• Pay now?

    From Timothy Chow@tchow12000@yahoo.com to rec.games.backgammon on Sat Mar 16 05:17:53 2024
    From Newsgroup: rec.games.backgammon

    XGID=-CCB-bBb----bE-----bbbba--:1:1:1:53:0:0:0:0:10

    Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
    +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
    | X | | O O O O O |
    | X | | O O O O |
    | X | | |
    | X | | |
    | X | | |
    | |BAR| |
    | | | |
    | | | |
    | | | X X | +---+
    | O O | | X O X X X | | 2 |
    | O O | | X O X X X | +---+
    +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
    Pip count X: 92 O: 140 X-O: 0-0
    Cube: 2, X own cube
    X to play 53

    ---
    Tim Chow
    --- Synchronet 3.21b-Linux NewsLink 1.2
  • From Timothy Chow@tchow12000@yahoo.com to rec.games.backgammon on Sun Mar 24 08:48:24 2024
    From Newsgroup: rec.games.backgammon

    XGID=-CCB-bBb----bE-----bbbba--:1:1:1:53:0:0:0:0:10

    Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
    +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
    | X | | O O O O O |
    | X | | O O O O |
    | X | | |
    | X | | |
    | X | | |
    | |BAR| |
    | | | |
    | | | |
    | | | X X | +---+
    | O O | | X O X X X | | 2 |
    | O O | | X O X X X | +---+
    +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
    Pip count X: 92 O: 140 X-O: 0-0
    Cube: 2, X own cube
    X to play 53

    6/3 6/1 is terribly ugly, but I thought that O's board was too strong
    to play 13/10 13/8. XG 3-ply agrees with 6/3 6/1, but a rollout
    overturns that verdict. Evidently, O's blot in her board is enough
    to swing the balance (see variant).

    1. Rollout-| 13/10 13/8 eq:-0.442
    Player: 31.48% (G:12.31% B:0.15%)
    Opponent: 68.52% (G:28.79% B:1.00%)
    Confidence: -#0.009 (-0.451..-0.433) - [100.0%]

    2. Rollout-| 6/3 6/1 eq:-0.585 (-0.143)
    Player: 28.35% (G:6.26% B:0.03%)
    Opponent: 71.65% (G:30.07% B:1.03%)
    Confidence: -#0.010 (-0.595..-0.575) - [0.0%]

    -| 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
    Dice Seed: 271828
    Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

    eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release

    -------
    Variant
    -------

    XGID=-CCB-bBb----bE-----cbbb---:1:1:1:53:0:0:0:0:10

    Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
    +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
    | X | | O O O O |
    | X | | O O O O |
    | X | | O |
    | X | | |
    | X | | |
    | |BAR| |
    | | | |
    | | | |
    | | | X X | +---+
    | O O | | X O X X X | | 2 |
    | O O | | X O X X X | +---+
    +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
    Pip count X: 92 O: 144 X-O: 0-0
    Cube: 2, X own cube
    X to play 53

    1. Rollout-| 6/3 6/1 eq:-0.599
    Player: 27.81% (G:6.71% B:0.03%)
    Opponent: 72.19% (G:30.23% B:1.18%)
    Confidence: -#0.010 (-0.609..-0.589) - [99.9%]

    2. Rollout-| 13/10 13/8 eq:-0.618 (-0.019)
    Player: 26.88% (G:7.12% B:0.06%)
    Opponent: 73.12% (G:30.85% B:1.10%)
    Confidence: -#0.008 (-0.626..-0.611) - [0.1%]

    -| 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
    Dice Seed: 271828
    Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

    eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release

    ---
    Tim Chow
    --- Synchronet 3.21b-Linux NewsLink 1.2