ACUS11 KWNS 192248
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 192248=20
TXZ000-200045-

Mesoscale Discussion 0795
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0548 PM CDT Tue May 19 2026

Areas affected...much of central Texas

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 232...

Valid 192248Z - 200045Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 232
continues.

SUMMARY...Slow-moving cells continue to pose locally damaging hail
and wind threat from the Trans-Pecos through the Hill Country.
Additional areas east of WW 232 may eventually need to be in a
watch.

DISCUSSION...A very moist and unstable air mass exists south of the
main cold front draped west-east across central TX. Severe storms
remain ongoing from Sanderson to San Angelo, with new development
along the front west of Waco TX.

Given the slow movement of these storms, most of the activity should
remain in WW 232, however, the new development east of the watch
will likely need to be addressed as hail and locally severe
downbursts may occur.=20

Eventually, merging outflows will favor upscale growth into an MCS,
with damaging wind potential spreading east/southeast.

..Jewell.. 05/19/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!91gQj1Mvt24Gs7IIio0oLlhgM5qvm2adWvUPiGKN7d8dBJCsx6HIe3rU3QV9n74Kzwrpypwh5= 7MwGicbgppmLDRuVgs$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...HGX...FWD...EWX...SJT...MAF...

LAT...LON 29790222 29830262 30050275 30250271 30600228 31020170
31340101 31290033 31149964 31209888 31479833 31899788
31979747 31779705 31329650 30829633 30539635 30209667
29869810 29770123 29790222=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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