ACUS01 KWNS 250109
SWODY1
SPC AC 250107

Day 1 Convective Outlook CORR 1
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0807 PM CDT Sat Oct 24 2026

Valid 250100Z - 251200Z

...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS
OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO AND FAR WEST TEXAS...

CORRECTED FOR INCORRECT HEADLINE

...SUMMARY...
Isolated severe wind/hail and a tornado remain possible across
portions of New Mexico and Far West Texas this evening.

... 01Z Update ...

Showers and thunderstorms continue across portions of the Southwest
this evening. The most intense of these storms are located across
portions of Far West Texas north into central New Mexico, where
radar imagery continues to suggest large hail and severe gusts
remains possible.

This evening's 00 UTC sounding from Albuquerque, NM, shows steep
low-level lapse rates that weaken in the mid-levels, yielding MUCAPE
around 900 J/kg. This instability has likely peaked for the evening
and should weaken with time as the low-levels stabilize with the
loss of diurnal heating. The ongoing congealing of thunderstorms
will continue, which when combined with weakening instability will
lead to an increasingly sporadic and less organized severe threat
overnight. That said, sufficient instability and low-level shear
exists that the threat for isolated large hail and severe
thunderstorm wind gusts may still occur over the next couple of
hours.

..Marsh.. 10/25/2026

$$
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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)