• Because everyone would get this right

    From peps...@gmail.com@pepstein5@gmail.com to rec.games.backgammon on Tue Dec 19 10:49:50 2023
    From Newsgroup: rec.games.backgammon

    Titles of posts are meant to be brief.
    The full title of this one is:
    "I'm not posting this as a quiz question because everyone would
    get this right."
    I dropped correctly here and thought the drop was completely clear.
    I mean I need the combined parlay of getting a shot and hitting it.

    I am surprised though, that the pass is so marginal -- only a 0.04
    error. Clearly the match score has a lot to do with it.

    Paul

    XGID=-CABBCBAa------A------bef-:1:-1:-1:00:0:4:0:11:10
    X:XG Roller+ O:Daniel

    Score is X:4 O:0 11 pt.(s) match.
    +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
    | X O | | O O O O O O |
    | | | O O O O O |
    | | | O O |
    | | | |
    | | | |
    | |BAR| |
    | | | X 6 |
    | | | X X |
    | | | X X | +---+
    | | | X X X | | 2 |
    | O | | X X X | +---+
    +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
    Pip count X: 39 O: 68 X-O: 4-0/11
    Cube: 2, X own cube
    X on roll, cube action

    Analyzed in XG Roller+
    Player Winning Chances: 81.72% (G:0.23% B:0.00%)
    Opponent Winning Chances: 18.28% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)

    Cubeless Equities: No Double=+0.637, Double=+1.208

    Cubeful Equities:
    No redouble: +0.760 (-0.240)
    Redouble/Take: +1.041 (+0.041)
    Redouble/Pass: +1.000

    Best Cube action: Redouble / Pass

    eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2
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