• Interesting S50 tweet from Fishbach

    From Brian Smith@dcg_brian@hotmail.com to alt.tv.survivor on Fri May 8 16:33:52 2026
    From Newsgroup: alt.tv.survivor

    Fishbach's tweet:

    Given the over-the-top winnerrCOs edit for Aubry, my prediction is that
    she is going to be given editorial credit for taking out Cirie, who is
    being shown to be the player of the season.

    https://x.com/stephenfishbach/status/2052822122943148400

    If Aubry takes out Cirie that will be a huge point on her resume. If she
    does it too early though won't that make her a huge target? I hope
    something crazy doesn't happen like Aubry finding Ozzy's and Devens's idols.
    --
    Brian
    --- Synchronet 3.22a-Linux NewsLink 1.2
  • From Rick@Rick@nospam.net to alt.tv.survivor on Fri May 8 20:21:07 2026
    From Newsgroup: alt.tv.survivor

    On 5/8/2026 6:33 PM, Brian Smith wrote:
    Fishbach's tweet:

    Given the over-the-top winnerrCOs edit for Aubry, my prediction is that
    she is going to be given editorial credit for taking out Cirie, who is
    being shown to be the player of the season.

    https://x.com/stephenfishbach/status/2052822122943148400


    I haven't listened to this week's Know-it-Alls podcast yet (Fishbach did
    it with Gabby this week due to Rob's absence) so it will be interesting
    to see if they discuss this. Historically, Rob doesn't usually address
    these kind of spoiler/rumors on the podcast, but with Stephen in charge
    this week, I can clearly see him going for it.

    If Aubry takes out Cirie that will be a huge point on her resume. If she does it too early though won't that make her a huge target? I hope
    something crazy doesn't happen like Aubry finding Ozzy's and Devens's
    idols.


    I don't think it is ever too early to take out a powerhouse like Cirie.
    If Aubry leads that effort next episode, then she deserves kudos. And if
    she happens to find one or both of Ozzy and Devens' idols (as opposed to
    them just being given to her), then I say good for her.

    If Aubry ends up winning at this point, I think I'm okay with that. She
    is a veteran repeat player with a 2nd and 5th place finish under her
    belt, she has always been smart and strategic, and if she can pull out a
    win with this group, then I say good for her. I'd probably rather see
    Rizo win, but I would certainly prefer Aubry over the likes of Jonathan, Cirie, Devens or Joe.
    --- Synchronet 3.22a-Linux NewsLink 1.2
  • From Brian Smith@dcg_brian@hotmail.com to alt.tv.survivor on Fri May 8 18:41:37 2026
    From Newsgroup: alt.tv.survivor

    On 5/8/2026 6:21 PM, Rick wrote:
    On 5/8/2026 6:33 PM, Brian Smith wrote:
    Fishbach's tweet:

    Given the over-the-top winnerrCOs edit for Aubry, my prediction is that
    she is going to be given editorial credit for taking out Cirie, who is
    being shown to be the player of the season.

    https://x.com/stephenfishbach/status/2052822122943148400


    I haven't listened to this week's Know-it-Alls podcast yet (Fishbach did
    it with Gabby this week due to Rob's absence) so it will be interesting
    to see if they discuss this. Historically, Rob doesn't usually address
    these kind of spoiler/rumors on the podcast, but with Stephen in charge
    this week, I can clearly see him going for it.

    This isn't a spoiler or rumor. People are discussing that Cirie's
    getting a best player edit and Aubry's getting a manipulated winners edit.

    If Aubry takes out Cirie that will be a huge point on her resume. If
    she does it too early though won't that make her a huge target? I hope
    something crazy doesn't happen like Aubry finding Ozzy's and Devens's
    idols.


    I don't think it is ever too early to take out a powerhouse like Cirie.
    If Aubry leads that effort next episode, then she deserves kudos. And if
    she happens to find one or both of Ozzy and Devens' idols (as opposed to them just being given to her), then I say good for her.

    I agree that it's never too early to take out a player like Cirie. My
    point is that you don't want to become the new biggest target with too
    much time left in the game.

    As for Devens's idol, I wonder if it will remain as the MrBeast idol or
    morph into a regular idol. If it stays as a MrBeast idol, someone better
    find it and use it next TC so it doesn't go to waste.

    If Aubry ends up winning at this point, I think I'm okay with that.-a She
    is a veteran repeat player with a 2nd and 5th place finish under her
    belt, she has always been smart and strategic, and if she can pull out a
    win with this group, then I say good for her.-a I'd probably rather see
    Rizo win, but I would certainly prefer Aubry over the likes of Jonathan, Cirie, Devens or Joe.

    I'll have a problem with Aubry winning. Ozzy's stupidity blew it for
    Cirie. Of the people left, I want Rizo to win. Speaking of Rizo, will
    Cirie still want to work with him after he voted out Ozzy? Or will she
    target him because of his idol? I can see either of them going next but
    I keep wondering just how much more luck does Devens have? He's not
    getting a winners edit. He's not even getting a F3 edit. Same goes for
    Tiff. Wild prediction: Rizo gets screwed over by whatever twist replaces
    F4 fire.
    --
    Brian
    --- Synchronet 3.22a-Linux NewsLink 1.2
  • From Rick@Rick@nospam.net to alt.tv.survivor on Sun May 10 10:34:19 2026
    From Newsgroup: alt.tv.survivor

    On 5/8/2026 8:21 PM, Rick wrote:
    On 5/8/2026 6:33 PM, Brian Smith wrote:
    Fishbach's tweet:

    Given the over-the-top winnerrCOs edit for Aubry, my prediction is that
    she is going to be given editorial credit for taking out Cirie, who is
    being shown to be the player of the season.

    https://x.com/stephenfishbach/status/2052822122943148400


    I haven't listened to this week's Know-it-Alls podcast yet (Fishbach did
    it with Gabby this week due to Rob's absence) so it will be interesting
    to see if they discuss this. Historically, Rob doesn't usually address
    these kind of spoiler/rumors on the podcast, but with Stephen in charge
    this week, I can clearly see him going for it.


    Update: I listened to the Know-it-Alls podcast and Stephen and Gabby
    never discussed the Aubry edit or anything suggesting Aubry is the clear winner. He did give her his "Fishy" award which goes to the player who
    they think had the biggest impact in the episode, but it was more for
    her presumably saving herself by disclosing the info Ozzie had given him
    than any speculation about her winning the season.

    Regarding the betting patterns, people have presumably been betting on
    the eventual winner of each Survivor season going all the way back to
    Season One. Las Vegas bookies are famous for taking bets on just about anything and setting the odds in a way that they will always make a
    profit. I wonder if anyone has ever gone back and compiled records of
    who led the betting each season for Survivor winner, how accurate the
    betting was, and how that correlates to whether there was a live
    vote-out read or not. I'm pretty sure the whole reason they started
    reading the final vote live was because Rich's win in season one was accidentally spoiled by Gervase in a live radio interview in which he
    referred to the winner as "he" or "him".

    If Aubry takes out Cirie that will be a huge point on her resume. If
    she does it too early though won't that make her a huge target? I hope
    something crazy doesn't happen like Aubry finding Ozzy's and Devens's
    idols.


    I don't think it is ever too early to take out a powerhouse like Cirie.
    If Aubry leads that effort next episode, then she deserves kudos. And if
    she happens to find one or both of Ozzy and Devens' idols (as opposed to them just being given to her), then I say good for her.

    If Aubry ends up winning at this point, I think I'm okay with that.-a She
    is a veteran repeat player with a 2nd and 5th place finish under her
    belt, she has always been smart and strategic, and if she can pull out a
    win with this group, then I say good for her.-a I'd probably rather see
    Rizo win, but I would certainly prefer Aubry over the likes of Jonathan, Cirie, Devens or Joe.

    --- Synchronet 3.22a-Linux NewsLink 1.2