• [OT] Labour doing VERY badly in UK local elections

    From Rhino@no_offline_contact@example.com to rec.arts.tv on Fri May 8 00:02:59 2026
    From Newsgroup: rec.arts.tv

    The UK had elections today for Scotland, Wales and a whole bunch of
    local councils in England - NOT national elections for Parliament - and
    Labour is getting trounced even worse than expected in early returns.

    It's still early in the counting process so this *may* all turn around
    but if this result holds for the remaining seats being counted, Labour
    stands to lose EIGHTY PERCENT of their seats. Even more interestingly,
    nearly ALL of the lost seats are going to the Reform Party led by Nigel Farage. Everyone's been predicting that Labour would have a very bad
    night under the extremely unpopular Prime Minister Starmer but many
    pundits had been thinking that a lot of the Labour vote would go to the Greens. (In the UK, the new leader of the Greens, Zach Polansky, has transformed the Green Party from being a party mostly about the
    environment to one that was far more concerned with things like
    Palestine and other issues of concern to their new Muslim members.)

    If most people go to the Reform Party, it implies a solid shift to the
    right of the whole population, not just a split in the Left between
    Labour and the Greens.

    This is going to put enormous pressure on Keir Starmer to resign the
    office of Prime Minister. There are other candidates for the job
    although none are a clear favourite and most are viewed as worse that
    Starmer since almost all of them are farther left than he is. (The
    Labour MPs though have a very vocal Leftist cohort.)

    This could, of course, all turn around in the coming hours. I still
    remember when early returns in the Quebec Independence Referendum in
    1995 were very strongly pro-Independence and I thought we'd lost Quebec
    and were going to see the whole country dismembered eventually. But by
    the time all of the votes were counted, the pro-Canada votes finally won
    out in a squeaker.

    Still, I think a lot of right-leaning voters will be very happy if this
    trend continues because it is widely believed that the local elections
    are a very strong indication of what's going to happen in the next
    national elections. Unfortunately, that election is probably not going
    to happen until 2029 and the UK could experience a lot more distress as
    Labour continues to destroy the economy and undermine social cohesion as
    they have since they were elected in 2024.
    --
    Rhino

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  • From The Horny Goat@lcraver@home.ca to rec.arts.tv on Fri May 8 12:03:35 2026
    From Newsgroup: rec.arts.tv

    On Fri, 8 May 2026 00:02:59 -0400, Rhino
    <no_offline_contact@example.com> wrote:

    This is going to put enormous pressure on Keir Starmer to resign the
    office of Prime Minister. There are other candidates for the job
    although none are a clear favourite and most are viewed as worse that >Starmer since almost all of them are farther left than he is. (The
    Labour MPs though have a very vocal Leftist cohort.)

    Yes they do and there have been a couple of issues on which Starmer
    announced a policy one way and your "Leftist cohort" went gaga and
    since this 'cohort' has enough seats, Starmer can't carry out his
    policies without their support - so in nearly every case where Starmer
    reverses himself (as he has in supporting Trump vs Iran) that is the
    reason why.

    I know most Americans have a hard time understanding the concept of non-confidence votes in the Commons leading to early elections but
    Rhino and I certainly do since our government works the same way.

    (And there's a reasonable argument to be made on both sides as to
    whether "non-confidence motions" leading to early elections are a good
    thing or a bad thing. Either way it couldn't happen in the US unless
    the House became the senior house of Congress - both in the UK and
    Canada there are the House of Lords and Senate respectively where if
    the ruling party loses a vote it doesn't matter - only if they lose a 'confidence motion' does an election get triggered)
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  • From Rhino@no_offline_contact@example.com to rec.arts.tv on Fri May 8 16:58:29 2026
    From Newsgroup: rec.arts.tv

    On 2026-05-08 3:03 p.m., The Horny Goat wrote:
    On Fri, 8 May 2026 00:02:59 -0400, Rhino
    <no_offline_contact@example.com> wrote:

    This is going to put enormous pressure on Keir Starmer to resign the
    office of Prime Minister. There are other candidates for the job
    although none are a clear favourite and most are viewed as worse that
    Starmer since almost all of them are farther left than he is. (The
    Labour MPs though have a very vocal Leftist cohort.)

    Yes they do and there have been a couple of issues on which Starmer
    announced a policy one way and your "Leftist cohort" went gaga and
    since this 'cohort' has enough seats, Starmer can't carry out his
    policies without their support - so in nearly every case where Starmer reverses himself (as he has in supporting Trump vs Iran) that is the
    reason why.

    I know most Americans have a hard time understanding the concept of non-confidence votes in the Commons leading to early elections but
    Rhino and I certainly do since our government works the same way.

    (And there's a reasonable argument to be made on both sides as to
    whether "non-confidence motions" leading to early elections are a good
    thing or a bad thing. Either way it couldn't happen in the US unless
    the House became the senior house of Congress - both in the UK and
    Canada there are the House of Lords and Senate respectively where if
    the ruling party loses a vote it doesn't matter - only if they lose a 'confidence motion' does an election get triggered)

    Let me ask you - and anyone else following this thread - what you think
    about the idea of giving the electorate of a country the right to demand
    fresh elections even if governing party still has time on their mandate
    and hasn't lost a vote of confidence? Obviously, there'd have to be a significant threshold to trigger what would presumably be a referendum -
    or People's Vote of Non-Confidence - otherwise a handful of malcontents
    could trigger elections over any trifling thing or fringe issue.

    Do you think that would improve our democracy?

    I think the politicians would be absolutely aghast at the prospect of
    someone besides themselves controlling when an election happens and
    would fight any such legislation tooth and claw but suppose it actually
    got enacted: would politicians play less games and do less damage if an election could be forced without too ridiculously high a threshold.

    I have absolutely no doubt that Brits would LOVE to have an election now
    just to see the end of Starmer and Labour. I am equally certain that if
    we'd had that option a couple of years ago when Trudeau was refusing to
    take a million hints that he should step down, we would have taken it.

    It seems to me that if we could force elections when the politicians
    were really doing badly, they might keep more promises and play far
    fewer political games.

    I imagine Americans might like such a move too. Trump is not doing
    really well in the polls and the Democrats and the media - but I repeat
    myself - would love to see the end of him. They'd surely support snap elections if the Constitution allowed for it, at least for Trump,
    although they might have objected strenuously if Republicans proposed it
    for one of *their* presidents. But it could have gotten Sleepy Joe out
    of office a good bit faster if it was an option.
    --
    Rhino
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  • From Rhino@no_offline_contact@example.com to rec.arts.tv on Sat May 9 15:32:42 2026
    From Newsgroup: rec.arts.tv

    On 2026-05-08 4:58 p.m., Rhino wrote:
    On 2026-05-08 3:03 p.m., The Horny Goat wrote:
    On Fri, 8 May 2026 00:02:59 -0400, Rhino
    <no_offline_contact@example.com> wrote:

    This is going to put enormous pressure on Keir Starmer to resign the
    office of Prime Minister. There are other candidates for the job
    although none are a clear favourite and most are viewed as worse that
    Starmer since almost all of them are farther left than he is. (The
    Labour MPs though have a very vocal Leftist cohort.)

    Yes they do and there have been a couple of issues on which Starmer
    announced a policy one way and your "Leftist cohort" went gaga and
    since this 'cohort' has enough seats, Starmer can't carry out his
    policies without their support - so in nearly every case where Starmer
    reverses himself (as he has in supporting Trump vs Iran) that is the
    reason why.

    I know most Americans have a hard time understanding the concept of
    non-confidence votes in the Commons leading to early elections but
    Rhino and I certainly do since our government works the same way.

    (And there's a reasonable argument to be made on both sides as to
    whether "non-confidence motions" leading to early elections are a good
    thing or a bad thing. Either way it couldn't happen in the US unless
    the House became the senior house of Congress - both in the UK and
    Canada there are the House of Lords and Senate respectively where if
    the ruling party loses a vote it doesn't matter - only if they lose a
    'confidence motion' does an election get triggered)

    Let me ask you - and anyone else following this thread - what you think about the idea of giving the electorate of a country the right to demand fresh elections even if governing party still has time on their mandate
    and hasn't lost a vote of confidence? Obviously, there'd have to be a significant threshold to trigger what would presumably be a referendum -
    or People's Vote of Non-Confidence - otherwise a handful of malcontents could trigger elections over any trifling thing or fringe issue.

    Do you think that would improve our democracy?

    I think the politicians would be absolutely aghast at the prospect of someone besides themselves controlling when an election happens and
    would fight any such legislation tooth and claw but suppose it actually
    got enacted: would politicians play less games and do less damage if an election could be forced without too ridiculously high a threshold.

    I have absolutely no doubt that Brits would LOVE to have an election now just to see the end of Starmer and Labour. I am equally certain that if
    we'd had that option a couple of years ago when Trudeau was refusing to
    take a million hints that he should step down, we would have taken it.

    It seems to me that if we could force elections when the politicians
    were really doing badly, they might keep more promises and play far
    fewer political games.

    I imagine Americans might like such a move too. Trump is not doing
    really well in the polls and the Democrats and the media - but I repeat myself - would love to see the end of him. They'd surely support snap elections if the Constitution allowed for it, at least for Trump,
    although they might have objected strenuously if Republicans proposed it
    for one of *their* presidents. But it could have gotten Sleepy Joe out
    of office a good bit faster if it was an option.


    Jacob Rees-Mogg has published an analysis of the election result and I
    think he's right on the money:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GRYadFPKLbc [10 minutes]

    The big challenge for Reform will be to DELIVER on their promises at the
    local level; otherwise, they will be discarded just as the Tories and
    Labour were as just another bunch that talks the talk but doesn't walk
    the walk.

    I was not remotely surprised to hear him say that right-leaning parties
    need to come together and that he modestly made no mention of his
    possible involvement in forming such a coalition. Honestly, I think he
    may well end up being Prime Minister after the next general election as
    a figure that the Conservatives, Reform and Restore Britain (Rupert
    Lowe's new party) could potentially agree upon. I'd *LOVE* to see that
    but it may just be wishful thinking given the strong egos of the various people that might also want to lead such a grouping.

    If Reform elects the most MPs, as appears likely now, it will surely be
    Farage that demands to lead and it would be hard to resist the argument
    that most of the MPs are his. In any case, Rees-Mogg certainly ought to
    have a strong shot at a senior cabinet post. I think he'd make a
    brilliant Chancellor of the Exchequer if he couldn't be PM.
    --
    Rhino
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  • From BTR1701@atropos@mac.com to rec.arts.tv on Sat May 9 22:36:54 2026
    From Newsgroup: rec.arts.tv

    On May 7, 2026 at 9:02:59 PM PDT, "Rhino" <no_offline_contact@example.com> wrote:

    The UK had elections today for Scotland, Wales and a whole bunch of
    local councils in England - NOT national elections for Parliament - and Labour is getting trounced even worse than expected in early returns.

    Amelia sends her congrats to Reform and puts Starmer where he belongs:


    https://video.twimg.com/amplify_video/2052812290802548736/vid/avc1/1092x720/aN6qrZIl2Cu5HGTt.mp4?tag=27c


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  • From Rhino@no_offline_contact@example.com to rec.arts.tv on Sat May 9 19:37:22 2026
    From Newsgroup: rec.arts.tv

    On 2026-05-09 6:36 p.m., BTR1701 wrote:
    On May 7, 2026 at 9:02:59 PM PDT, "Rhino" <no_offline_contact@example.com> wrote:

    The UK had elections today for Scotland, Wales and a whole bunch of
    local councils in England - NOT national elections for Parliament - and
    Labour is getting trounced even worse than expected in early returns.

    Amelia sends her congrats to Reform and puts Starmer where he belongs:


    https://video.twimg.com/amplify_video/2052812290802548736/vid/avc1/1092x720/aN6qrZIl2Cu5HGTt.mp4?tag=27c


    Starmer might not even object to that treatment in real life. There's a
    trial going on right now that the legacy media seems to be avoiding the
    story, which allegedly involves Starmer and some rent boys.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GRYadFPKLbc [6 minutes]
    --
    Rhino
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