ACUS11 KWNS 222301
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 222300
PAZ000-MDZ000-WVZ000-VAZ000-230030-

Mesoscale Discussion 2093
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0600 PM CDT Sat Aug 22 2026

Areas affected...Portions of western/central PA...far northern
WV...and western MD

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 614...

Valid 222300Z - 230030Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 614
continues.

SUMMARY...The risk of locally damaging wind gusts continues in the
near term, though the severe risk should gradually decrease into
central Pennsylvania. Therefore, a downstream watch should not be
needed.

DISCUSSION...A strongly forced, north/south-oriented band of storms
is tracking eastward across western PA, with additional pre-frontal
cells evolving in the cooler air downstream. Given a
well-established cold pool and around 30 kt of 0-6 km shear (per CCX
VWP) oriented perpendicular to the gust front, the risk of locally
damaging wind gusts will continue in the near term. However, the
immediate downstream air mass is characterized by cooler surface temperatures/weaker buoyancy, which should tend to limit the severe
risk with eastward extent into central PA this evening. Therefore,
while a localized risk of strong/locally damaging wind gusts could
persist slightly east of Severe Thunderstorm Watch 614, a downstream
watch is not currently expected.

..Weinman.. 08/22/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!_PiJ6v2i6pbM5enxY0x1kdWrWkIWI1Iw2J226ouaPW-xvUrTz5BWBVeNWxRKv-JXMYrpqJagJe5kkitjv8POnNSf9LU$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...CTP...LWX...PBZ...

LAT...LON 39627968 40477943 41627892 41857858 41817800 41637758
41397743 40757751 40157776 39507815 39177882 39337961
39627968

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN


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