ACUS11 KWNS 240546
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 240546=20
TXZ000-OKZ000-240715-

Mesoscale Discussion 0845
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1246 AM CDT Sun May 24 2026

Areas affected...Parts of western North TX and far southwestern OK

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 240546Z - 240715Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...Potential for sporadic strong-severe gusts will continue
for another hour or so.

DISCUSSION...A cluster of thunderstorms with a recent history of
producing measured gusts of 60-75 mph is tracking east-southeastward
across western North TX and far southwestern OK. While large-scale
forcing for ascent is weak and the low-level jet is not particularly
strong, recent radar data from LBB and FDR indicate a trailing
stratiform region and signs of an established (albeit modest)
rear-inflow jet. Related cold pool dynamics should continue to
support new updrafts along the leading gust front as it tracks east-southeastward through a corridor of weakly unstable air, and
sporadic strong-severe gusts will remain possible before this
cluster weakens over the next couple hours.

..Weinman/Smith.. 05/24/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!6ZNepaPwTgKW6it_BXQ0qCUeQtDflqZF5bOrQ8vfyzz_TpsbnTz7eEdWKJKZc5S93utoWJgkx= _ZBgsfK5h8L2K_dAi4$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...SJT...LUB...MAF...

LAT...LON 33180064 33470031 33840010 34510005 34649971 34589936
34329889 33859858 33469851 32889866 32579917 32589967
32630033 32910069 33180064=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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