• Re: Weather forecasts - or not?

    From Marland@gemehabal@btinternet.co.uk to uk.d-i-y on Mon Jan 12 00:59:08 2026
    From Newsgroup: uk.d-i-y

    Chris Green <cl@isbd.net> wrote:
    There used to
    be light vessels and weather observation ships all aound the oceans
    but no loner.


    I realise that this thread is now over a month old but,

    Those thinly spaced light vessels and weather observation ships have been replaced by weather data constantly being transmitted from the 100rCOs of ships plying the Seas and Oceans and the aircraft flying above them and the Continents .

    This is just one company that agrees to do so. <https://www.maersk.com/news/articles/2022/02/07/maersk-vessels-live-feed-meteorologists-around-the-globe-with-weather-data>

    This is a short article on the aviation equivalent <https://skybrary.aero/articles/aircraft-meteorological-data-relay-amdar>

    That is heck of a lot more information being gathered and sent back
    constantly than the 10 or so weather ships that several nations once
    operated in the areas where the weather would affect the UK mainly in the Atlantic. The UK had four but not all would be on station together.
    Somewhere around 1800 aircraft on average cross the Atlantic each day so
    with many of them automatically sending weather data back the amount of information . There is no point in operating dedicated weather ships any
    more though various Meteorological agencies including the UK one do deploy
    some automatic weather bouys , they send data back by satellite an option
    that wasnrCOt available for most of the Atlantic weather ship era which ended in 2010 when the Norwegians withdrew the last one.

    GH
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  • From alan_m@junk@admac.myzen.co.uk to uk.d-i-y on Mon Jan 12 05:53:08 2026
    From Newsgroup: uk.d-i-y

    On 12/01/2026 00:59, Marland wrote:


    That is heck of a lot more information being gathered and sent back constantly than the 10 or so weather ships that several nations once operated in the areas where the weather would affect the UK mainly in the Atlantic. The UK had four but not all would be on station together.
    Somewhere around 1800 aircraft on average cross the Atlantic each day so with many of them automatically sending weather data back the amount of information . There is no point in operating dedicated weather ships any
    more though various Meteorological agencies including the UK one do deploy some automatic weather bouys , they send data back by satellite an option that wasnrCOt available for most of the Atlantic weather ship era which ended in 2010 when the Norwegians withdrew the last one.

    GH


    A ship would give the mainly data available at sea level and the
    aircraft would give data available at 32,000 feet and often for a
    limited area as they use the jet steam to save on fuel costs.

    Irrespective of how much data is collected it comes down to
    interpretation for predicting forward weather. Unfortunately so many
    weather apps on mobile phones and on short summaries on TV channels give conflicting information which is often incorrect on the day.
    --
    mailto : news {at} admac {dot} myzen {dot} co {dot} uk
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  • From The Natural Philosopher@tnp@invalid.invalid to uk.d-i-y on Mon Jan 12 11:34:42 2026
    From Newsgroup: uk.d-i-y

    On 12/01/2026 05:53, alan_m wrote:
    Irrespective of how much data is collected it comes down to
    interpretation for predicting forward weather. Unfortunately so many
    weather apps on mobile phones and on short summaries on TV channels give conflicting information which is often incorrect on the day.

    The problem is that weather forecasting is incapable of any precision
    due to paucity of data and simplicity of the models.

    That doesn't stop people expecting it or claiming that they really do
    know the future.
    --
    If you tell a lie big enough and keep repeating it, people will
    eventually come to believe it. The lie can be maintained only for such
    time as the State can shield the people from the political, economic
    and/or military consequences of the lie. It thus becomes vitally
    important for the State to use all of its powers to repress dissent, for
    the truth is the mortal enemy of the lie, and thus by extension, the
    truth is the greatest enemy of the State.

    Joseph Goebbels




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  • From John R Walliker@jrwalliker@gmail.com to uk.d-i-y on Mon Jan 12 12:47:30 2026
    From Newsgroup: uk.d-i-y

    On 12/01/2026 00:59, Marland wrote:
    Chris Green <cl@isbd.net> wrote:
    There used to
    be light vessels and weather observation ships all aound the oceans
    but no loner.


    I realise that this thread is now over a month old but,

    Those thinly spaced light vessels and weather observation ships have been replaced by weather data constantly being transmitted from the 100rCOs of ships plying the Seas and Oceans and the aircraft flying above them and the Continents .

    This is just one company that agrees to do so. <https://www.maersk.com/news/articles/2022/02/07/maersk-vessels-live-feed-meteorologists-around-the-globe-with-weather-data>

    This is a short article on the aviation equivalent <https://skybrary.aero/articles/aircraft-meteorological-data-relay-amdar>

    That is heck of a lot more information being gathered and sent back constantly than the 10 or so weather ships that several nations once operated in the areas where the weather would affect the UK mainly in the Atlantic. The UK had four but not all would be on station together.
    Somewhere around 1800 aircraft on average cross the Atlantic each day so with many of them automatically sending weather data back the amount of information . There is no point in operating dedicated weather ships any
    more though various Meteorological agencies including the UK one do deploy some automatic weather bouys , they send data back by satellite an option that wasnrCOt available for most of the Atlantic weather ship era which ended in 2010 when the Norwegians withdrew the last one.

    The Met Office were certainly using weather buoys with satellite links
    in 1978 when I visited the Bracknell site and was shown one on the
    bench. There were others at sea sending back data.
    John

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  • From news20k.noreply@news20k.noreply@threeformcow.myzen.co.uk (#Paul) to uk.d-i-y on Mon Jan 12 11:51:54 2026
    From Newsgroup: uk.d-i-y

    alan_m <junk@admac.myzen.co.uk> wrote:
    Irrespective of how much data is collected it comes down to
    interpretation for predicting forward weather.

    ... not to mention (ensembles of) large and computationally intensive simulations.


    #Paul
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  • From The Natural Philosopher@tnp@invalid.invalid to uk.d-i-y on Tue Jan 13 09:08:30 2026
    From Newsgroup: uk.d-i-y

    On 12/01/2026 11:51, #Paul wrote:
    alan_m <junk@admac.myzen.co.uk> wrote:
    Irrespective of how much data is collected it comes down to
    interpretation for predicting forward weather.

    ... not to mention (ensembles of) large and computationally intensive simulations.


    those ARE the 'interpretations'....

    #Paul
    --
    "Nature does not give up the winter because people dislike the cold."

    rCo Confucius

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