ACUS11 KWNS 211810
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 211810
GAZ000-FLZ000-ALZ000-212015-

Mesoscale Discussion 2067
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0110 PM CDT Fri Aug 21 2026

Areas affected...portions of the central Gulf Coast into
central/southern Georgia

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely

Valid 211810Z - 212015Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...Widely scattered to scattered thunderstorms may pose a
risk for isolated damaging downburst wind gusts through this
evening. Watch issuance appears unlikely at this time.

DISCUSSION...Isolated thunderstorms are ongoing across west-central
Alabama and southern Georgia as of 1800 UTC, with additional
development expected along a remnant outflow boundary and within
pockets of modestly enhanced surface convergence across the region
through the afternoon. High PW (1.75-2.0+ inches) and steepening
low-level lapse rates will foster at least an isolated risk for
damaging wind gusts with water-loaded downbursts; however,
marginally cooler temperatures (low 90s F) and modestly weaker
low-to-mid level flow (less than 15-20 kts per area VWPs) suggest
the coverage and magnitude of the severe risk may be somewhat more
limited compared to areas farther west. Given this, the need for a
Severe Thunderstorm Watch is more uncertain but appears unlikely at
this time. Trends will continue to be monitored, and a watch could
be considered should a corridor of greater damaging wind gust
potential become evident.

..Chalmers/Smith.. 08/21/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!7oeYC9YxIbM7_5eWo3JrSRzRtRF4y6Yazv62vFuBVIouUqPc05kwcWM7vVCxejPUgsKnkSFBf4aHKoGz27m8_7_5IKY$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...CHS...CAE...JAX...FFC...TAE...BMX...MOB...

LAT...LON 30618401 30338569 30488632 30828677 31338705 31938709
32268681 32498648 33168410 33328308 33228222 33018191
32638160 32308146 31788150 31268179 30998225 30838276
30618401

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH


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