From Newsgroup: rec.games.backgammon
On Wednesday, January 3, 2024 at 7:09:11rC>PM UTC-5,
peps...@gmail.com wrote:
I knew this was an easy take but wasn't at all confident in my double.
Turns out it's exactly marginal.
Paul
XGID=a-C-BBCC-----A----Ab-cbcd-:1:1:1:00:6:4:0:11:10
X:Daniel O:XG Roller+
Score is X:6 O:4 11 pt.(s) match. +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X X | | O O O O O |
| | | O O O O O |
| | | O O O |
| | | O |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | O | |
| | | |
| X | | X X | +---+
| X | | X X X X | | 2 |
| X | | X X X X | +---+
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 94 O: 65 X-O: 6-4/11
Cube: 2, X own cube
X on roll, cube action
Analyzed in XG Roller+
Player Winning Chances: 76.34% (G:2.77% B:0.07%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 23.66% (G:1.56% B:0.02%)
Cubeless Equities: No Double=+0.540, Double=+1.081
Cubeful Equities:
No redouble: +0.803
Redouble/Take: +0.799 (-0.004)
Redouble/Pass: +1.000 (+0.197)
Best Cube action: No redouble / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 1.9%
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2
A rollout has this as a cube by ~.025
Stick
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