• Conservative team selection of Pope MAY have cost England The Ashes and a one sided series

    From FBInCIAnNSATerroristSlayer@FBInCIAnNSATerroristSlayer@america.com to uk.sport.cricket on Tue Jan 6 22:34:33 2026
    From Newsgroup: uk.sport.cricket



    McCullum and Stokes will probably rue for NOT selecting Bethell at #3
    instead of taking the conservative route with Pope.

    IF I were them, I would have definitely chosen Bethell instead of Pope
    because you have to take a calculated bold gamble when playing the
    worlds best team Australia in ashes.

    What was Jacks thinking SLOGGING on "second ball" he faced when England
    was ahead by just 30 odd runs?


    I think England lost the series more because of muddled thinking than anything.
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  • From David North@nospam@lane-farm.fsnet.co.uk to uk.sport.cricket on Wed Jan 7 11:05:08 2026
    From Newsgroup: uk.sport.cricket

    On 07/01/2026 06:34, FBInCIAnNSATerroristSlayer wrote:


    McCullum and Stokes will probably rue for NOT selecting Bethell at #3 instead of taking the conservative route with Pope.

    IF I were them, I would have definitely chosen Bethell instead of Pope because you have to take a calculated bold gamble when playing the
    worlds best team Australia in ashes.

    It seems very unlikely that that one change would have made the
    difference between losing and winning the Ashes, assuming that England
    go on to lose the final Test, as seems very probable.

    The Test where it would have been most likely to affect the outcome was Adelaide, where, given Pope's scores of 3 and 17, there is at least a significant chance that the inclusion of Bethell would have made up the
    82-run difference.

    At Brisbane (Pope 0 & 26), the size of the winning margin (8 wksts)
    suggests that the chances of Bethell making the difference would have
    been very low.

    At Perth, where Pope (46 & 33) was the second-highest scorer in both
    innings, only a few behind Brook and Atkinson respectively, and the
    highest for England overall, the probability that Bethell would have
    done ANY better, let alone enough to reverse the result, must be fairly low.
    --
    David North
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  • From FBInCIAnNSATerroristSlayer@FBInCIAnNSATerroristSlayer@america.com to uk.sport.cricket on Wed Jan 7 08:19:26 2026
    From Newsgroup: uk.sport.cricket

    On 1/7/2026 3:05 AM, David North wrote:
    On 07/01/2026 06:34, FBInCIAnNSATerroristSlayer wrote:


    McCullum and Stokes will probably rue for NOT selecting Bethell at #3
    instead of taking the conservative route with Pope.

    IF I were them, I would have definitely chosen Bethell instead of Pope
    because you have to take a calculated bold gamble when playing the
    worlds best team Australia in ashes.

    It seems very unlikely that that one change would have made the
    difference between losing and winning the Ashes, assuming that England
    go on to lose the final Test, as seems very probable.



    Not true.

    Look at the BIG PICTURE.

    Bethell helped England WIN Melbourne test with considerable contribution
    in I2.

    Now IMAGINE Pope in Bethell's place in that situation and everything
    else remaining the same in the test.

    Pope would have been out for less than 15 runs. Pope's batting has
    always been OVERRATED to begin with especially in pressure situations
    except occasional innings like the one vs India in Hyderabad.






    The Test where it would have been most likely to affect the outcome was Adelaide, where, given Pope's scores of 3 and 17, there is at least a significant chance that the inclusion of Bethell would have made up the 82-run difference.




    YES.



    At Brisbane (Pope 0 & 26), the size of the winning margin (8 wksts)
    suggests that the chances of Bethell making the difference would have
    been very low.




    Not true.

    When your No.3 scores a 50+ and consumes good no.of overs TIRING the opponent's bowlers, it gives more confidence to the rest of the batsmen
    coming down the order, not to mention some good rest.






    At Perth, where Pope (46 & 33) was the second-highest scorer in both innings, only a few behind Brook and Atkinson respectively, and the
    highest for England overall, the probability that Bethell would have
    done ANY better, let alone enough to reverse the result, must be fairly
    low.




    You are NOT considering the psychological affect on the team when your
    No.3 scores like Bethell.

    Bethell can also bowl a few overs too, giving some rest to strike bowlers.



    Jacob Bethell: Can England's star of the future be their saviour of the now?

    Astonishing debut century lived up to the hype, but England need even
    more from him to atone for other failings https://www.espncricinfo.com/story/bethell-star-future-saviour-of-now-ashes-1518447





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  • From FBInCIAnNSATerroristSlayer@FBInCIAnNSATerroristSlayer@america.com to uk.sport.cricket on Wed Jan 7 12:19:10 2026
    From Newsgroup: uk.sport.cricket

    On 1/7/2026 3:05 AM, David North wrote:
    On 07/01/2026 06:34, FBInCIAnNSATerroristSlayer wrote:


    McCullum and Stokes will probably rue for NOT selecting Bethell at #3
    instead of taking the conservative route with Pope.

    IF I were them, I would have definitely chosen Bethell instead of Pope
    because you have to take a calculated bold gamble when playing the
    worlds best team Australia in ashes.

    It seems very unlikely that that one change would have made the
    difference between losing and winning the Ashes, assuming that England
    go on to lose the final Test, as seems very probable.

    The Test where it would have been most likely to affect the outcome was Adelaide, where, given Pope's scores of 3 and 17, there is at least a significant chance that the inclusion of Bethell would have made up the 82-run difference.

    At Brisbane (Pope 0 & 26), the size of the winning margin (8 wksts)
    suggests that the chances of Bethell making the difference would have
    been very low.

    At Perth, where Pope (46 & 33) was the second-highest scorer in both innings, only a few behind Brook and Atkinson respectively, and the
    highest for England overall, the probability that Bethell would have
    done ANY better, let alone enough to reverse the result, must be fairly
    low.




    I certainly think the result would have been a tightly contested 3-2 or
    2-3 IF England played Bethell at No.3 instead of Pope and so do some
    cricket columnists.




    From Cricinfo column by Vithushan:


    "The elation at Bethell's arrival as a Test cricketer was largely lost
    in the wider frustration at another England opportunity missed. It
    speaks to the management's indecision about the No.3 berth that, in this innings alone, Bethell has outscored Ollie Pope's haul of 125 from the
    first three live Tests. Things could have been different on this tour,
    for a myriad of reasons. Add this one to the list of what-ifs."

    His story had been a blend of experiences, proper preparation and a
    focus on technique. It is not quite in step with how this England team
    has traditionally operated, and yet this is the only set-up that would
    have taken a punt on such a player in the first place.

    Alas, they did not do so when it really mattered. The Ashes were long
    gone before Bethell arrived. But the future of the Test side is brighter
    now that he is here to stay. This shining beacon ofrCa




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  • From David North@nospam@lane-farm.fsnet.co.uk to uk.sport.cricket on Thu Jan 8 05:52:30 2026
    From Newsgroup: uk.sport.cricket

    On 07/01/2026 16:19, FBInCIAnNSATerroristSlayer wrote:
    On 1/7/2026 3:05 AM, David North wrote:
    On 07/01/2026 06:34, FBInCIAnNSATerroristSlayer wrote:


    McCullum and Stokes will probably rue for NOT selecting Bethell at #3
    instead of taking the conservative route with Pope.

    IF I were them, I would have definitely chosen Bethell instead of
    Pope because you have to take a calculated bold gamble when playing
    the worlds best team Australia in ashes.

    It seems very unlikely that that one change would have made the
    difference between losing and winning the Ashes, assuming that England
    go on to lose the final Test, as seems very probable.



    Not true.

    Look at the BIG PICTURE.

    Bethell helped England WIN Melbourne test with considerable contribution
    in I2.

    Now IMAGINE Pope in Bethell's place in that situation and everything
    else remaining the same in the test.

    Pope would have been out for less than 15 runs. Pope's batting has
    always been OVERRATED to begin with especially in pressure situations
    except occasional innings like the one vs India in Hyderabad.






    The Test where it would have been most likely to affect the outcome
    was Adelaide, where, given Pope's scores of 3 and 17, there is at
    least a significant chance that the inclusion of Bethell would have
    made up the 82-run difference.




    YES.



    At Brisbane (Pope 0 & 26), the size of the winning margin (8 wksts)
    suggests that the chances of Bethell making the difference would have
    been very low.




    Not true.

    When your No.3 scores a 50+ and consumes good no.of overs TIRING the opponent's bowlers, it gives more confidence to the rest of the batsmen coming down the order, not to mention some good rest.

    _IF_ he scores 50+, which Bethell did once in 4 innings in this series.
    In most innings, he won't, like everyone else in Test history who has
    played more than 10 innings, except Bradman. Note that, in 6 Tests, he
    has yet to get past 16 in the first innings. As for "consumes good no.of overs", he has faced 50 balls 3 times in 12 Test innings; it's not like
    he's a blocker.

    At Perth, where Pope (46 & 33) was the second-highest scorer in both
    innings, only a few behind Brook and Atkinson respectively, and the
    highest for England overall, the probability that Bethell would have
    done ANY better, let alone enough to reverse the result, must be
    fairly low.




    You are NOT considering the psychological affect

    effect

    on the team when your
    No.3 scores like Bethell.

    Bethell can also bowl a few overs too, giving some rest to strike bowlers.

    That would have been useful at Brisbane and Adelaide, but not at Perth
    any more than it was at Melbourne.
    --
    David North
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  • From Andy Walker@anw@cuboid.co.uk to uk.sport.cricket on Thu Jan 8 16:04:50 2026
    From Newsgroup: uk.sport.cricket

    On 08/01/2026 05:52, David North wrote:
    _IF_ he scores 50+, which Bethell did once in 4 innings in this
    series. In most innings, he won't, like everyone else in Test
    history who has played more than 10 innings, except Bradman.

    Perhaps worth noting that normal players [including Bradman,
    for once] beat their averages around one time in three. It is quite
    normal to make several low scores in succession. We should not be
    surprised if [eg] Joe Root fails to score 50 in [eg] six consecutive
    innings [eg three completed Tests] from time to time. OTOH, the
    siren voices, that X should be dropped, tend to start at four or
    so consecutive [relative] failures. Esp if the failure looks to
    conservative commentators to be due to poor shot selection; it's
    easy to blame the failed ramp [or whatever] and forget the times
    that shot has been productive.
    --
    Andy Walker, Nottingham.
    Andy's music pages: www.cuboid.me.uk/andy/Music
    Composer of the day: www.cuboid.me.uk/andy/Music/Composers/Handel
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