• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2033

    From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Wed Aug 19 03:37:28 2026
    ACUS11 KWNS 190337
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 190337
    MOZ000-KSZ000-190400-

    Mesoscale Discussion 2033
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    1037 PM CDT Tue Aug 18 2026

    Areas affected...portions of northeastern Kansas into western
    Missouri

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 598...

    Valid 190337Z - 190400Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 598
    continues.

    SUMMARY...A swath of damaging to occasionally severe gusts is
    becoming increasingly likely along the KS/MO border, including the
    Kansas City Metropolitan area. A few nearby supercell structures may
    also pose an occasional risk for severe hail.

    DISCUSSION...An MCS is organizing over northeastern KS, with KEAX
    reflectivity and velocity data depicting the potential for
    hydrometeor loading given large merging cores. As a result, several
    severe gusts have been observed over the last 30 minutes. The
    current thinking is that appreciable outflow with these storms will
    yield a damaging to occasionally severe wind swath along the KS/MO
    border despite the decoupled boundary layer in place. These storms
    will pass over the Kansas City Metropolitan area over the next hour
    or so, accompanied by gusts occasionally exceeding 60 mph. Transient
    supercells are also flanking this MCS to the southwest with deeper
    cores, which may favor a few instances of severe hail as well.

    ..Squitieri.. 08/19/2026

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!-Tb7bKGVal9Q-Dhlxg_v7hsMFoGCROXkRu7OiBBjlgOuxUHZ-OKqGhGnM_RbEHDfvxJD5BI2Jo49x2ke3WHxJLdu8ZI$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...EAX...TOP...

    LAT...LON 39519646 39309408 39019360 38529354 38289392 38299489
    38449560 38829650 39519646

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN


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    --- scorpsmtpd
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)