• The United States Air Force and UFOlogy

    From Rixter@RICKSBBS to all on Sun Jan 26 06:58:54 2025


    The United States Air Force
    and UFOlogy

    For years now, the debate between debunkers and skeptics as
    opposed to believers has raged on over whether the United States
    Government, or more specifically the United States Air Force
    considers the subject of UFOlogy to be serious business. Also
    what must be considered is what elements or departments of the
    government would be concerned with this if UFO's proved to be a
    threat.

    The United States Airforce has maintained for over
    thirty years that the largest percentage of reports are
    explainable, and most usally are. However, the Air Force also
    maintains that the rest could be explained if only enough
    information were present. Is this true, or is it a smoke screen
    as many researchers maintain? And, what if anything does the Air
    Force tell its own officer corps that may be presented with this
    enigma in the course of their duty?

    The following document is taken verbatim from the United
    States Air Forces Academy textbook, " Introductory Space Science,
    Volume II, Department of Physics, USAF. " This is the volume
    that was being used by the Air Force Academy, at Colorado
    Springs, Colorado. The Air Force Academy has since pulled this
    volume from the curicullem in the very early 70's, because of the
    contraversy it generated, but after reading this, I think you
    will find that the United States Air Force has considered the
    subject of UFOlogy to be very "serious business."

    Transcribed by:
    Don Ecker
    Public Relations Director
    ParaNet(sm) Information Service
    ParaNet Alpha
    1:102/422





    INTRODUCTORY SPACE SCIENCE - VOLUME II
    DEPARTMENT OF PHYSICS - USAF
    Edited by:
    Major Donald G. Carpenter
    Co-Editor:
    Lt. Colonel Edward R. Therkelson


    CHAPTER XIII
    UNIDENTIFIED FLYING OBJECTS


    What is an Unidentified Flying Object (UFO)? Well,
    according to United States Air Force Regulation 80-17 (dated 19
    September 1966), a UFO is "Any" aerial Phenomenon or object which
    is unknown or appears to be out of the ordinary to the observer."
    This is a very broad definition which applies equally well to one
    individual seeing his first noctilucent cloud at twilight as it
    does to another individual seeing his first helicopter. However,
    at present most people consider the term UFO to mean an
    object which behaves in a strange or erratic manner while moving
    through the Earth's atmosphere. That strange phenomenon has
    evoked strong emotions and great curiosity among a large segment
    of our world's population. The average person is interested
    because he loves a mystery, the professional military man is
    involved because of the possible threat to national security, and
    some scientist are interested because of the basic curiosity that
    led them into becoming researchers.

    The literature on UFO's is so vast, and the stories so many
    and varied, that we can only present a sketchy outline of the
    subject in this chapter. That outline includes description
    classifications, operational domains (temporal and spatial), some
    theories as to the nature of the UFO phenomenon, human reactions,
    attempts to attack the problem scientifically, and some tentative
    conclusions. If you wish to read further in this area, the
    references provide an excellent starting point.

    33.1 DESCRIPTIONS

    One of the greatest problems you encounter when attempting
    to catalog UFO sightings, is selection of a system for
    cataloging. No effective system has yet been devised, although a
    number of different systems have been proposed. The net result
    is that almost all UFO data are either treated in the form of
    individual cases, or in the forms of inadequate callification
    systems. However, these systems do tend to have some common
    factors, and a collection of these factors is as follows:

    a. Size
    b. Shape (disc, ellipse, football, etc.)
    c. Luminosity
    d. Color
    e. Number of UFO's

    Behavior:

    a. Location (altitude, direction, etc.)
    b. Patterns of paths (straight line, climbing, zig-zagging, etc.)
    c. Flight Characteristics (wobbling, fluttering, etc.)
    d. Periodicity of sightings
    e. Time duration
    f. Curiosity or inquisitiveness
    g. Avoidance
    h. Hostility

    Associated Effects:

    a. Electro-Magnetic (compass, radio, ignition systems, etc.)
    b. Radiation (burns, induced radioactivity, etc.)
    c. Ground disturbance (dust stirred up, leaves moved, standing
    wave peaks of surface of water, etc.)
    d. Sound (none, hissing, humming, roaring, thunderclaps, etc.)
    e. Vibration (weak, strong, slow, fast)
    f. Smell (ozone or other odor)
    g. Flame (how much, where, when, color)
    h. Smoke or cloud (amount, color, persistence)
    i. Debris (type, amount, color, persistence)
    j. Inhibition of voluntary movement by observers
    k. Sighting of "creatures" or "beings"

    After Effects:

    a. Burned areas or animals
    b. depressed or flattened areas
    c. Dead or "missing animals"
    d. Mentally disturbed people
    e. Missing items

    We make no attempt here to present available data in terms of the
    foregoing descriptors.

    33.2 OPERATIONAL DOMAINS - TEMPORAL AND SPATIAL

    What we will do here is to present evidence that UFO's are a
    global phenomenon which may have persisted for many thousands of
    years. During this discussion, please remember that the more
    ancient the reports the less sophisticated the observer. Not
    only were the ancient observers lacking the terminilogy necessary
    to describe complex devices (such as present day helicopters) but
    they were also lacking the concepts necessary to understand the
    true nature of such things as television, spaceships, rockets,
    nuclear weapons and radiation effects. To some, the most
    advanced technological concept was a war chariot with knife
    blades attached to the wheels. By the same token, the very lack
    of accurate terminolgy and descriptions leaves the more ancient
    reports open to considerable misinterpretation, and it may well
    be that present evaluations of individual reports are completely
    wrong. Nevertheless, let us start with an intriguing story in
    one of the oldest chronicles of India. . . . the Book of Dzyan.

    The book is a group of "story-teller" legends which were
    finally gathered in manuscript form when man learned to write.
    One of the stories is of a small group of beings who supposedly
    came to Earth many thousands of years ago in a metal craft which
    orbited the Earth several times before landing. As told in the
    Book "These beings lived to themselves and were revered by the
    humans among whom they had settled. But eventually differences
    arose among them and they divided their numbers, several of the
    men and women and some children settled in another city, where
    they were promptly installed as rulers by the awe-stricken
    populace.

    "Separation did not bring peace to these people and finally
    their anger reached a point where the ruler of the original city
    took with him a small number of his warriors and they rose into
    the air in a huge shining metal vessel. While they were many
    leagues from the city of their enemies, they launched a great
    shining lance that rode on a beam of light. It burst apart in
    the city of their enemies with a great ball of flame that shot up
    to the heavens, almost to the stars. All those who were in the
    city were horribly burned and even those who were not in the city
    - but nearby - were burned also. Those who looked upon the lance
    and the ball of fire were blinded forever afterward. Those who
    entered the city on foot became ill and died. Even the dust of
    the city was poisoned, as were the rivers that flowed through it.
    Men dared not go near it, and it gradually crumbled into dust and
    was forgotten by men."

    "When the leader saw what he had done to his own people he
    retired to his palace and refused to see anyone. Then he
    gathered about him those warriors who remained, and their wives
    and children, and they entered their vessels and rose one by one
    into the sky and sailed away. Nor did they return."

    Could this foregoing legend really be an account of an
    extraterestrial colonization, complete with guided missle,
    nuclear warhead and radiation effects? It is difficult to assess
    the validity of that explanation...just as it is difficult to
    explain why Greek, Roman and Nordic Mythology all discuss wars
    and contacts among their "Gods." (Even the Bible records
    conflict between the legions of God and Satan.) Could it be that
    each group recorded their parochial view of what was actually a
    global conflict among alien colonists or visitors? Or is it that
    man has led such a violent existence that he tends to expect
    conflict and violence among even his gods?

    Evidence of perhaps an even earlier possible contact was
    uncovered by Tschi Pen Lao of the University of Peking. He
    discovered astonishing carvings in granite on a mountain in Hunan
    Province and on an island in Lake Tungting. These carvings have
    been evaluated as 47,000 years old, and they show people with
    large trunks (breathing apparatus?...or "elephant" heads shown on
    human bodies? Remember, the Egyptians often represented their
    gods as animal heads on human bodies.)

    Only 8,000 years ago, rocks were sculpted in the Tassili
    plateau of Sahara, depicting what appeared to be human beings but
    with strange round heads (helmets? or "sun" heads on human
    bodies?) And even more recently, in the Bible, Genesis (6:4)
    tells of angels from the sky mating with women of Earth, who bore
    them children. Genesis 19:3 tells of Lot meeting two angels in
    desert and his later feeding them at his house. The Bible also
    tells a rather unusual story of Ezekiel who witnessed what has
    been interpreted by some to have been a spacecraft or aircraft
    landing near the Chebar River in Chaldea (593 B.C.).

    Even the Irish have recorded strange visitations. In the
    Speculum Regali in Konungs Skuggsa (and other accounts of the era
    about 956 A.D.) are numerous stories of "demonships" in the
    skies. In one case a rope from one such ship became entangled
    with part of a church. A man from the ship climbed down the rope
    to free it, but was seized by the townspeople. The Bishop made
    the people release the man, who climbed back to the ship, where
    the crew cut the rope and the ship rose and sailed out of sight.
    In all of his actions, the climbing man appeared as if he were
    swimming in water. Stories such as this makes one wonder if the
    legends of the "little people" of Ireland were based upon
    imagination alone.

    About the same time, in Lyons (France) three men and a women
    supposedly descended from an airship or spaceship and were
    captured by a mob. These foreigners admitted to being wizards,
    and were killed. (No mention is made of the methods employed to
    extract the admissions.) Many documented UFO sightings occurred
    throughout the Middle Ages, including an especially startling one
    of a UFO over London on 16 December 1742. However, we do not
    have room to include any more of the Middle Ages sightings.
    Instead, two "more-recent" sightings are contained in this
    section to bring us up to modern times.

    In a sworn statement dated 21 April 1897, a prosperous
    and prominent farmer named Alexander Hamilton (Le Roy, Kansas,
    U.S.A.) told of an attack upon his cattle at about 10:30 PM the
    previous Monday. He, his son, and his tenant grabbed axes and
    ran some 700 feet from the house to the cow lot where a great
    cigar-shaped ship about 300 feet long floated some 30 feet above
    his cattle. It had a carriage underneath which was brightly
    lighted within (dirigible and gondola?) and which had numerous
    windows. Inside were six strange looking beings jabbering in a
    foreign language. These beings suddenly became aware of Hamilton
    and the others. They immediately turned a searchlight on the
    farmer, and also turned on some power which sped up a turbine
    wheel (about 30 ft diameter) located under the craft. The ship
    rose, taking with it a two-year old heifer which was roped about
    the neck by a cable of one-half inch thick, red material. The
    next day a neighbor, Link Thomas, found the animal's hide, legs
    and head in his field. He was mystified at how the remains got
    to where they were because of the lack of tracks in the soft
    soil. Alexander Hamilton's sworn statement was accompanied by an
    affidavit as to his veracity. The affidavit was signed by ten of
    the local leading citizens.

    On the evening of 4 November 1957 at Fort Itaipu, Brazil,
    two sentries noted a "new star" in the sky. The "star" grew in
    size and within seconds stopped over the fort. It drifted slowly
    downward, was as large as a big aircraft, and was surrounded by a

    strong orange glow. A distinct humming sound was heard, and then
    the heat struck. A Sentry collapsed almost immediately, the
    other managed to slide to shelter under the heavy cannons where
    his loud cries awoke the garrison. While the troops were
    scrambling towards their battle stations, complete electrical
    failure occurred. There was panic until the lights came back on
    but a number of men still managed to see an orange glow leaving
    the area at high speed. Both sentries were found badly
    burned...one unconscious and the other incoherent, suffering from
    deep shock.

    Thus, UFO sightings not only appear to extend back to 47,000
    years through time but also are global in nature. One has the
    feeling that this phenomenon deserves some sort of valid
    scientific investigation, even if it is a low level effort.

    33.3 SOME THEORIES AS TO THE NATURE OF THE UFO PHENOMENON

    There are very few cohesive theories as to the nature of
    UFO's. Those theories that have been advanced can be collected
    in five groups:

    a. Mysticism
    b. Hoaxes, and rantings due to unstable personalities
    c. Secret Weapons
    d. Natural Phenomena
    e. Alien visitors

    Mysticism

    It is believed by some cults that the mission of UFO's and
    their crews is a spiritual one, and that all materialistic
    efforts to determine the UFO's nature are doomed to failure.

    Hoaxes and Rantings due to Unstable Personalities

    Some have suggested that all UFO reports were the results of
    pranks and hoaxes, or were made by people with unstable
    personalities. This attitude was particularly prevalent during
    the time period when the Air Force investigation was being
    operated under the code name of Project Grudge. A few airlines
    even went as far as to ground every pilot who reported seeing a
    "flying saucer." The only way for the pilot to regain flight
    status was to undergo a psychiatric examination. There was a
    noticeable decline in pilot reports during this time interval,
    and a few interpreted this decline to prove that UFO's were
    either hoaxes or the result of unstable personalities. It is of
    interest that NICAP (The National Investigations Committee on
    Aerial Phenomena) even today stillreceives reports from
    commercial pilots who neglect to notify either the Air Force or
    their own airline.

    There are a number of cases which indicate that not all

    reports fall in the hoax category. We will examine one such case
    now. It is the Socorro, New Mexico sighting made by police
    Sergeant Lonnie Zamora. Sergeant Zamora was patrolling the
    streets of Socorro on 24 April 1964 when he saw a shiny object
    drift down into an area of gullies on the edge of town. He also
    heard a loud roaring noise which sounded as if an old dynamite
    shed located out that way had exploded. He immediately radioed
    police headquarters, and drove out toward the shed. Zamora was
    forced to stop about 150 yards away from a deep gully in which
    there appeared to be an overturned car. He radioed that he was
    investigating a possible wreck, and then worked his car up onto
    the mesa and over toward the edge of the gully. He parked short,
    and when he walked the final few feet to the edge, he was amazed
    to see that it was not a car but instead was a weird eggshaped
    object about fifteen feet long, white in color and resting on
    short, metal legs. Beside it, unaware of his presence were two
    humanoids dressed in silvery coveralls. They seemed to be
    working on a portion of the underside of the object. Zamora was
    still standing there, surprised, when they suddenly noticed him
    and dove out of sight around the object. Zamora also headed the
    other way, back toward his car. He glanced back at the object
    just as a bright blue flame shot down from the underside. Within
    seconds the eggshaped thing rose out of the gully with "an
    earsplitting roar." The object was out of sight over the nearby
    mountains almost immediately, and Sergeant Zamora was moving the
    opposite direction almost as fast when he met Sergeant Sam Chavez
    who was responding to Zamora's earlier radio calls. Together
    they investigated the gully and found the bushes charred and
    still smoking where the blue flame had jetted down on them.
    About the charred area were four deep marks where the metal legs
    had been. Each mark was three and one half inches deep, and was
    circular in shape. The sand in the gully was very hard packed
    so no sign of the humanoids' footprints could be found. An
    official investigation was launched that same day, and all data
    obtained supported the stories of Zamora and Chavez. It is
    rather difficult to label this episode a hoax, and it is also
    doubtful that both Zamora and Chavez shared portions of the same
    hallucination.

    Secret Weapons

    A few individuals have proposed that UFO's are actually
    advanced weapon systems, and that their natures must not be
    revealed. Very few people accept this as a credible suggestion.

    Natural Phenomena

    It has also been suggested that at least some, and possibly
    all of the UFO cases were just mis-interpreted manifestations of
    natural phenomena. Undoubtedly this suggestion has some merit.
    People have reported, as UFO's, objects which were conclusively
    proven to be balloons (weather and skyhook), the planet Venus,
    man-made artificial satellites, normal aircraft, unusual cloud

    formations, and lights from ceilometers (equipment projecting
    light beams on cloud bases to determine the height of the
    aircraft visual ceiling). It is also suspected that people have
    reported mirages, optical illusions, swamp gas and ball lightning
    (a poorly-understood discharge of electrical energy in a
    spheroidal or ellipsoidal shape...some charges have lasted for up
    to fifteen minutes but the ball is usually no bigger than a large
    orange.) But it is difficult to tell a swamp dweller that the
    strange, fast-moving light he saw in the sky was swamp gas; and
    it is just as difficult to tell a farmer that a bright UFO in the
    sky is the same ball lightning that he has seen rolling along his
    fence wires in dry weather. Thus accidental mis-identification
    of what might well be natural phenomena breeds mistrust and
    disbelief; it leads to the hasty conclusion that the truth is
    deliberatly not being told. One last suggestion of interest has
    been made, that the UFO's were plasmoids from
    space...concentrated blobs of solar wind that succeeded in
    reaching the surface of the Earth. Somehow this last suggestion
    does not seem to be very plausible; perhaps because it ignores
    such things as penetration of Earth's magnetic field.

    Alien Visitors

    The most stimulating theory for us is that the UFO's are
    material objects which are either "Manned" or remote-controlled
    by beings who are alien to this planet. There is some evidence
    supporting this viewpoint. In addition to police Sergeant Lonnie
    Zamora's experience, let us consider the case of Barney and Betty
    Hill. On a trip through New England they lost two hours on the
    night of 19 September 1961 without even realizing it. However,
    after that night both Barney and Betty began developing
    psychological problems which eventually grew sufficiently severe
    that they submitted themselves to psychiatric examination and
    treatment. During the course of treatment hypnotherapy was used,
    and it yielded remarkably detailed and similar stories from both
    Barney and Betty. Essentially they had been hypotically
    kidnapped, taken aboard a UFO, submitted to two-hour physicals,
    and released with posthypnotic suggestions to forget the entire
    incident. The evidence is rather strong that this is what the
    Hills, even in their subconscious, believe happened to them. And
    it is of particular importance that after the "posthypnotic
    block" was removed, both of the Hills ceased having their
    psychological problems.

    The Hill's description of the aliens was similar to
    descriptions provided in other cases, but this particular type of
    alien appears to be in the minority. The most commonly described
    alien is about three and one half feet tall, has a round head
    (helmet?), arms reaching to or below his knees, and is wearing a
    silvery space suit or coveralls. Other aliens appear to be
    essentially the same as Earthmen, while still others have
    particularily wide (wrap around) eyes and mouths with very thin
    lips. And there is a rare group reported as about four feet

    tall, weight of around 35 pounds, and covered with thick hair or
    fur (clothing?). Members of this last group are described as
    being extremely strong. If such beings are visiting Earth, two
    questions arise: 1) why haven't they attempted to contact us
    officially? The answer to the first question may exist partially
    in Sergeant Lonnie Zamora's experience, and may exist partially
    in the Tunguska metor discussed in Chapter XXIX. In that chapter
    it was suggested that the Tunguska metor was actually a comet
    which exploded in the atmosphere, the ices melted and the dust
    spread out. Hence, no debris. However, it has also been
    suggested that the Tunguska meteor was actually an alien
    spacecraft that entered the atmosphere too rapidly, suffered
    mechanical failure, and lost its power supply and/or weapons in a
    nuclear explosion. While that hypothesis may seem far fetched,
    sample of tree rings from around the world reveal that,
    immediately after the Tunguska meteor explosion, the level of
    radioactivity in the world rose sharply for a short period of
    time. It is difficult to find a natural explanation for that
    increase in radioactivity, although the suggestion has been
    advanced that enough of the meteor's great Kinetic energy was
    converted into heat (by atmospheric friction) that a fusion
    reaction occurred. This still leaves us with no answer to the
    second question: why no contact? That question is very easy to
    answer in several ways: 1) we may be the object of intensive
    sociological and psychological study. In such studies you
    usually avoid disturbing the test subjects' environment; 2) you
    do not "contact" a colony of ants, and humans may seem that way
    to any aliens (variation: a zoo is fun to visit, but you don't
    "contact" the lizards); 3) such contact may have already taken
    place secretly; and 4) such contact may have already taken place
    on a different plane of awareness and we are not yet sensitive to communications on such a plane. These are just a few of the
    reasons. You may add to the list as you desire.

    33.4 HUMAN FEAR AND HOSTILITY

    Besides the foregoing reasons, contacting humans is
    downright dangerous. Think about that for a moment! On the
    microscopic level our bodies reject and fight (through production
    antibodies) any alien material; this process helps us fight off
    disease but it also sometimes results in allergic reactions to
    innocous materials. On the macroscopic (psychological and
    sociological) level we are antagonistic to beings that are
    "different". For proof of that, just watch how an odd child is
    treated by other children, or how a minority group is socially
    deprived, or how the Arabs feel about the Israelis (Chinese vs
    Japanese, Turks vs Greeks, etc.) In case you are hesitant to
    extend that concept to the treatment of aliens let me point out
    that in very ancient times, possible extraterrestrials may have
    been treated as Gods but in the last two thousand years, the
    evidence is that any possible aliens have been ripped apart by
    mobs, shot and shot at, physically assaulted, and in general
    treated with fear and aggression.

    In Ireland about 1,000 A.D., supposed airships were treated
    as "demonships." In Lyons, France, "admitted" space travellers
    were killed. More recently, on 24 July 1957 Russian anti-
    aircraft batteries on the Kouril Islands opened fire on UFO's.
    Although all Soviet anti-aircraft batteries on the Islands were
    in action, no hits were made. The UFO's were luminous and moved
    very fast. We too have fired on UFO's. About ten o'clock one
    morning, a radar site near a fighter base picked up a UFO doing
    700 mph. The UFO then slowed to 100 mph, and two F-86's were
    scrambled to intercept. Eventually one F-86 closed on the UFO at
    about 3,000 feet altitude. The UFO began to accelerate away but
    the pilot still managed to get within 500 yards of the target for
    a short period of time. It was definately saucer shaped. As the
    pilot pushed the F-86 at top speed, the UFO began to pull away.
    When the range reached 1,000 yards, the pilot armed his guns and
    fired in an attempt to down the saucer. He failed, and the UFO
    pulled away rapidly, vanishing in the distance. This same basic
    situation may have happened on a more personal level. On Sunday
    evening 21 August 1955, eight adults and three children were on
    the Sutton Farm (one-half mile from Kelly, Kentucky) when,
    according to them, one of the children saw a brightly glowing UFO
    settle behind the barn, out of sight from where he stood. Other
    witnesses on nearby farms also saw the object. However, the
    Suttons dismissed it as a "shooting star", and did not
    investigate. Approximately thirty minutes later (at 8:00 pm),
    the family dogs began barking so two of the men went to the back
    door and looked out. Approximately 50 feet away and coming
    toward them was a creature wearing a glowing silvery suit. It
    was about three and one-half feet tall with a large round head
    and very long arms. It had large webbed hands which were
    equipped with claws. The two Suttons grabbed a twelve gauge
    shotgun and a .22 caliber pistol, and fired at close range. They
    could hear the pellets and bullet ricochet as if off of metal.
    The creature was knocked down, but jumped up and scrambled away.
    The Suttons retreated into the house, turned off all inside
    lights, and turned on the porch light. At that moment, one of
    the women who was peeking out of the dining room window
    discovered that a creature with some sort of helmet and wide slit
    eyes was peeking back at her. She screamed, the men rushed in
    and started shooting. The creature was knocked backwards but
    again scrambled away without apparent harm. More shooting
    occurred (a total of about 50 rounds) over the next 20 minutes
    and the creatures finally left (perhaps feeling unwelcome?)
    After about a two hour wait (for safety), the Suttons left too.
    By the time the police got there, the aliens were gone but the
    Suttons would not move back to the farm. They sold it and
    departed. This reported incident does bear out the contention
    though that humans are dangerous. At no time in the story did
    the supposed aliens shoot back, although one is left with the
    imprssion that the described creatures were having fun scaring
    humans.



    33.5 ATTEMPTS AT SCIENTIFIC APPROACHES

    In any scientific endeavor, the first step is to aquire
    data, the second step to classify the data, and the third step to
    form hypothesis. The hypothesis are tested by repeating the
    entire process, with each cycle resulting in an increase in
    understanding (we hope). The UFO phenomenon does not yield
    readily to this approach because the data taken so far exhibits
    both excessive variety and vagueness. The vagueness is caused in
    part by the lack of preparation of the observer...very few people
    leave their house knowing that they are going to see a UFO that
    evening. Photographs are overexposed or underexposed, and rarely
    in color. Hardly anyone carries around a radiation counter or
    magnetometer. And, in addition to this, there is a very high
    level of "noise" in the data.

    The noise consists of mistaken reports of known natural
    phenomena, hoaxes, reports by unstable individuals and mistaken
    removal of data regarding possible unnatural or unknown natural
    phenomena (by overzealous individuals who are trying to eliminate
    all data due to known natural phenomena). In addition, those
    data, which do appear to be valid, exhibit an excessive amount of
    variety relative to the statistical samples which are available.
    This has led to very clumsy classification systems, which in turn
    provide quite unfertile ground for formulation of hypothesis.

    One hypothesis which looked promising for a time was that of
    ORTHOTENY (i.e., UFO sightings fall on "great circle" routes).
    At first, plots of sightings seemed to verify the concept of
    orthoteny but recent use of computers has revealed that even
    random numbers yield "great circle" plots as neatly as do UFO
    sightings.

    There is one solid advance that has been made though.
    Jacques and Janine Vallee have taken a particular type of UFO -
    namely those that are lower than tree-top level when sighted -
    and plotted the UFO's estimated diameter versus the estimated
    distance from the observer. The result yields an average
    diameter of 5 meters with a very characteristic drop for short
    viewing distances. This behavior at the extremes of the curve is
    well known to astronomers and psychologists as the "moon
    illusion." The illusion only occurs when the object being viewed
    is a real, physical object. Because this implies that the
    observers have viewed a real object, it permits us to accept also
    their statement that these particular UFO's had a rotational axis
    of symmetry.

    Anotehr, less solid, advance made by the Vallee's was their
    plotting of the total number of sightings per week versus the
    date. They did this for the time span from 1947 to 1962, and
    then attempted to match the peaks of the curve (every 2 years 2
    months) to the times of Earth-Mars conjuction (every 2 years 1.4
    months). The match was very good between 1950 and 1956 but was

    poor outside those limits. Also, the peaks were not only at the
    times of Earth-Mars conjunction but also roughly at the first
    harmonic (very loosely, every 13 months). This raises the
    question why should UFO's only visit Earth when Mars is in
    conjunction and when it is on the opposite side of the sun.
    Obviously, the conjunction periodicity of Mars is not the final
    answer. As it happens, there is an interesting possibility to
    consider. Suppose Jupiter's conjunctions were used; they are
    every 13.1 months. That would satisfy the observed periods
    nicelly, except for every even data peak being of different
    magnitude from every odd data peak. Perhaps a combination of
    Martian, Jovian, and Saturnian (and even other planetary)
    conjunctions will be necessary to match the frequency plot...if
    it can be matched.

    Further data correlation is quite difficult. There are a
    large number of different saucer shapes but this may mean little.
    For example, look at the number of different types of aircraft
    which are in use in the U. S. Air Force alone.

    In is obvious that intensive scientific study is needed in
    this area; no such study has yet been undertaken at the necessary
    levels of intensity needed. Something that must be guarded
    against in any such study is the trap of implicity assuming that
    our knowledge of Physics (or any other branch of science) is
    complete. An example of one such trap is selecting a group of
    physical laws which we now accept as valid, and assume that they
    will never be superceded.

    Five such laws might be:

    1) Every action must have an opposite and equal reaction.
    2) Every particle in the universe attracts every other particle
    with a force proportional to the product of the masses and
    inversely as the square of the distance.
    3) Energy, mass and momentum are conserved.
    4) No material body can have a speed as great as c, the speed of
    light in free space.
    5) The maximum energy, E, which can be obtained from a body at
    rest is E=mc2, where m is the rest mass of the body.

    Laws numbered 1 and 3 seem fairly safe, but let us hesitate
    and take another look. Actually, law number 3 is only valid
    (now) from a relativistic viewpoint; and for that matter so are
    laws 4 and 5. But relativity completely revised these physical
    concepts after 1915, before then Newtonian mechanics were
    supreme. We should also note that general relativity has not yet
    been verified. Thus we have the peculiar situation of five laws
    which appear to deny the possibility of intelligent alien control
    of UFO's, yet three of the laws are recent in concept and may not
    even be valid. Also, law number 2 has not yet been tested under
    conditions of large relative speeds or accelerations. We should
    not deny the possibility of alien control of UFO's on the basis

    of preconceived notions not established as related or relevant to
    the UFO's.

    33.6 CONCLUSION

    From available information, the UFO phenomenon appears to
    have been global in nature for almost 50,000 years. The majority
    of known witnesses have been reliable people who have seen
    easily-explained natural phenomena, and there appears to be no
    overall possitive correlation with population density. The
    entire phenomenon could be psychological in nature but that is
    quite doubtful. However, psychological factors probably do enter
    the data picture as "noise." The phenomenon could also be
    entirely due to known and unknown phenomena (with some
    psychological "noise" added in) but that too is questionable in
    view of some of the available data.

    This leaves us with the unpleasant possibility of alien
    visitors to our planet, or at least of alien controlled UFO's.
    However, the data are not well correlated, and what questionable
    data there are suggest the existence of at least three and maybe
    four differnet groups of aliens (possibly at different states of
    development). This too is difficult to accept. It implies the
    existence of intelligent life on a majority of the planets in our
    solar system, or a surprisingly strong interest in Earth by
    members of other solar systems.

    A solution to the UFO problem may be obtained by the long
    and diligent effort of a large group of well financed and
    competent scientists, unfortunately there is no evidence
    suggesting that such an effort is going to be made. However,
    enen if such an effort were made, there is no guarantee of
    success because of the isolated and sporatic nature of the
    sightings. Also, there may be nothing to find, and that would
    mean a long search with no profit at the end. The best thing to
    do is to keep an open and skeptical mind, and not take an extreme
    position on any side of the question.



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