On Mon, 12/29/2025 5:40 PM, Spike wrote:
Brian <noinv@lid.org> wrote:
Davey <davey@example.invalid> wrote:
Just received this, for comparison:
Cheapest Electricity in North America:
1. Quebec 7.8-o EfAo Hydro
2. Manitoba 10.2-o EfAo Hydro
3. British Columbia 11.7-o EfAo Hydro
4. New Brunswick 13.9-o rUcN+A Nuclear / Hydro
5. Ontario 14.1-o rUcN+A Nuclear / Hydro
6. Newfoundland 14.8-o EfAo Hydro
7. Nevada (USA) ~16.4-o ryCN+A Solar / Gas
8. Louisiana (USA) ~16.9-o rc+ Gas
9. Idaho (USA) ~17.1-o EfAo Hydro
10. Tennessee (USA) ~18.2-o rUcN+A Nuclear / Hydro
Most Expensive Energy in North America:
1. Hawaii ~54.2-o EfcoN+A Imported Oil
2. California ~43.9-o EfoN Wildfire Costs / Grid
3. Connecticut ~41.8-o rc+ Gas / Grid Fees
4. Massachusetts ~41.7-o rc+ Gas Constraint
5. Rhode Island ~38.8-o rc+ Gas Dependence
6. Maine ~38.3-o rUi Grid Upgrades
7. New Hampshire ~38.1-o rc+ Gas Dependence
8. New York ~37.3-o EfAON+A Urban Delivery Costs
9. Alaska ~37.2-o rYaN+A Remote Generation
10. Vermont ~32.8-o rUi Import Reliance
Sources: Hydro-Quebec Annual Comparison Report & US Energy Information >>>> Administration (EIA) Residential Data. Rates adjusted to CAD.
Comparing it to the UK prices, we are being well and truly ripped off, even >>> if you believe the Ofgen numbers.
We need to be drilling, fracking, and digging coal, while developing
Nuclear power.
I usually listen to half an hour of the morning Today programme on BBC R4, >> from 0600 onwards. When those that run businesses are interviewed in that
section of the programme, many complain of the extraordinary high price of >> UK electricity, which puts them at a serious competitive disadvantage when >> compared to other countries. We have been promised cheap renewable
electricity for twenty years and yet thererCOs no end in sight to the rip-off
prices. About six months ago the CEO of a major energy retailer interviewed >> for the programme let the cat out of the bag by admitting that cheap
renewables were for rCOthe medium to long termrCO - in other words, forget >> about cheap electricity.
The good news (if there is really any such news to be had),
is that people are building bigger batteries. I read of some
project a couple days ago, aiming for 1.8GW sizing for a battery.
Once the idea makes the rounds, it might become more common,
a facility with larger dimension. And then more of that fine
"perfectly free" power can be made available a 8PM on a windless
night.
Lithium isn't the only chemistry suited to making stationary storage,
and lithium has been falling in price for a while now. Yet the retail price of batteries, the curve for that has not followed the price of making them. And the latest propaganda piece was complaining about "the Chinese will corner the market". Which is surely true when the shirkers stop building
the battery factory building and... give up. It's a foregone conclusion,
that at least for some tech types, the Chinese will win and they will
set the price.
On 30/12/2025 20:33, Paul wrote:
I don't know if there are any current price estimates for
"renewable source plus one day storage" and then what price
the lekky would be. Normally, contract prices are set for
"free" lekky without a battery, which is not a useful thing to be
pricing out. We need to know what it would cost, if the power could
be dispatched any time.
There are published costs for the current large battery installations
and they are not insignificant when compared to the average domestic
demand. Add the costs of the infrastructure upgrades needed to support
new solar and wind farms in places where the grid doesn't exist or in
rural locations where historically the grid has only had to supply a relatively small demand. In the UK we are unlikely to see any
significant reduction in our electricity bills in the next decade or more.
On 30/12/2025 19:28, Andrew wrote:
On 30/12/2025 10:54, The Natural Philosopher wrote:
On 29/12/2025 20:21, Brian wrote:
We need to be drilling, fracking, and digging coal, while developing+1
Nuclear power.
Err, no. Whatever coal we have is under important stuff
likes roads, houses, hospitals and factories. We have
limited easily accessible coal deposits
Apart from which coal can be mined in Oz and shipped
half way round the world to the UK and landed at about
a third of the cost of deep mining it here.
Do you *really* want Scargill and others back in charge
of energy policy ?.
No-one is going to start sinking a new deep coal mine here in the UK[1],
and all the deep mines we used to have are now unrecoverable.
[1] I speak with some authority[2] because my great Grandfather moved
from the Forest of Dean to Derbyshire, to sink a new deep mine there.
[2] No, that isn't a serious statement.
Trying to explain electricity prices by reference to one variable is a pretty limited way of looking at things.So the renewable advocates would have you believe
On 31/12/2025 09:11, Spike wrote:
TNP can tell you about electricity generation in the Republic of Ireland,
where a study of generation from a mix of gas and wind showed that the
cheapest method was to run gas flat out all the time, and flog the
unreliable wind power to the Brits.
-aCheapest to run gas flat out in the middle of a hot summer's night ?
On 31/12/2025 09:54, Nick Finnigan wrote:
On 31/12/2025 09:11, Spike wrote:
TNP can tell you about electricity generation in the Republic of Ireland, >>> where a study of generation from a mix of gas and wind showed that the
cheapest method was to run gas flat out all the time, and flog the
unreliable wind power to the Brits.
-a-aCheapest to run gas flat out in the middle of a hot summer's night ?
Depends. The cost benefit is of course well understood by Eirgrid.
It is cost effective to shut down less efficient gas plant for weeks at a time, but not for hours at a time.
On 31/12/2025 11:34, The Natural Philosopher wrote:
On 31/12/2025 09:54, Nick Finnigan wrote:
On 31/12/2025 09:11, Spike wrote:
TNP can tell you about electricity generation in the Republic of
Ireland,
where a study of generation from a mix of gas and wind showed that the >>>> cheapest method was to run gas flat out all the time, and flog the
unreliable wind power to the Brits.
-a-aCheapest to run gas flat out in the middle of a hot summer's night ?
Depends. The cost benefit is of course well understood by Eirgrid.
It is cost effective to shut down less efficient gas plant for weeks
at a time, but not for hours at a time.
-aAnd their report seems to suggest ramping down for hours at a time.
On 31/12/2025 12:26, Nick Finnigan wrote:
On 31/12/2025 11:34, The Natural Philosopher wrote:When you have a surplus, something has to give. You have to pay the windmills to shut down, but not the gas plant. In that case the consumer pays instead.
On 31/12/2025 09:54, Nick Finnigan wrote:
On 31/12/2025 09:11, Spike wrote:Depends. The cost benefit is of course well understood by Eirgrid.
TNP can tell you about electricity generation in the Republic of Ireland, >>>>> where a study of generation from a mix of gas and wind showed that the >>>>> cheapest method was to run gas flat out all the time, and flog the
unreliable wind power to the Brits.
-a-aCheapest to run gas flat out in the middle of a hot summer's night ? >>>
It is cost effective to shut down less efficient gas plant for weeks at >>> a time, but not for hours at a time.
-a-aAnd their report seems to suggest ramping down for hours at a time.
On 30/12/2025 20:33, Paul wrote:
On Mon, 12/29/2025 5:40 PM, Spike wrote:1GW for how long? 3 minutes?
Brian <noinv@lid.org> wrote:
Davey <davey@example.invalid> wrote:
Just received this, for comparison:
Cheapest Electricity in North America:
1. Quebec 7.8-o EfAo Hydro
2. Manitoba 10.2-o EfAo Hydro
3. British Columbia 11.7-o EfAo Hydro
4. New Brunswick 13.9-o rUcN+A Nuclear / Hydro
5. Ontario 14.1-o rUcN+A Nuclear / Hydro
6. Newfoundland 14.8-o EfAo Hydro
7. Nevada (USA) ~16.4-o ryCN+A Solar / Gas
8. Louisiana (USA) ~16.9-o rc+ Gas
9. Idaho (USA) ~17.1-o EfAo Hydro
10. Tennessee (USA) ~18.2-o rUcN+A Nuclear / Hydro
Most Expensive Energy in North America:
1. Hawaii ~54.2-o EfcoN+A Imported Oil
2. California ~43.9-o EfoN Wildfire Costs / Grid
3. Connecticut ~41.8-o rc+ Gas / Grid Fees
4. Massachusetts ~41.7-o rc+ Gas Constraint
5. Rhode Island ~38.8-o rc+ Gas Dependence
6. Maine ~38.3-o rUi Grid Upgrades
7. New Hampshire ~38.1-o rc+ Gas Dependence
8. New York ~37.3-o EfAON+A Urban Delivery Costs
9. Alaska ~37.2-o rYaN+A Remote Generation
10. Vermont ~32.8-o rUi Import Reliance
Sources: Hydro-Quebec Annual Comparison Report & US Energy Information >>>>> Administration (EIA) Residential Data. Rates adjusted to CAD.
Comparing it to the UK prices, we are being well and truly ripped off, even
if you believe the Ofgen numbers.
We need to be drilling, fracking, and digging coal, while developing
Nuclear power.
I usually listen to half an hour of the morning Today programme on BBC R4, >>> from 0600 onwards. When those that run businesses are interviewed in that >>> section of the programme, many complain of the extraordinary high price of >>> UK electricity, which puts them at a serious competitive disadvantage when >>> compared to other countries. We have been promised cheap renewable
electricity for twenty years and yet thererCOs no end in sight to the rip-off
prices. About six months ago the CEO of a major energy retailer interviewed >>> for the programme let the cat out of the bag by admitting that cheap
renewables were for rCOthe medium to long termrCO - in other words, forget >>> about cheap electricity.
The good news (if there is really any such news to be had),
is that people are building bigger batteries. I read of some
project a couple days ago, aiming for 1.8GW sizing for a battery.
Once the idea makes the rounds, it might become more common,
a facility with larger dimension. And then more of that fine
"perfectly free" power can be made available a 8PM on a windless
night.
Why do they never quote capacity?
Because it completely makes nonsense of 'grid scale storage'
I can get a horsepower out of a battery the side of a fag packet, But only for a minute and a half...
Lithium isn't the only chemistry suited to making stationary storage,Its true that energy to weight is not crucial on stationary batteries, but thee fact that prices have not come down when everything else has got cheaper is a sign that no really better technology exists.
and lithium has been falling in price for a while now. Yet the retail price >> of batteries, the curve for that has not followed the price of making them. >> And the latest propaganda piece was complaining about "the Chinese will
corner the market". Which is surely true when the shirkers stop building
the battery factory building and... give up. It's a foregone conclusion,
that at least for some tech types, the Chinese will win and they will
set the price.
This mad rush to justify renewable energy with promises that 'breakthrough technology' for storage is 'just around the corner' is as much bollocks - indeed more bollocks - than nuclear fusion.
Renewables are already more expensive than nuclear power which doesn't need large scale grid storage.
<gushing renewable bollocks snipped>
The fact is that no renewable technology is cost, emissions, or low environmental impact competitive *overall*, with nuclear.
And its only kept alive by total lack of regulatory oversight and massive subsidies on renewables, and punitive regulations and no subsidies at all on nuclear.
But that is not a 'sustainble' position.
On 30/12/2025 10:54, The Natural Philosopher wrote:
On 29/12/2025 20:21, Brian wrote:
We need to be drilling, fracking, and digging coal, while developing+1
Nuclear power.
Err, no. Whatever coal we have is under important stuff
likes roads, houses, hospitals and factories. We have
limited easily accessible coal deposits
Apart from which coal can be mined in Oz and shipped
half way round the world to the UK and landed at about
a third of the cost of deep mining it here.
Do you *really* want Scargill and others back in charge
of energy policy ?.
On 29/12/2025 10:38, Davey wrote:
Just received this, for comparison:
Cheapest Electricity in North America:
1. Quebec 7.8-o EfAo Hydro
2. Manitoba 10.2-o EfAo Hydro
3. British Columbia 11.7-o EfAo Hydro
4. New Brunswick 13.9-o rUcN+A Nuclear / Hydro
5. Ontario 14.1-o rUcN+A Nuclear / Hydro
6. Newfoundland 14.8-o EfAo Hydro
7. Nevada (USA) ~16.4-o ryCN+A Solar / Gas
8. Louisiana (USA) ~16.9-o rc+ Gas
9. Idaho (USA) ~17.1-o EfAo Hydro
10. Tennessee (USA) ~18.2-o rUcN+A Nuclear / Hydro
Most Expensive Energy in North America:
1. Hawaii ~54.2-o EfcoN+A Imported Oil
2. California ~43.9-o EfoN Wildfire Costs / Grid
3. Connecticut ~41.8-o rc+ Gas / Grid Fees
4. Massachusetts ~41.7-o rc+ Gas Constraint
5. Rhode Island ~38.8-o rc+ Gas Dependence
6. Maine ~38.3-o rUi Grid Upgrades
7. New Hampshire ~38.1-o rc+ Gas Dependence
8. New York ~37.3-o EfAON+A Urban Delivery Costs
9. Alaska ~37.2-o rYaN+A Remote Generation
10. Vermont ~32.8-o rUi Import Reliance
Sources: Hydro-Quebec Annual Comparison Report & US Energy Information
Administration (EIA) Residential Data. Rates adjusted to CAD.
Hmm. All the places where National Grid operates in the USA
seem to be the 'expensive' areas ? :-(
Where does the National Grid operate in the US?
We own and operate electricity distribution networks in upstate New York and Massachusetts. We own and operate electricity transmission facilities across the Northeast; including upstate New York, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, and Vermont. We own and operate gas distribution networks across the Northeastern US.
<<
On 31/12/2025 13:03, The Natural Philosopher wrote:
On 31/12/2025 12:26, Nick Finnigan wrote:
On 31/12/2025 11:34, The Natural Philosopher wrote:When you have a surplus, something has to give. You have to pay the
On 31/12/2025 09:54, Nick Finnigan wrote:
On 31/12/2025 09:11, Spike wrote:Depends. The cost benefit is of course well understood by Eirgrid.
TNP can tell you about electricity generation in the Republic of
Ireland,
where a study of generation from a mix of gas and wind showed that >>>>>> the
cheapest method was to run gas flat out all the time, and flog the >>>>>> unreliable wind power to the Brits.
-a-aCheapest to run gas flat out in the middle of a hot summer's night ? >>>>
It is cost effective to shut down less efficient gas plant for weeks
at a time, but not for hours at a time.
-a-aAnd their report seems to suggest ramping down for hours at a time.
windmills to shut down, but not the gas plant. In that case the
consumer pays instead.
-aThey were ramping down for a few hours at a time even with no windmills. As opposed to "run gas flat out all the time".
On Wed, 12/31/2025 6:25 AM, The Natural Philosopher wrote:
The fact is that no renewable technology is cost, emissions, or low
environmental impact competitive *overall*, with nuclear.
And its only kept alive by total lack of regulatory oversight and
massive subsidies on renewables, and punitive regulations and no
subsidies at all on nuclear.
But that is not a 'sustainble' position.
I think my point was, that renewable generators ("raw suppliers")
should not be allowed to bid for power generation, without having (at
the least) a battery bank buffer before the connection to the grid.
The Nevada site has this feature, out of necessity. The site is too
big, to be yoyoing up and down when a cloud passes. Just the
connection to the grid has to be tamed. The battery is not there as a
one-day buffer.
Renewables are a source of "statistical power", and with crummy
little "statistical connections" to the grid (being located all over
the surface of the planet, makes grid planning impossible).
A power quote then, should include some of these costs, to level the
playing field with other sources where more control is evident. Then
their contract quotes, might be closer to the level of aggravation
they cause.
When a hydro power project here (which has pretty good generation characteristics) was built, one of the transmission lines set up to
sell the excess power, costs a cool one billion (selling the excess
power, is how it could afford to be built). Part of the transmission
line went under water. And when budgeting to do the project, that had
to be taken into account in the overall financing. Nobody
volunteered to build that for free. None of the power companies
individually, would have the assets to do that. If ten smaller wind
plants had been built instead, say, then the wind operators would
expect the power companies, to pay for a one billion line for them.
Whereas larger projects, the transmission facilities are part of the
package deal.
And when people complained, that the transmission facility was
bidirectional, some said "wouldn't it be cheaper if it was one-way
only?". Then, when the turn-up of the system was late, that
transmission line needed to run in reverse, to keep those clever
commenters warm :-) I think their comment today would be closer to
"money well spent".
Power on our East coast is still pretty flaky. PEI right now, I
think is a bit short of power, and politics plays a part. I think
it's just one city, with a not very good connection to the rest of
the grid.
The low quote you see for Manitoba, it's not a given that can
continue. Strangely, there is a "re-licensing process" for the hydro stations, and opponents are lining up to take shots at the licensing
process. The system cannot generate power without a license. Most of
the generation capacity in Manitoba, involves just one river. There
are all sorts of not very visible factors at play here. And the end
result, might be that the Manitoba figure becomes "magically more
expensive" in a few years.
And there is still one province using coal, but it's not on that
chart.
Paul--
Do you*really* want Scargill and others back in charge of energyThat's why in the States, they do "mountain-topping", cut the top off
policy ?.
a hill and extract the coal, and avoid any deep mining situations
(which might be more expensive).
I don't think anyone is in a rush to go underground every day.
One of the mines here recently, had a collapse underground, the news
article made all sorts of puffy comments about the "recovery experts
have been dispatched", but there was no news from the people actually underground, and it's not clear that they made it to a safe-station.
Mining is still dangerous and that was a potash mine.
OK, here's an update.
https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/saskatchewan/one-dead-in-collapse-k3-underground-mine-esterhazy-sask-mosaic-9.7016448
(One dead)
https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/saskatchewan/unifor-pursues-answers-in-death-of-esterhazy-k3-underground-mine-worker-9.7023243
Nothing has really changed in the mines. It ain't robots down there,
quite yet.
There are "local issues" not discussed at that map level. Not all of those "colours" are as uniform as they look. Maybe they share frequency and phase, but not necessarily bulk power transfer. It could be that the distances involved, are not practical for the transmission facility type.
On 31/12/2025 19:00, Paul wrote:
On Wed, 12/31/2025 6:25 AM, The Natural Philosopher wrote:
There would be no renewable energy at all if they had to do that.The fact is that no renewable technology is cost, emissions, or low
environmental impact competitive *overall*, with nuclear.
And its only kept alive by total lack of regulatory oversight and
massive subsidies on renewables, and punitive regulations and no
subsidies at all on nuclear.
But that is not a 'sustainble' position.
I think my point was, that renewable generators ("raw suppliers")
should not be allowed to bid for power generation, without having (at
the least) a battery bank buffer before the connection to the grid.
Of course I entirely agree that would be perfectly fine
The Nevada site has this feature, out of necessity. The site is tooMostly batteries are there to simulate the rotational inertia of a power station, Ni battery has more than a few minutes of full power in it.
big, to be yoyoing up and down when a cloud passes. Just the
connection to the grid has to be tamed. The battery is not there as a
one-day buffer.
As to 'clouds passing over' you have never been to Nevada then?
I've seen a little mist in the morning, but nary a cloud. Once a year it drops 12" of rain. And people drown.
The Atacama Desert is the world's driest nonpolar desert, with average rainfall often less than 15 mm (0.6 inches) per year, and some areas
On Tue, 12/30/2025 2:28 PM, Andrew wrote:
On 30/12/2025 10:54, The Natural Philosopher wrote:
On 29/12/2025 20:21, Brian wrote:
We need to be drilling, fracking, and digging coal, while developing+1
Nuclear power.
Err, no. Whatever coal we have is under important stuff
likes roads, houses, hospitals and factories. We have
limited easily accessible coal deposits
Apart from which coal can be mined in Oz and shipped
half way round the world to the UK and landed at about
a third of the cost of deep mining it here.
Do you *really* want Scargill and others back in charge
of energy policy ?.
That's why in the States, they do "mountain-topping",
cut the top off a hill and extract the coal, and avoid any
deep mining situations (which might be more expensive).
On Tue, 12/30/2025 2:24 PM, Andrew wrote:
On 29/12/2025 10:38, Davey wrote:
Just received this, for comparison:
Cheapest Electricity in North America:
1. Quebec 7.8-o EfAo Hydro
2. Manitoba 10.2-o EfAo Hydro
3. British Columbia 11.7-o EfAo Hydro
4. New Brunswick 13.9-o rUcN+A Nuclear / Hydro
5. Ontario 14.1-o rUcN+A Nuclear / Hydro
6. Newfoundland 14.8-o EfAo Hydro
7. Nevada (USA) ~16.4-o ryCN+A Solar / Gas
8. Louisiana (USA) ~16.9-o rc+ Gas
9. Idaho (USA) ~17.1-o EfAo Hydro
10. Tennessee (USA) ~18.2-o rUcN+A Nuclear / Hydro
Most Expensive Energy in North America:
1. Hawaii ~54.2-o EfcoN+A Imported Oil
2. California ~43.9-o EfoN Wildfire Costs / Grid
3. Connecticut ~41.8-o rc+ Gas / Grid Fees
4. Massachusetts ~41.7-o rc+ Gas Constraint
5. Rhode Island ~38.8-o rc+ Gas Dependence
6. Maine ~38.3-o rUi Grid Upgrades
7. New Hampshire ~38.1-o rc+ Gas Dependence
8. New York ~37.3-o EfAON+A Urban Delivery Costs
9. Alaska ~37.2-o rYaN+A Remote Generation
10. Vermont ~32.8-o rUi Import Reliance
Sources: Hydro-Quebec Annual Comparison Report & US Energy Information
Administration (EIA) Residential Data. Rates adjusted to CAD.
Hmm. All the places where National Grid operates in the USA
seem to be the 'expensive' areas ? :-(
Where does the National Grid operate in the US?
We own and operate electricity distribution networks in upstate New York and Massachusetts. We own and operate electricity transmission facilities across the Northeast; including upstate New York, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, and Vermont. We own and operate gas distribution networks across the Northeastern US.
<<
What national grid ?
On 31/12/2025 19:08, Paul wrote:
On Tue, 12/30/2025 2:28 PM, Andrew wrote:
On 30/12/2025 10:54, The Natural Philosopher wrote:
On 29/12/2025 20:21, Brian wrote:
We need to be drilling, fracking, and digging coal, while developing >>>>> Nuclear power.+1
Err, no. Whatever coal we have is under important stuff
likes roads, houses, hospitals and factories. We have
limited easily accessible coal deposits
Apart from which coal can be mined in Oz and shipped
half way round the world to the UK and landed at about
a third of the cost of deep mining it here.
Do you *really* want Scargill and others back in charge
of energy policy ?.
That's why in the States, they do "mountain-topping",
cut the top off a hill and extract the coal, and avoid any
deep mining situations (which might be more expensive).
Err, don't they just blast the mountain tops off with
massive amounts of explosive ?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mountaintop_removal_mining
It's the name of a UK FTSE100 company that used to be known as
What national grid ?
the Central Electricity Generating Board before privatisation.
Now the generators are all privately owned, and National Grid PLC
runs the distribution network (amongst other tasks).
By getting a stake in the USA it has probably avoided being
re-nationalised. Too many (mostly) Labour supporters would like
it to be.
On 31/12/2025 17:23, Nick Finnigan wrote:
On 31/12/2025 13:03, The Natural Philosopher wrote:
On 31/12/2025 12:26, Nick Finnigan wrote:
On 31/12/2025 11:34, The Natural Philosopher wrote:When you have a surplus, something has to give. You have to pay the
On 31/12/2025 09:54, Nick Finnigan wrote:
On 31/12/2025 09:11, Spike wrote:Depends. The cost benefit is of course well understood by Eirgrid.
TNP can tell you about electricity generation in the Republic of >>>>>>> Ireland,
where a study of generation from a mix of gas and wind showed that the >>>>>>> cheapest method was to run gas flat out all the time, and flog the >>>>>>> unreliable wind power to the Brits.
-a-aCheapest to run gas flat out in the middle of a hot summer's night ? >>>>>
It is cost effective to shut down less efficient gas plant for weeks >>>>> at a time, but not for hours at a time.
-a-aAnd their report seems to suggest ramping down for hours at a time. >>>>
windmills to shut down, but not the gas plant. In that case the consumer >>> pays instead.
-a-aThey were ramping down for a few hours at a time even with no windmills. >> As opposed to "run gas flat out all the time".
They were, but now they run flat out and export the surplus to GB. By and large.
Or import the deficit.
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