• Which hit?

    From Timothy Chow@tchow12000@yahoo.com to rec.games.backgammon on Wed Dec 13 09:50:07 2023
    From Newsgroup: rec.games.backgammon

    XGID=---a-BDaB-B-bCA--c-bc-c-A-:0:0:1:21:0:0:0:0:10

    Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
    +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
    | X X O | | O O O X |
    | X O | | O O O |
    | X O | | O O |
    | | | |
    | | | |
    | |BAR| |
    | | | |
    | | | X |
    | | | X |
    | O X X | | X X |
    | O X X O | | X X O |
    +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
    Pip count X: 147 O: 126 X-O: 0-0
    Cube: 1
    X to play 21

    ---
    Tim Chow
    --- Synchronet 3.21b-Linux NewsLink 1.2
  • From Timothy Chow@tchow12000@yahoo.com to rec.games.backgammon on Fri Dec 15 09:40:09 2023
    From Newsgroup: rec.games.backgammon

    XGID=---a-BDaB-B-bCA--c-bc-c-A-:0:0:1:21:0:0:0:0:10

    Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
    +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
    | X X O | | O O O X |
    | X O | | O O O |
    | X O | | O O |
    | | | |
    | | | |
    | |BAR| |
    | | | |
    | | | X |
    | | | X |
    | O X X | | X X |
    | O X X O | | X X O |
    +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
    Pip count X: 147 O: 126 X-O: 0-0
    Cube: 1
    X to play 21

    I opted for 8/7*/5 to try to reduce my blot count, but it's about
    the same number of return shots either way and my 8pt is a valuable
    asset in this position.

    1. Rollout-| 10/7* eq:-0.215
    Player: 47.29% (G:13.13% B:0.66%)
    Opponent: 52.71% (G:26.13% B:2.35%)
    Confidence: -#0.016 (-0.230..-0.199) - [100.0%]

    2. Rollout-| 6/3* eq:-0.312 (-0.098)
    Player: 44.57% (G:12.86% B:0.70%)
    Opponent: 55.43% (G:25.71% B:1.56%)
    Confidence: -#0.015 (-0.327..-0.297) - [0.0%]

    3. Rollout-| 8/7* 7/5 eq:-0.316 (-0.101)
    Player: 44.02% (G:12.81% B:0.63%)
    Opponent: 55.98% (G:26.78% B:1.70%)
    Confidence: -#0.016 (-0.331..-0.300) - [0.0%]

    -| 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
    Dice Seed: 271828
    Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

    eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release

    ---
    Tim Chow
    --- Synchronet 3.21b-Linux NewsLink 1.2