• OUTLOOK: Nws National Hur

    From Dumas Walker@1337:3/103 to All on Thu Oct 2 09:43:46 2025
    ABNT20 KNHC 021143
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Thu Oct 2 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
    Imelda, located east of Bermuda.

    Central Tropical Atlantic:
    A tropical wave is expected to move off the coast of Africa over the
    next day or two. Thereafter, this wave is forecast to interact with
    another disturbance in the eastern tropical Atlantic, and some slow
    development of the combined feature is possible as the system moves
    westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

    Southwestern Atlantic:
    An area of low pressure may form along a remnant frontal boundary
    near the northwestern Bahamas and southern Florida over the next
    couple of days. Any additional development is expected to be slow
    to occur as the system moves northwestward across the Florida
    Peninsula and into the Gulf of Mexico.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Pasch
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  • From Dumas Walker@1337:3/103 to All on Sat Oct 11 08:46:33 2025
    ABNT20 KNHC 111146
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Sat Oct 11 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
    Storm Jerry, located over the southwestern Atlantic about midway
    between the northern Leeward Islands and Bermuda.

    Tropical Atlantic:
    A tropical wave located well to the south-southwest of the Cabo
    Verde Islands is producing a broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some gradual development of this system is possible
    over the next several days while it moves west-northwestward to
    northwestward at 15 to 20 mph across the eastern and central
    tropical Atlantic.

    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Berg
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  • From Dumas Walker@1337:3/103 to All on Tue Oct 21 09:38:17 2025
    ABNT20 KNHC 211126
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Tue Oct 21 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Caribbean Sea (AL98):
    Satellite, radar, and surface observations indicate that the area
    of low pressure over the central Caribbean Sea appears to be
    developing a well-defined center, and is already producing winds up
    to 45 mph. A tropical storm is expected to form later today while
    it slows down over the central Caribbean Sea. Heavy rainfall and
    gusty winds are possible over portions of the ABC Islands during the
    next day or two. Interests in Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, Jamaica, and
    Cuba should monitor the progress of this system as there is a risk
    of heavy rain and flooding, strong winds, and rough surf later this
    week. The Air Force Hurricane Hunters are scheduled to investigate
    the system later today. For additional information on this system,
    including Gale Warnings, please see High Seas Forecasts issued by
    the National Weather Service.

    * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...high...near 100 percent.

    &&
    High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
    can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01
    KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

    $$
    Forecaster Cangialosi
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  • From Dumas Walker@1337:3/103 to All on Sun Nov 16 09:06:08 2025
    ABNT20 KNHC 161124
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    700 AM EST Sun Nov 16 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster D. Zelinsky
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  • From Dumas Walker@1337:3/103 to All on Sun Nov 30 10:27:19 2025
    ABNT20 KNHC 301126
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    700 AM EST Sun Nov 30 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Hagen
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