ACUS11 KWNS 190657
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 190657
MOZ000-KSZ000-190830-

Mesoscale Discussion 2036
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0157 AM CDT Wed Aug 19 2026

Areas affected...Northeast Kansas...west-central Missouri

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 598...

Valid 190657Z - 190830Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 598
continues.

SUMMARY...The severe wind and hail threat continues within Severe
Thunderstorm Watch 598. Additionally, a localized severe threat
will exist with a compact line segment of storms east of the watch
over central Missouri.

DISCUSSION...Strong/severe thunderstorms continue within a
WNW-ESE-oriented zone across northeast KS and west-central MO at
0645z, with recent reports of golfball-sized hail and severe gusts.
The storms persist within a zone of strong low-level warm/moist
advection, moderate MUCAPE averaging 1500 - 2000 J/kg, and 45-50 kts
of effective shear. Given this environment, a combination of both
supercell and multicell cluster storm modes is likely continue
through 09z with an attendant risk for large hail and damaging
gusts.

Downstream, a compact line segment of storms was moving into central
MO southwest of Jefferson City. These storms were along the northern
fringe of a steeper mid-level lapse rate plume and within a gradient
in MUCAPE of 1000 to 1500 J/kg. While some severe risk is expected
to continue with this line of storms, the overall longevity is
uncertain and a watch in this area is not currently expected.

..Bunting/Mosier.. 08/19/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!-mFr3gRPwTSbIfxOFwATvx7RRxZwQDB-XW44slASdFeuxmj8HF1oKw6lSC_DAm4xxTGoMNYdHbUhYlb7AYIMAMoPEwg$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LSX...SGF...EAX...TOP...

LAT...LON 39529590 39449493 39109361 38499179 38029184 37739186
37629263 38039429 38209481 38879528 39309588 39529590

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN


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--- scorpsmtpd
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