• Blitz cube action

    From Timothy Chow@tchow12000@yahoo.com to rec.games.backgammon on Sun Mar 10 18:17:12 2024
    From Newsgroup: rec.games.backgammon

    XGID=aA-B-BDbB---bB-A-bAcc-b---:0:0:1:00:0:0:0:0:10

    Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
    +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
    | X X O X | | O O O |
    | X O | | O O O |
    | | | O O |
    | | | |
    | | | |
    | |BAR| |
    | | O | |
    | | | X |
    | | | X |
    | O X O | | X X X |
    | O X O | | X X X X |
    +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
    Pip count X: 116 O: 142 X-O: 0-0
    Cube: 1
    X on roll, cube action

    ---
    Tim Chow
    --- Synchronet 3.21b-Linux NewsLink 1.2
  • From Timothy Chow@tchow12000@yahoo.com to rec.games.backgammon on Wed Mar 13 19:46:31 2024
    From Newsgroup: rec.games.backgammon

    XGID=aA-B-BDbB---bB-A-bAcc-b---:0:0:1:00:0:0:0:0:10

    Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
    +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
    | X X O X | | O O O |
    | X O | | O O O |
    | | | O O |
    | | | |
    | | | |
    | |BAR| |
    | | O | |
    | | | X |
    | | | X |
    | O X O | | X X X |
    | O X O | | X X X X |
    +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
    Pip count X: 116 O: 142 X-O: 0-0
    Cube: 1
    X on roll, cube action

    With 11 checkers in the zone and both back checkers escaped, X is
    doing pretty well and I thought this was a good double, and I wasn't
    even sure it was a take. However, XG says that it's not even a double.

    Analyzed in Rollout
    No double
    Player Winning Chances: 61.14% (G:24.75% B:0.52%)
    Opponent Winning Chances: 38.86% (G:11.59% B:0.52%)
    Double/Take
    Player Winning Chances: 61.31% (G:24.89% B:0.51%)
    Opponent Winning Chances: 38.69% (G:11.79% B:0.58%)

    Cubeful Equities:
    No double: +0.500
    Double/Take: +0.428 (-0.071)
    Double/Pass: +1.000 (+0.500)

    Best Cube action: No double / Take
    Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 12.4%

    Rollout:
    1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
    Dice Seed: 271828
    Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
    Confidence No Double: -# 0.012 (+0.487..+0.512)
    Confidence Double: -# 0.018 (+0.411..+0.446)

    eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release

    ---
    Tim Chow
    --- Synchronet 3.21b-Linux NewsLink 1.2