leagues.


    Let us go World Cup!
    Also UEFA has 3 trophies we can all go for in the mean time.
    --
    Member - Liberal International This is doctor@nk.ca Ici doctor@nk.ca
    Yahweh, King & country!Never Satan President Republic!Beware AntiChrist rising! Look at Psalms 14 and 53 on Atheism ;
    All I want to hear from Jesus is WEll Done Good and Faithful Servant.
    --- Synchronet 3.21f-Linux NewsLink 1.2
  • From =?UTF-8?B?TGzDqW8=?=@llb.moura@gmail.com to rec.sport.soccer on Mon May 4 00:18:15 2026
    From Newsgroup: rec.sport.soccer

    On 03/05/2026 23:31, Futbolmetrix wrote:

    Season 66 tiers:

    Tier 1:
    --------
    Jesus
    Lleo
    Mark
    Werner Pichler


    Tier 2:
    -------
    The Doctor
    Jesper Lauridsen
    Blueshirt
    Futbolmetrix


    Tier 3
    ------
    MH
    milivella
    Homer Simmpson


    Questions:
    1) Do we start Season 66 right away, or do we wait until the beginning
    of the 2026-2027 season? We will only have a few matches of the
    traditional leagues, but then we will have to switch the the World
    Cup.


    I would be ok with either option, but the choice conditions my next answer.


    2) Unfortunately Silver Skull disappeared, so he has forfeited his
    spot in UPT. Assuming nobody else joins, do we stick with an 11-team
    format, with only three teams in Tier 3? Drop Homer and move to 10
    teams (two tiers of 5?)? Add another bot (assuming no humans want to
    join) and stay with 12 teams?


    Two tiers of five teams would mean 10 matchdays, which would probably
    work better if we wait for the 2026/27 season (or else you'd need to go
    a little deep into the WC, using its matches for about five or six UPT rounds). If we're starting Season 66 right away, perhaps it's better to
    either stick with 11 teams for now (if no one else joins, that is) or
    add a bot (though that's a bit more work for you as gamemaster), and for
    the next season we see what happens.


    3) Lleo: pick two leagues.


    I pick Spain and Italy.


    Best regards,

    Ll|-o
    --- Synchronet 3.21f-Linux NewsLink 1.2
  • From MH@MHnospam@ucalgary.ca to rec.sport.soccer on Mon May 4 07:45:57 2026
    From Newsgroup: rec.sport.soccer

    On 2026-05-03 20:31, Futbolmetrix wrote:

    Season 66 tiers:

    Tier 1:
    --------
    Jesus
    Lleo
    Mark
    Werner Pichler


    Tier 2:
    -------
    The Doctor
    Jesper Lauridsen
    Blueshirt
    Futbolmetrix


    Tier 3
    ------
    MH
    milivella
    Homer Simmpson


    Questions:
    1) Do we start Season 66 right away, or do we wait until the beginning
    of the 2026-2027 season? We will only have a few matches of the
    traditional leagues, but then we will have to switch the the World
    Cup.

    What leagues are continuing play during the world cup? There must be a
    few. There will be pre-world cup friendlies too


    2) Unfortunately Silver Skull disappeared, so he has forfeited his
    spot in UPT. Assuming nobody else joins, do we stick with an 11-team
    format, with only three teams in Tier 3? Drop Homer and move to 10
    teams (two tiers of 5?)? Add another bot (assuming no humans want to
    join) and stay with 12 teams?

    Stay with 12 teams, priority to new humans, bots if necessary but not necessarily bots.


    3) Lleo: pick two leagues.


    --- Synchronet 3.21f-Linux NewsLink 1.2
  • From Blueshirt@blueshirt@indigo.news to rec.sport.soccer on Mon May 4 17:42:55 2026
    From Newsgroup: rec.sport.soccer

    MH wrote:

    On 2026-05-03 20:31, Futbolmetrix wrote:

    2) Unfortunately Silver Skull disappeared, so he has
    forfeited his spot in UPT. Assuming nobody else joins, do
    we stick with an 11-team format, with only three teams in
    Tier 3? Drop Homer and move to 10 teams (two tiers of 5?)?
    Add another bot (assuming no humans want to join) and stay
    with 12 teams?

    Stay with 12 teams, priority to new humans, bots if necessary
    but not necessarily bots.

    I'll go with two tiers of five. (If nobody else has looked to
    join obviously)

    It could be like an Eastern/Western conference thing then... the
    top four teams of each tier can then "play-off" after the
    "regular season" has finished!

    :)
    --- Synchronet 3.21f-Linux NewsLink 1.2
  • From Futbolmetrix@futbolmetrix@yahoo.com to rec.sport.soccer on Tue May 5 10:51:56 2026
    From Newsgroup: rec.sport.soccer

    On Sun, 03 May 2026 22:31:50 -0400, Futbolmetrix
    <futbolmetrix@yahoo.com> wrote:



    Questions:
    1) Do we start Season 66 right away, or do we wait until the beginning
    of the 2026-2027 season? We will only have a few matches of the
    traditional leagues, but then we will have to switch the the World
    Cup.

    To give a bit more context on this, if we start next weekend (May
    16-17), the schedule will be something like this:

    Match Day 1: May 16-17 (all top leagues available)
    MD2 : May 23-24 (all top leagues available)
    MD3 : May 30-31 (Brasileirao, NWSL, UCL final, maybe some
    promotion/relegation playoffs?)
    MD4 : June 6-7 ??? (Maybe some pre-WC friendlies)
    MD5 : June 13-14 WC Round 1. Only one vaguely balanced match on the
    weekend (CIV-ECU), all the others very unbalanced. KOR-CZE on Thursday
    June 11 is probably the most balanced of the R1 matches
    MD6: June 20-21 WC Round 2. Same as above.

    It's not looking that good for MD5 and MD6, unless one does something
    like:

    Qatar - Switzerland

    1 (GD>=-1) if Qatar wins, draws or loses by no more than 1 goal
    X (GD=-2) Switzerland wins by exactly 2 goals
    2 (GD<=-3) Switzerland wins by 3 goals or more

    (Where you put the bar depends on the match, of course. And even in
    the above case I'm not sure whether the draw should be GD=-2 or GD=-1)



    2) Unfortunately Silver Skull disappeared, so he has forfeited his
    spot in UPT. Assuming nobody else joins, do we stick with an 11-team
    format, with only three teams in Tier 3? Drop Homer and move to 10
    teams (two tiers of 5?)? Add another bot (assuming no humans want to
    join) and stay with 12 teams?

    For reference, in seasons 59 and 60 we had 10 players, one tier with 4
    teams and two tiers with 3, and inter-tier matches. It kind of worked
    OK.



    3) Lleo: pick two leagues.


    --- Synchronet 3.21f-Linux NewsLink 1.2
  • From milivella@milivella@gmail.com to rec.sport.soccer on Tue May 5 21:17:42 2026
    From Newsgroup: rec.sport.soccer

    Futbolmetrix:

    1) Do we start Season 66 right away, or do we wait until the beginning
    of the 2026-2027 season? We will only have a few matches of the
    traditional leagues, but then we will have to switch the the World
    Cup.

    Either are fine to me. Light preference (let's say 0.5 vote) for waiting
    the beginning of next season.

    2) Unfortunately Silver Skull disappeared, so he has forfeited his
    spot in UPT. Assuming nobody else joins, do we stick with an 11-team
    format, with only three teams in Tier 3? Drop Homer and move to 10
    teams (two tiers of 5?)? Add another bot (assuming no humans want to
    join) and stay with 12 teams?

    How would a three-team Tier 3 work? One player rests each matchday? Or
    one plays two matches?

    Anyway, all options you listed are fine to me. No real preference.

    Thanks for managing the game!

    --
    Cheers
    milivella


    --- Synchronet 3.21f-Linux NewsLink 1.2
  • From milivella@milivella@gmail.com to rec.sport.soccer on Tue May 5 21:24:36 2026
    From Newsgroup: rec.sport.soccer

    MH:

    There will be pre-world cup friendlies too

    For what it's worth, I'm against using friendlies (or even end-of-season matches involving unmotivated clubs).

    --
    Cheers
    milivella
    --- Synchronet 3.21f-Linux NewsLink 1.2
  • From milivella@milivella@gmail.com to rec.sport.soccer on Tue May 5 21:36:50 2026
    From Newsgroup: rec.sport.soccer

    Futbolmetrix:

    It's not looking that good for MD5 and MD6, unless one does something
    like:

    Qatar - Switzerland

    1 (GD>=-1) if Qatar wins, draws or loses by no more than 1 goal
    X (GD=-2) Switzerland wins by exactly 2 goals
    2 (GD<=-3) Switzerland wins by 3 goals or more

    I am against this. Again, just my personal vote, but even without going
    full Mark, I think that the result of the team you pick should be your
    result. If they win, you win; if they draw, you draw; (would it be
    better to write "etc." or to spell the last option here?)

    I'd rather do something like:
    - three (equally) unbalanced matches
    - home player picks one team from the six (likely one of the three
    favorites)
    - away player pick one team (likely one of the remaining two favorites)
    - the valid match is the one with the highest goal difference for the
    picked team
    E.g.
    - Brazil-Oman; France-French Polynesia; Argentina-It... ehm, San Marino
    - Futbolmetrix picks France
    - milivella plays Brazil
    - Results: France 0-1 French Polynesia (GD -1); Brazil 0-0 Oman (GD 0)
    - The valid match is Brazil-Oman, so the final result is 0-0.
    Just an idea thought on the spot.

    --
    Cheers
    milivella
    --- Synchronet 3.21f-Linux NewsLink 1.2
  • From =?UTF-8?B?TGzDqW8=?=@llb.moura@gmail.com to rec.sport.soccer on Tue May 5 18:04:34 2026
    From Newsgroup: rec.sport.soccer

    On 05/05/2026 11:51, Futbolmetrix wrote:
    On Sun, 03 May 2026 22:31:50 -0400, Futbolmetrix
    <futbolmetrix@yahoo.com> wrote:



    Questions:
    1) Do we start Season 66 right away, or do we wait until the beginning
    of the 2026-2027 season? We will only have a few matches of the
    traditional leagues, but then we will have to switch the the World
    Cup.

    To give a bit more context on this, if we start next weekend (May
    16-17), the schedule will be something like this:

    Match Day 1: May 16-17 (all top leagues available)
    MD2 : May 23-24 (all top leagues available)
    MD3 : May 30-31 (Brasileirao, NWSL, UCL final, maybe some promotion/relegation playoffs?)
    MD4 : June 6-7 ??? (Maybe some pre-WC friendlies)
    MD5 : June 13-14 WC Round 1. Only one vaguely balanced match on the
    weekend (CIV-ECU), all the others very unbalanced. KOR-CZE on Thursday
    June 11 is probably the most balanced of the R1 matches
    MD6: June 20-21 WC Round 2. Same as above.


    Yeah, it looks quite tight indeed. I'm ok with waiting for next season,
    it's indeed looking like the better option I think. And who knows, if
    anyone actually joins the group during the WC we may eventually find the player we're missing for Tier 3 ->\_(paa)_/->


    Best regards,

    Ll|-o
    --- Synchronet 3.21f-Linux NewsLink 1.2
  • From Futbolmetrix@futbolmetrix@yahoo.com to rec.sport.soccer on Tue May 5 18:27:28 2026
    From Newsgroup: rec.sport.soccer

    On Tue, 5 May 2026 21:36:50 +0200, milivella <milivella@gmail.com>
    wrote:

    Futbolmetrix:

    It's not looking that good for MD5 and MD6, unless one does something
    like:

    Qatar - Switzerland

    1 (GD>=-1) if Qatar wins, draws or loses by no more than 1 goal
    X (GD=-2) Switzerland wins by exactly 2 goals
    2 (GD<=-3) Switzerland wins by 3 goals or more

    I am against this. Again, just my personal vote, but even without going
    full Mark, I think that the result of the team you pick should be your >result. If they win, you win; if they draw, you draw; (would it be
    better to write "etc." or to spell the last option here?)

    OK, but my proposal is essentially handicapping, which is a very
    common thing in this context
    --- Synchronet 3.21f-Linux NewsLink 1.2
  • From Blueshirt@blueshirt@indigo.news to rec.sport.soccer on Wed May 6 10:55:21 2026
    From Newsgroup: rec.sport.soccer

    milivella wrote:

    Futbolmetrix:

    It's not looking that good for MD5 and MD6, unless one does
    something like:

    Qatar - Switzerland

    1 (GD>=-1) if Qatar wins, draws or loses by no more than 1
    goal X (GD=-2) Switzerland wins by exactly 2 goals
    2 (GD<=-3) Switzerland wins by 3 goals or more

    I am against this. Again, just my personal vote, but even
    without going full Mark, I think that the result of the team
    you pick should be your result. If they win, you win; if they
    draw, you draw;

    Yeah, I think so... using a handicap system for an outright
    prediction competition seems a bit unfair.

    Imagine predicting a team to win, and they win, but you lose
    really as your team (that you predicted to win) didn't win by
    more than two goals! That's just stupid.
    --- Synchronet 3.21f-Linux NewsLink 1.2
  • From Mark@Pammiesheart@yahoo.co.uk to rec.sport.soccer on Wed May 6 15:08:19 2026
    From Newsgroup: rec.sport.soccer

    Futbolmetrix wrote:

    Questions:
    1) Do we start Season 66 right away, or do we wait until the beginning
    of the 2026-2027 season? We will only have a few matches of the
    traditional leagues, but then we will have to switch the the World
    Cup.

    I don't want to wait until the beginning of the 2026-2027 season.
    Having said that, I'm on holiday for the next 2 weeks from May 9, which complicates things for me as I've got no web-based way of accessing rss.

    I vote for starting the season in 2 weeeks time. (Or right away if
    that's not an option.) We don't have to have matches every week anyway;
    we can have some weeks off if necessary.

    2) Unfortunately Silver Skull disappeared, so he has forfeited his
    spot in UPT. Assuming nobody else joins, do we stick with an 11-team
    format, with only three teams in Tier 3? Drop Homer and move to 10
    teams (two tiers of 5?)? Add another bot (assuming no humans want to
    join) and stay with 12 teams?


    I vote for 2 tiers of 5.
    --- Synchronet 3.21f-Linux NewsLink 1.2
  • From Blueshirt@blueshirt@indigo.news to rec.sport.soccer on Wed May 6 16:11:17 2026
    From Newsgroup: rec.sport.soccer

    Mark wrote:

    Futbolmetrix wrote:

    Questions:
    1) Do we start Season 66 right away, or do we wait until the
    beginning of the 2026-2027 season? We will only have a few
    matches of the traditional leagues, but then we will have to
    switch the the World Cup.

    I don't want to wait until the beginning of the 2026-2027
    season.

    I reckon we should start next week.

    Having said that, I'm on holiday for the next 2 weeks
    from May 9, which complicates things for me as I've got
    no web-based way of accessing rss.

    Really? Oh, that's unfortunate.

    I vote for starting the season in 2 weeeks time. (Or right
    away if that's not an option.) We don't have to have matches
    every week anyway; we can have some weeks off if necessary.

    We're doing the vote thing again here?

    Damn! I can't even remember the result of the last one!

    2) Unfortunately Silver Skull disappeared, so he has
    forfeited his spot in UPT. Assuming nobody else joins, do we
    stick with an 11-team format, with only three teams in Tier
    3? Drop Homer and move to 10 teams (two tiers of 5?)? Add
    another bot (assuming no humans want to join) and stay with
    12 teams?

    I vote for 2 tiers of 5.

    Two tiers of five makes sense to me, as I already said.
    --- Synchronet 3.21f-Linux NewsLink 1.2
  • From Mark@Pammiesheart@yahoo.co.uk to rec.sport.soccer on Fri May 8 13:02:33 2026
    From Newsgroup: rec.sport.soccer

    Futbolmetrix wrote:


    1) Do we start Season 66 right away, or do we wait until the beginning
    of the 2026-2027 season? We will only have a few matches of the
    traditional leagues, but then we will have to switch the the World
    Cup.

    Just in case, here's my default picks for the first 2 weeks of the
    season while I'm not here:

    I pick whichever teams are highest in the League of the 2 teams in each
    match; and if they're not available or whatever, I pick the home team.
    I haven't thought it through any more than that as I don't know for
    sure that we will be starting next week.
    --- Synchronet 3.22a-Linux NewsLink 1.2
  • From Werner Pichler@wpichler@gmail.com to rec.sport.soccer on Sun May 10 14:21:16 2026
    From Newsgroup: rec.sport.soccer

    On 05/05/2026 16:51, Futbolmetrix wrote:
    On Sun, 03 May 2026 22:31:50 -0400, Futbolmetrix
    <futbolmetrix@yahoo.com> wrote:



    2) Unfortunately Silver Skull disappeared, so he has forfeited his
    spot in UPT. Assuming nobody else joins, do we stick with an 11-team
    format, with only three teams in Tier 3? Drop Homer and move to 10
    teams (two tiers of 5?)? Add another bot (assuming no humans want to
    join) and stay with 12 teams?

    For reference, in seasons 59 and 60 we had 10 players, one tier with 4
    teams and two tiers with 3, and inter-tier matches. It kind of worked
    OK.

    For the record, I wouldn't mind this at all, I agree that it worked
    quite well.


    Ciao,
    Werner
    --- Synchronet 3.22a-Linux NewsLink 1.2
  • From Futbolmetrix@futbolmetrix@yahoo.com to rec.sport.soccer on Sun May 10 15:48:53 2026
    From Newsgroup: rec.sport.soccer

    On Sun, 03 May 2026 22:31:50 -0400, Futbolmetrix
    <futbolmetrix@yahoo.com> wrote:

    Questions:
    1) Do we start Season 66 right away, or do we wait until the beginning
    of the 2026-2027 season? We will only have a few matches of the
    traditional leagues, but then we will have to switch the the World
    Cup.

    There was mixed support for starting Season 66 right away. Given the
    likely lack of matches during the WC period, I've decided that we will
    resume UPT after the WC.


    2) Unfortunately Silver Skull disappeared, so he has forfeited his
    spot in UPT. Assuming nobody else joins, do we stick with an 11-team
    format, with only three teams in Tier 3? Drop Homer and move to 10
    teams (two tiers of 5?)? Add another bot (assuming no humans want to
    join) and stay with 12 teams?

    Unless another human joins, we will kick out Homer, and have 10
    players. (Even though I'm tempted by the alternative to give ChatGPT a
    try: we can prompt him to pick teams in part based on actual
    probabilities of winning, and in part based on other factors (team
    colors, something interesting in the crest, famous past players, etc.)


    3) Lleo: pick two leagues.
    Currently, it's Italy and Spain. Depending on when we start, Lleo has
    the option to revise his picks.




    --- Synchronet 3.22a-Linux NewsLink 1.2
  • From MH@MHnospam@ucalgary.ca to rec.sport.soccer on Sun May 10 21:16:24 2026
    From Newsgroup: rec.sport.soccer

    On 2026-05-10 12:48, Futbolmetrix wrote:
    On Sun, 03 May 2026 22:31:50 -0400, Futbolmetrix
    <futbolmetrix@yahoo.com> wrote:

    Questions:
    1) Do we start Season 66 right away, or do we wait until the beginning
    of the 2026-2027 season? We will only have a few matches of the
    traditional leagues, but then we will have to switch the the World
    Cup.

    There was mixed support for starting Season 66 right away. Given the
    likely lack of matches during the WC period, I've decided that we will
    resume UPT after the WC.

    Good decision, O Wise and venerable gamemaster.



    2) Unfortunately Silver Skull disappeared, so he has forfeited his
    spot in UPT. Assuming nobody else joins, do we stick with an 11-team
    format, with only three teams in Tier 3? Drop Homer and move to 10
    teams (two tiers of 5?)? Add another bot (assuming no humans want to
    join) and stay with 12 teams?

    Unless another human joins, we will kick out Homer, and have 10
    players. (Even though I'm tempted by the alternative to give ChatGPT a
    try: we can prompt him to pick teams in part based on actual
    probabilities of winning, and in part based on other factors (team
    colors, something interesting in the crest, famous past players, etc.)

    With two tiers will we have cross-over matches (one per week for those
    who don't have an opponent within their tier) ?


    3) Lleo: pick two leagues.
    Currently, it's Italy and Spain. Depending on when we start, Lleo has
    the option to revise his picks.





    --- Synchronet 3.22a-Linux NewsLink 1.2
  • From milivella@milivella@gmail.com to rec.sport.soccer on Sun May 17 22:12:12 2026
    From Newsgroup: rec.sport.soccer

    Mark:

    Just in case, here's my default picks for the first 2 weeks of the
    season while I'm not here:

    I pick whichever teams are highest in the League of the 2 teams in each match; and if they're not available or whatever, I pick the home team.
    I haven't thought it through any more than that as I don't know for
    sure that we will be starting next week.

    Instructions for the assistant manager?

    --
    Cheers
    milivella
    --- Synchronet 3.22a-Linux NewsLink 1.2
  • From milivella@milivella@gmail.com to rec.sport.soccer on Sun May 17 22:23:48 2026
    From Newsgroup: rec.sport.soccer

    MH:

    With two tiers will we have cross-over matches (one per week for those
    who don't have an opponent within their tier) ?

    You mean I will play against a Tier 1 club?! I'm practically a Tier 1 player!!!

    --
    Cheers
    milivella
    --- Synchronet 3.22a-Linux NewsLink 1.2