• What are your PR's for games won vs for games lost?

    From MK@murat@compuplus.net to rec.games.backgammon on Wed Jan 3 19:17:23 2024
    From Newsgroup: rec.games.backgammon

    I started this thread based on comments from another: https://groups.google.com/g/rec.games.backgammon/c/n0Xcxt5SliA/m/6EQdoSIVAAAJ On January 2, 2024 at 6:49:05rC>PM UTC-7, peps...@gmail.com wrote:
    I have just finished an 11 point match against XG where I had
    a PR of 2.01 I think the fact that this match was longer makes
    my achievement more impressive than yours.
    I lost the match 19-1 (over 5 games) so I don't think it would
    impress Murat.
    I may have impressed Murat by winning the previous 11 point
    match against XG but my PR in the match I won was horrible.
    I can't remember it but somewhere in the 8-9 range, I think.
    He won with a PR of 8 but he lost with a PR of 2. In other words,
    he lost while playing more "like the bot" but he won while playing
    more "unlike the bot". How interesting!
    Do you guys remember my having said many times over the years
    that you can't beat the bots at their own game, i.e. trying to play
    like the bots, but that you can beat them by playing unlike the bots.
    Now then, let's see... I'm sure many/most of you guys keep a good
    record of all the games you play against the bots. I'd bet Tim does,
    if nobody else.
    What would you guys guess you would see if you calculated your
    average PR's for only the games you won and for only the games
    you lost separately, to compare them?
    Doing this may require a little work but surely not excessive when
    considering the possible value of the discovery that you may make.
    Let's say as an example that you win 25% and lose 75% of the time.
    You may rarely achieve very low, perhaps 0, PR's while winning or
    losing, and eXtremely high PR's while winning or losing as well. It
    may help to discard the highest and lowest 5% of PR's both in the
    winning and losing categories.
    Do you think your winning and losing PR's will be the same or at
    least very close to your overall PR?
    God forbid, what if your winning PR comes out to be 7 (within 6-8
    range) and your losing PR comes out to be 3 (within 2-4 range)...?
    I'm just making up numbers for the sake of the argument but I'm
    sure at least 50% of you can understand what I'm getting at. And
    I bet none of you wouldn't dare find that out. ;)
    MK
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  • From Timothy Chow@tchow12000@yahoo.com to rec.games.backgammon on Thu Jan 4 08:26:46 2024
    From Newsgroup: rec.games.backgammon

    On 1/3/2024 10:17 PM, MK wrote:
    I bet none of you wouldn't dare find that out. ;)

    This sounds like a favorable bet to me. So if I understand
    correctly, if at least one person reading this doesn't dare
    to find out, then I win the bet?

    ---
    Tim Chow

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  • From Tim Chow@tchow12000@yahoo.com to rec.games.backgammon on Thu Jan 4 08:50:40 2024
    From Newsgroup: rec.games.backgammon

    On Wednesday, January 3, 2024 at 10:17:25rC>PM UTC-5, MK wrote:
    Do you think your winning and losing PR's will be the same or at
    least very close to your overall PR?
    Even if your "winning PR" is higher than your "losing PR," it doesn't necessarily mean that when you play with a higher PR, you're more likely to win.
    Here's an oversimplified example to illustrate the point. Suppose I play 25 games, and my PR in each game is either 3, 6, or 9. More precisely:
    PR = 3, win 1 game, lose 0 games
    PR = 6, win 1 game, lose 6 games
    PR = 9, win 8 games, lose 9 games
    Restricting attention to the 10 games that I won, my average PR is (3*1 + 6*1 + 9*8)/10 = 8.1.
    Restricting attention to the 15 games that I lost, my average PR is (3*0 + 6*6 + 9*9)/15 = 7.8.
    So my "winning PR" is higher than my "losing PR." But does that mean I'd rather play with a PR of 9 than a PR of 3? No. If I play with a PR of 9, then my winning percentage is 8/17, which is less than 50%, but if I play with a PR of 3, then I win 100% of the time.
    Of course this example is contrived, but it illustrates the difference between your expected PR conditional on winning, and your expected win rate conditional on your PR.
    ---
    Tim Chow
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  • From Axel Reichert@mail@axel-reichert.de to rec.games.backgammon on Thu Jan 4 23:19:31 2024
    From Newsgroup: rec.games.backgammon

    Tim Chow <tchow12000@yahoo.com> writes:

    On Wednesday, January 3, 2024 at 10:17:25rC>PM UTC-5, MK wrote:
    Do you think your winning and losing PR's will be the same or at
    least very close to your overall PR?

    Even if your "winning PR" is higher than your "losing PR," it doesn't necessarily mean that when you play with a higher PR, you're more
    likely to win.

    There is a nice article with some statistics done in R:

    http://freerangestats.info/blog/2016/03/19/elo-pr-luck

    Bottom line: I you are asked to predict the outcome of a game and may
    choose whether you are give the luck rating or the PR to do so, choose
    the luck rating.

    Best regards

    Axel
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  • From MK@murat@compuplus.net to rec.games.backgammon on Thu Jan 4 16:59:15 2024
    From Newsgroup: rec.games.backgammon

    On January 4, 2024 at 6:27:38rC>AM UTC-7, Timothy Chow wrote:
    On 1/3/2024 10:17 PM, MK wrote:
    I bet none of you wouldn't dare find that out. ;)
    So if I understand correctly, if at least one person
    reading this doesn't dare to find out, then I win the bet?
    Hmm, well, I'm not sure teacher. If two negatives
    make a positive, wouldn't it mean "all of you would
    dare"..? ;)
    MK
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  • From MK@murat@compuplus.net to rec.games.backgammon on Thu Jan 4 17:19:18 2024
    From Newsgroup: rec.games.backgammon

    On January 4, 2024 at 9:50:42rC>AM UTC-7, Tim Chow wrote:
    On January 3, 2024 at 10:17:25rC>PM UTC-5, MK wrote:
    Do you think your winning and losing PR's will be
    the same or at least very close to your overall PR?
    Even if your "winning PR" is higher than your "losing
    PR," it doesn't necessarily mean that when you play
    with a higher PR, you're more likely to win.
    Of course not but how does that relate to my point?
    Here's an oversimplified example to illustrate the point.
    Suppose I play 25 games, and my PR in each game is
    either 3, 6, or 9. More precisely:
    PR = 3, win 1 game, lose 0 games
    PR = 6, win 1 game, lose 6 games
    PR = 9, win 8 games, lose 9 games
    So my "winning PR" is higher than my "losing PR." But
    does that mean I'd rather play with a PR of 9 than a
    PR of 3? No.
    If higher PR meant more wins in the past, why wouldn't
    you keep doing what you have been doing?
    If I play with a PR of 9, then my winning percentage
    is 8/17, which is less than 50%, but if I play with a PR
    of 3, then I win 100% of the time.
    The point here is to compare two average PR's, one for
    games won, one for games lost; not to tally how many
    games you won or lost at a specific PR.
    In your above 25 games, you can end up with 25 unique
    PR's with two decimal accuracy. With a 4.61 PR, you may
    have played only one game and if you lost it, you would
    have lost 100% of the time. With a 7.19 PR, you may have
    played only one game and if you won it, you would have
    won 100% of the time. And so on...
    Of course this example is contrived, but it illustrates the
    difference between your expected PR conditional on
    winning, and your expected win rate conditional on your PR.
    It surely does not. I was about to say "you're no good logic
    and math; go back to correcting people's grammar errors",
    but you're no good at that either... :(
    MK
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  • From MK@murat@compuplus.net to rec.games.backgammon on Thu Jan 4 17:48:20 2024
    From Newsgroup: rec.games.backgammon

    On January 4, 2024 at 3:19:34rC>PM UTC-7, Axel Reichert wrote:
    Tim Chow <tchow...@yahoo.com> writes:
    On January 3, 2024 at 10:17:25rC>PM UTC-5, MK wrote:
    Do you think your winning and losing PR's will be
    the same or at least very close to your overall PR?
    Even if your "winning PR" is higher than your "losing
    PR," it doesn't necessarily mean that when you play
    with a higher PR, you're more likely to win.
    Bottom line: I you are asked to predict the outcome of
    a game and may choose whether you are give the luck
    rating or the PR to do so, choose the luck rating.
    While trying to approach from the opposite direction in
    believing that it will help you cling on to your dogmatic
    fallacies, both of you are actually supporting my point.
    If I tell you that a player has won the game and asked
    you whether you think he played with a low PR or he
    got lucky, per your above comments, you would choose
    that he got lucky.
    And that fits perfectly with the bots' calculations that
    the winner is almost always the luckier player, as it
    must be so in order to validate luck+skill=1 mathshit.
    Thus, the luckier winner will be the lesser skilled one
    with the higher PR.
    Since bots are perfect players with 0 PR, their opponents
    will almost always incur a higher PR, whether they win or
    lose. Then, the question is reduced to whether their PR's
    are the same, higher or lower when winning and losing.
    As they say: you can't have your PR and eat it too...
    MK
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  • From Timothy Chow@tchow12000@yahoo.com to rec.games.backgammon on Thu Jan 4 22:51:36 2024
    From Newsgroup: rec.games.backgammon

    On 1/4/2024 7:59 PM, MK wrote:
    On January 4, 2024 at 6:27:38rC>AM UTC-7, Timothy Chow wrote:

    On 1/3/2024 10:17 PM, MK wrote:

    I bet none of you wouldn't dare find that out. ;)

    So if I understand correctly, if at least one person
    reading this doesn't dare to find out, then I win the bet?

    Hmm, well, I'm not sure teacher. If two negatives
    make a positive, wouldn't it mean "all of you would
    dare"..? ;)

    Right! So you're betting that all of us would dare. If at least
    one of us doesn't dare, then I win the bet.

    ---
    Tim Chow

    --- Synchronet 3.21b-Linux NewsLink 1.2
  • From Timothy Chow@tchow12000@yahoo.com to rec.games.backgammon on Thu Jan 4 22:55:36 2024
    From Newsgroup: rec.games.backgammon

    On 1/4/2024 8:19 PM, MK wrote:
    The point here is to compare two average PR's, one for
    games won, one for games lost

    That's what I did. In my example, PR for games won was 8.1;
    PR for games lost was 7.8.

    ---
    Tim Chow
    --- Synchronet 3.21b-Linux NewsLink 1.2
  • From MK@murat@compuplus.net to rec.games.backgammon on Fri Jan 5 12:59:03 2024
    From Newsgroup: rec.games.backgammon

    On January 4, 2024 at 8:51:38rC>PM UTC-7, Timothy Chow wrote:
    On 1/4/2024 7:59 PM, MK wrote:
    Hmm, well, I'm not sure teacher. If two negatives
    make a positive, wouldn't it mean "all of you would
    dare"..? ;)
    Right! So you're betting that all of us would dare. If
    at least one of us doesn't dare, then I win the bet.
    You're unconfusable. :( Fair is fair, you win the bet
    and so does everyone for that matter.
    Even though, because of the way I play against the
    bots, my PR's wouldn't be meaningful in the same
    way as you people's, out of curiousity I calculated
    my PR's in my last 100 money games against XGR++
    (see https://montanaonline.net/backgammon/xg.php)
    Here are some stats:
    I won 33 games with an average PR of 16.83 and lost
    67 games with an average PR of 24.97.
    So my losing PR is the higher one but that's because
    I was trying to win more points than win more games
    by "losing low and winning high cubes". 27 of the 67
    games I lost were 1-point drops, mostly after only a
    few rolls into the game. with an average PR of 40.24.
    Amazingly, one of those incurred 0 PR! and another
    incurred 100 PR! :) The rest were between 9.94 and
    92.40 PR. In the end, I had managed to win 126 vs
    XGR++'s 119 points. So, if you want to win more than
    50% against the strongest bots, you may want to try
    a similar "buy low, sell high" cube strategy...
    What I always argue to be more interesting is how
    much I won compared to how much I should have
    won according to the bot, based on my error rate. In
    this case I won 7 point when I should have lost 107
    for a total surplus of 114 points in 100 money-games!
    which proves that, not only the bots aren't unbeatable,
    but also that your luck/skill/error/etc. calculations are
    totally unfounded/inaccurate pile of horse muffins.
    Now that I pawed the way, let's see if some of you
    will dare share your winning/losing PR numbers...?
    MK
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  • From MK@murat@compuplus.net to rec.games.backgammon on Fri Jan 5 13:02:43 2024
    From Newsgroup: rec.games.backgammon

    On January 4, 2024 at 8:55:39rC>PM UTC-7, Timothy Chow wrote:
    On 1/4/2024 8:19 PM, MK wrote:
    The point here is to compare two average PR's,
    one for games won, one for games lost
    That's what I did. In my example, PR for games
    won was 8.1; PR for games lost was 7.8.
    Okay, but you also added a bunch of other stuff to
    it and claimed that it proved something that it didn't.
    MK
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  • From Timothy Chow@tchow12000@yahoo.com to rec.games.backgammon on Sat Jan 6 16:23:22 2024
    From Newsgroup: rec.games.backgammon

    On 1/5/2024 4:02 PM, MK wrote:
    On January 4, 2024 at 8:55:39rC>PM UTC-7, Timothy Chow wrote:

    On 1/4/2024 8:19 PM, MK wrote:

    The point here is to compare two average PR's,
    one for games won, one for games lost

    That's what I did. In my example, PR for games
    won was 8.1; PR for games lost was 7.8.

    Okay, but you also added a bunch of other stuff to
    it and claimed that it proved something that it didn't.

    Specifically, which sentence that I wrote do you say is wrong?

    ---
    Tim Chow
    --- Synchronet 3.21b-Linux NewsLink 1.2
  • From MK@murat@compuplus.net to rec.games.backgammon on Sun Jan 7 02:08:27 2024
    From Newsgroup: rec.games.backgammon

    On January 6, 2024 at 2:23:25rC>PM UTC-7, Timothy Chow wrote:
    On 1/5/2024 4:02 PM, MK wrote:
    On January 4, 2024 at 8:55:39rC>PM UTC-7, Timothy Chow wrote:
    On 1/4/2024 8:19 PM, MK wrote:
    The point here is to compare two average PR's,
    one for games won, one for games lost
    That's what I did. In my example, PR for games
    won was 8.1; PR for games lost was 7.8.
    Okay, but you also added a bunch of other stuff to
    it and claimed that it proved something that it didn't.
    Specifically, which sentence that I wrote do you
    say is wrong?
    Okay, I will quote again and answer. You had said:
    PR = 3, win 1 game, lose 0 games
    PR = 6, win 1 game, lose 6 games
    PR = 9, win 8 games, lose 9 games
    Restricting attention to the 10 games that I won,
    my average PR is (3*1 + 6*1 + 9*8)/10 = 8.1.
    Restricting attention to the 15 games that I lost,
    my average PR is (3*0 + 6*6 + 9*9)/15 = 7.8.
    So my "winning PR" is higher than my "losing PR."
    Thus far, it's all good. You fall victim to you own
    fallacy when you ask and answer:
    But does that mean I'd rather play with a PR of 9
    than a PR of 3? No.
    Here you switched from average PR's to a specific
    pair of invidual PR's and tried to generalize but you
    can't generalize based on two arbitrarily picked PR's
    the same way you can do with two averages which
    are themselves generalized PR's for wins and losses.
    The logical question would be: "Does that mean I'd
    rather play with an average PR of 8.1 than an average
    PR of 7.8?" Then the answer would would be: "Yes".
    If I play with a PR of 9, then my winning percentage
    is 8/17, which is less than 50%, but if I play with a
    PR of 3, then I win 100% of the time.
    If you had lost the game you played with a PR of 3,
    then your average winning PR would be 8.666 and
    your average winning PR would be 7.5 and so your
    "winning PR would be higher than your losing PR"
    by even a wider margin, but then you would say that
    when you play with a PR of 3, you lose 100% of the
    time. There is no end to such illogical deduction...
    Of course this example is contrived, but it illustrates
    the difference between your expected PR conditional
    on winning, and your expected win rate conditional
    on your PR.
    Again, this is not true. PR is a result calculated based
    on the luck+skill=1 fallacy.
    So, if you tell me that you played 25 games and that
    in N1 of them your average PR was 8.1 and in N2 of
    them your average PR was 7.8, then ask me in which
    set I would "expect" you to have won more, I would
    say the set with the higher average PR.
    Similarly, if you tell me that you played 25 games and
    that you won 10 of them and that you lost 15 of them,
    then ask me in which set I would "expect" your average
    PR to be higher, I would say the set of 10 that you won.
    If you don't confuse apples and oranges, there is no
    difference between "PR conditional" and "win rate
    conditional", if you can ask the questions correctly.
    MK
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  • From Timothy Chow@tchow12000@yahoo.com to rec.games.backgammon on Mon Jan 8 09:02:12 2024
    From Newsgroup: rec.games.backgammon

    On 1/7/2024 5:08 AM, MK wrote:
    On January 6, 2024 at 2:23:25rC>PM UTC-7, Timothy Chow wrote:
    But does that mean I'd rather play with a PR of 9
    than a PR of 3? No.

    Here you switched from average PR's to a specific
    pair of invidual PR's and tried to generalize but you
    can't generalize based on two arbitrarily picked PR's
    the same way you can do with two averages which
    are themselves generalized PR's for wins and losses.

    I agree that one can't generalize. But in my original post,
    I did not attempt to generalize. I simply asked the question,
    does that mean I'd rather play with a PR of 9 than a PR of 3?
    And the correct answer to that question is no, as I said.

    If I play with a PR of 9, then my winning percentage
    is 8/17, which is less than 50%, but if I play with a
    PR of 3, then I win 100% of the time.

    If you had lost the game you played with a PR of 3,
    then your average winning PR would be 8.666 and
    your average winning PR would be 7.5 and so your
    "winning PR would be higher than your losing PR"
    by even a wider margin, but then you would say that
    when you play with a PR of 3, you lose 100% of the
    time. There is no end to such illogical deduction...

    But in my original post, I did not make any illogical deductions.
    The illogical deductions were introduced by you.

    Of course this example is contrived, but it illustrates
    the difference between your expected PR conditional
    on winning, and your expected win rate conditional
    on your PR.

    Again, this is not true. PR is a result calculated based
    on the luck+skill=1 fallacy.

    What I said was true. The example was indeed contrived. It
    also illustrated the difference that I stated.

    So, if you tell me that you played 25 games and that
    in N1 of them your average PR was 8.1 and in N2 of
    them your average PR was 7.8, then ask me in which
    set I would "expect" you to have won more, I would
    say the set with the higher average PR.

    Similarly, if you tell me that you played 25 games and
    that you won 10 of them and that you lost 15 of them,
    then ask me in which set I would "expect" your average
    PR to be higher, I would say the set of 10 that you won.

    If you don't confuse apples and oranges, there is no
    difference between "PR conditional" and "win rate
    conditional", if you can ask the questions correctly.

    I won't quibble with what you say here, but none of it
    contradicts what I said in my original post. It only
    contradicts what you imagined I said, not what I actually
    said.

    ---
    Tim Chow

    --- Synchronet 3.21b-Linux NewsLink 1.2
  • From MK@murat@compuplus.net to rec.games.backgammon on Mon Jan 8 11:12:55 2024
    From Newsgroup: rec.games.backgammon

    On January 8, 2024 at 7:02:15rC>AM UTC-7, Timothy Chow wrote:
    On 1/7/2024 5:08 AM, MK wrote:
    On January 6, 2024 at 2:23:25rC>PM UTC-7, Timothy Chow wrote:
    But does that mean I'd rather play with a PR of 9
    than a PR of 3? No.
    Here you switched from average PR's to a specific
    pair of invidual PR's and tried to generalize but you
    can't generalize based on two arbitrarily picked PR's
    the same way you can do with two averages which
    are themselves generalized PR's for wins and losses.
    I agree that one can't generalize. But in my original
    post, I did not attempt to generalize.
    Actually, by misgeneralizing using arbitrary PR's, you
    were trying to show generalizing using average PR's
    was also wrong but you failed at it.
    I simply asked the question, does that mean I'd
    rather play with a PR of 9 than a PR of 3? And the
    correct answer to that question is no, as I said.
    The word "THAT" in your question referred to your
    observation immediately above your question. It
    was a nonsensical, stupid question with no logical
    transition from what preceeded it.
    Instead of using PR 9 and PR 3 numbers, if you had
    used PR 9 and PR 6 numbers, your winning percents
    would be 8/17 and 1/7, thus the answer to whether
    you should better play with a PR of 9 than a PR of 6
    would be "Yes".
    Once again you demonstrate that you are incapable
    of logic and coherent thoughts.
    But in my original post, I did not make any illogical
    deductions. The illogical deductions were
    introduced by you.
    You asked a question and answered it. What would
    you call that if not a "deduction", (i.e. drawing of a
    conclusion by reasoning)?
    What I said was true. The example was indeed
    contrived. It also illustrated the difference that
    I stated.
    There is no problem with it being contrived. It failed
    despite being intentionally contrived to illustrate a
    difference because your trying to contrast a pair of
    arbitrary PR's against a pair of average PR's failed.
    It's just as simple as that but you either don't make
    an effort to understand, incapable of understanding
    or too conceited to accept even if you understand.
    I won't quibble with what you say here, but none of
    it contradicts what I said in my original post. It only
    contradicts what you imagined I said, not what I
    actually said.
    You said: "Of course this example is contrived, but it
    illustrates the difference between your expected PR
    conditional on winning, and your expected win rate
    conditional on your PR."
    Maybe what you don't understand is that I wasn't
    arguing against what you were stating/claiming,
    which may wery well be true but your example failed
    to illustrate it.
    I could have just left it at saying this much but I went
    one step further to use your own example to ask the
    same question, in both diresctions (i.e. PR conditional
    and win rate conditional), to show you that your example
    illustrated the opposite of what you had intended to.
    You sure can try to use a different example, but this
    one simply didn't work. :(
    MK
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  • From Timothy Chow@tchow12000@yahoo.com to rec.games.backgammon on Mon Jan 8 21:31:06 2024
    From Newsgroup: rec.games.backgammon

    On 1/8/2024 2:12 PM, MK wrote:
    On January 8, 2024 at 7:02:15rC>AM UTC-7, Timothy Chow wrote:

    On 1/7/2024 5:08 AM, MK wrote:

    On January 6, 2024 at 2:23:25rC>PM UTC-7, Timothy Chow wrote:

    But does that mean I'd rather play with a PR of 9
    than a PR of 3? No.

    Here you switched from average PR's to a specific
    pair of invidual PR's and tried to generalize but you
    can't generalize based on two arbitrarily picked PR's
    the same way you can do with two averages which
    are themselves generalized PR's for wins and losses.

    I agree that one can't generalize. But in my original
    post, I did not attempt to generalize.

    Actually, by misgeneralizing using arbitrary PR's, you
    were trying to show generalizing using average PR's
    was also wrong but you failed at it.

    That is not what I was trying to show.

    I simply asked the question, does that mean I'd
    rather play with a PR of 9 than a PR of 3? And the
    correct answer to that question is no, as I said.

    The word "THAT" in your question referred to your
    observation immediately above your question. It
    was a nonsensical, stupid question with no logical
    transition from what preceeded it.

    The question makes sense and its answer is no.

    Instead of using PR 9 and PR 3 numbers, if you had
    used PR 9 and PR 6 numbers, your winning percents
    would be 8/17 and 1/7, thus the answer to whether
    you should better play with a PR of 9 than a PR of 6
    would be "Yes".

    But that is not the question I posed.

    You asked a question and answered it. What would
    you call that if not a "deduction", (i.e. drawing of a
    conclusion by reasoning)?

    I call it asking a question and answering it.

    What I said was true. The example was indeed
    contrived. It also illustrated the difference that
    I stated.

    There is no problem with it being contrived. It failed
    despite being intentionally contrived to illustrate a
    difference because your trying to contrast a pair of
    arbitrary PR's against a pair of average PR's failed.
    It's just as simple as that but you either don't make
    an effort to understand, incapable of understanding
    or too conceited to accept even if you understand.

    It did not fail to do what I intended to do.

    You said: "Of course this example is contrived, but it
    illustrates the difference between your expected PR
    conditional on winning, and your expected win rate
    conditional on your PR."

    Maybe what you don't understand is that I wasn't
    arguing against what you were stating/claiming,
    which may wery well be true but your example failed
    to illustrate it.

    I know you weren't arguing against what I was stating/claiming.
    Nor was I arguing against what you were stating/claiming.
    It's only in your own mind that there is such an argument.

    I could have just left it at saying this much but I went
    one step further to use your own example to ask the
    same question, in both diresctions (i.e. PR conditional
    and win rate conditional), to show you that your example
    illustrated the opposite of what you had intended to.

    It illustrated what I intended it to illustrate. If you misunderstood
    what I intended to illustrate, and found that my example failed to
    illustrate what *you* thought it intended to illustrate, then that's
    your problem and not mine.

    ---
    Tim Chow


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  • From MK@murat@compuplus.net to rec.games.backgammon on Mon Jan 8 23:03:14 2024
    From Newsgroup: rec.games.backgammon

    On January 8, 2024 at 7:31:10rC>PM UTC-7, Timothy Chow wrote:
    On 1/8/2024 2:12 PM, MK wrote:
    On January 8, 2024 at 7:02:15rC>AM UTC-7, Timothy Chow wrote:
    On 1/7/2024 5:08 AM, MK wrote:

    On January 6, 2024 at 2:23:25rC>PM UTC-7, Timothy Chow wrote:
    Actually, by misgeneralizing using arbitrary PR's, you
    were trying to show generalizing using average PR's
    was also wrong but you failed at it.
    That is not what I was trying to show.
    Would you care to clarify what exactly your were trying
    to show? Otherwise, this is just an empty assertion.
    The word "THAT" in your question referred to your
    observation immediately above your question. It
    was a nonsensical, stupid question with no logical
    transition from what preceeded it.
    The question makes sense and its answer is no.
    Again, proof by mere repeated assertion without any
    new supporting argument.
    Instead of using PR 9 and PR 3 numbers, if you had
    used PR 9 and PR 6 numbers, your winning percents
    would be 8/17 and 1/7, thus the answer to whether
    you should better play with a PR of 9 than a PR of 6
    would be "Yes".
    But that is not the question I posed.
    I knew that. I asked the same question you asked using
    a different pair of PR's in your example but leading to a
    different answer, to show you that your stupid question
    and its answer did not illustrate anything whatsoever.
    You asked a question and answered it. What would
    you call that if not a "deduction", (i.e. drawing of a
    conclusion by reasoning)?
    I call it asking a question and answering it.
    You mean, you asked a question and answered it for
    no reason..? Poor you... :( Pitiful you... :((
    There is no problem with it being contrived. It failed
    despite being intentionally contrived to illustrate a
    difference because your trying to contrast a pair of
    arbitrary PR's against a pair of average PR's failed.
    It did not fail to do what I intended to do.
    Yet another proof by mere repeated assertion without
    any new supporting argument. I guess you will win the
    debate when I get tired of your school yard behavior...
    It illustrated what I intended it to illustrate.
    One more proof by mere repeated assertion without any
    new supporting argument. But by now, I'm beginning to
    guess what may be ailing you.
    Maybe you looked at your historical average PR's when
    winning and when losing, then saw that your winning
    PR was higher than your losing PR, and said: "Oh shit,
    Murat may be on to something!"
    Then in order to deceive and confort yourself about
    you flock's rolledoats horse muffins dogma, you tried
    to illustrate that it didn't always need to be true using
    a contrived example that blew up in your face... :(
    I wonder how many more of you suffer from "Tim's
    syndrome", i.e. looked at your winning and losing PR's
    (if you dared to, of course) and said: "Oh shit, Murat
    may be on to something!"..? ;)
    You know I have your cure. Just come to papa... :)
    MK
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  • From Timothy Chow@tchow12000@yahoo.com to rec.games.backgammon on Tue Jan 9 08:49:33 2024
    From Newsgroup: rec.games.backgammon

    On 1/9/2024 2:03 AM, MK wrote:
    Would you care to clarify what exactly your were trying
    to show? Otherwise, this is just an empty assertion.

    I see that you've finally realized that you can't find any errors
    in my original post, so my work is done.

    ---
    Tim Chow

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  • From MK@murat@compuplus.net to rec.games.backgammon on Thu Jan 11 00:46:43 2024
    From Newsgroup: rec.games.backgammon

    On January 9, 2024 at 6:49:36rC>AM UTC-7, Timothy Chow wrote:
    On 1/9/2024 2:03 AM, MK wrote:
    Would you care to clarify what exactly your were trying
    to show? Otherwise, this is just an empty assertion.
    I see that you've finally realized that you can't find
    any errors in my original post, so my work is done.
    Whoever told you that must have fooled with you. I have
    found errors in your conrived example based illustration,
    which didn't illustrate anything, and I have explained why
    so in three rounds of detailed arguments.
    But if you want to exit, I have nothing more to gain from
    tormenting and torturing you further either as I also have
    achieved my part. So, bye-bye...
    But before you go, would you be nice enough to share
    your average winning and losing PR's against the bot?
    Would anyone else..??
    MK
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  • From Timothy Chow@tchow12000@yahoo.com to rec.games.backgammon on Thu Jan 11 17:45:31 2024
    From Newsgroup: rec.games.backgammon

    On 1/11/2024 3:46 AM, MK wrote:
    On January 9, 2024 at 6:49:36rC>AM UTC-7, Timothy Chow wrote:

    On 1/9/2024 2:03 AM, MK wrote:

    Would you care to clarify what exactly your were trying
    to show? Otherwise, this is just an empty assertion.

    I see that you've finally realized that you can't find
    any errors in my original post, so my work is done.

    Whoever told you that must have fooled with you.

    Wouldn't be the first time that you've fooled with me!

    ---
    Tim Chow

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  • From MK@playbg-rgb@yahoo.com to rec.games.backgammon on Fri Jan 12 02:56:51 2024
    From Newsgroup: rec.games.backgammon

    On 1/11/2024 3:45 PM, Timothy Chow wrote:

    On 1/11/2024 3:46 AM, MK wrote:

    Whoever told you that must have fooled with you.

    Wouldn't be the first time that you've fooled with me!

    This time I swear that it wasn't me but maybe
    you are beginning to think that you are me..?

    MK

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