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  • MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2095

    From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Sat Aug 22 23:38:08 2026
    ACUS11 KWNS 222337
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 222337
    VAZ000-WVZ000-TNZ000-KYZ000-230100-

    Mesoscale Discussion 2095
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0637 PM CDT Sat Aug 22 2026

    Areas affected...Portions of eastern KY...far western VA...and
    eastern TN

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 616...

    Valid 222337Z - 230100Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 616
    continues.

    SUMMARY...The risk of locally damaging wind gusts and hail may
    spread east of Severe Thunderstorm Watch 616 this evening, though a
    downstream watch is not expected.

    DISCUSSION...Along an eastward-moving cold front, two clusters of
    loosely organized thunderstorms in Middle TN and eastern KY are
    tracking east-southeastward toward the eastern edge of Severe
    Thunderstorm Watch 616 this evening. Around 30-40 kt of midlevel west-northwesterly flow (per JKL/OHX VWPs) oriented perpendicular to
    the front will aid in the maintenance of these storms for the next
    hour or so -- before reaching the higher terrain. This will
    especially be the case into eastern TN -- where lower/middle 80s
    temperatures and upper 60s dewpoints remain in place. As a result,
    the risk of locally damaging wind gusts and hail may spread east of
    the watch. However, given the localized nature of the ongoing severe
    risk, a downstream watch is not expected.

    ..Weinman.. 08/22/2026

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!4VSNA4PP3aO2WpCCVUjh-0_K3MKqIaEeS2TGiMsnzNcewAb2wHQjR89Y7CuS1p2kB1ON_g4uStAE0n66mqGUF270XVE$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...RNK...RLX...MRX...JKL...OHX...

    LAT...LON 36108557 36278521 36698420 37368336 37718261 37788245
    37728207 37498184 37088184 36478219 35828309 35298452
    35308514 35518552 35808569 36108557

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN


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    --- scorpsmtpd
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)