Hi,
Will the crypto bros become AI bros? They
could repurpose their infrastructure. But
this will mostlikely not happen:
- Worthless Infrastructure:
-a Mostlikely their infrastructure is discounted
-a to zero. Except for some personell know how
-a value, and some real estate value, they possibly
-a run hardware which lacks the leap to currently
-a slightly expensive HBM (High Bandwidth Memory) ?
- Shift to Local AI:
-a Even if they can repurpose their infrastruture,
-a they might not see a lot of customers. Smartphone
-a technology is now used in Desktops, giving again
-a a leap in low power consumption with the benefit
-a of integrated AI accelerators (example Snapdragon X).
These new PCs, can run local AI models, and the
possible winners will be Microsoft with Copilot+, etc..
and the loosers will be Palantir, etc..
A corresponding sector rotation is already seen.
Bye
Mild Shock schrieb:
Hi,
My original theory was a little different
when I predicted that BTC will disappear
by end of 2025. I assumed that "Kiosk"
-a From 120'000 to 80'000 in a few days
https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/bitcoin/
money exchange will be done by Dogecoin,
LTC, etc.. But my theory is different now.
The West doesn't need Crypto. There is
enough cyber security and active database
technology around, and Mastercard, VISA,
Banks, etc.. have all mordernized, instant
payment and mobile apps.
Bye
P.S.: Also USA gets fucked hard with their
silly "Strategic Bitcoin Reserve". And most-
likely Michael Sailor will be one of the
"black peter"s, or some other moron, or
some other colllective of morons ?
Mild Shock schrieb:
-a > Hi,
-a >
-a > Looks like having some crypto bought in
-a > March 2025, would have been a good idea.
-a > For exampe BTC is currently going through
-a >
-a > the 120'000.- USD ceiling:
-a >
-a > 122'000 USD (Mon, 14 Jul 2025 08:43:33 +0200)
-a > https://coinmarketcap.com/
-a >
-a > But why am I still believing BTC will disappear.
-a > I don't know. Epstein did also disappear, and
-a > his funds on Virgin Islands are all gone,
-a >
-a > compensation payed to Non-Virgins.
-a >
-a > Bye
-a >
-a > Mild Shock schrieb:
-a >> Hi,
-a >>
-a >> Bravo: Bitcon at 82'000.- USD now! Not as
-a >> bad as the 79'000.- USD a few days ago.
-a >>
-a >> Thanks to the modern AI trading bots, now
-a >> everything runs in parallel, BTC, ETH, altcoins.
-a >> If one altcoin is favorable, an AI trading bot
-a >>
-a >> will sell, and buy something else. So that
-a >> after a while BTC, ETH, altcoin show all the
-a >> same trajectory and so on:
-a >>
-a >> https://coinmarketcap.com/
-a >>
-a >> It doesn't matter anymore if the strategic
-a >> bitcoin reserve would includen SOL, XRP, or
-a >> who knows what. Its all completely broken.
-a >>
-a >> Bye
You mean the "Board of Piss"' dumped in its scattergory
saudi sovereign shekels, because the dirty money didn't
have anywhere else to go?
Maybe you should look into some nice bonds, ....
The Japanese made a major shift to increase
the attractiveness of Nippon bonds.
These days the Swiss are almost giving better
than even money.
On 02/21/2026 03:47 PM, Mild Shock wrote:
Hi,
Goldbugs are now the new heros, since they didn't
believe in Crypto, which recently saw a Wipeout,
and they now simply walk into a Store with a big Pincher:
Goldbugs going to the grocery store
https://9gag.com/gag/aoywg43
And see also:
Gold Bug: What It Is, How It Works, and Example
https://www.investopedia.com/terms/g/goldbug.asp
Bye
P.S.: Gold reputation wasn't always good:
- Gold peaked around 2011 during the aftermath
of the Federal Reserve QE era and eurozone crisis panic.
- Then from 2012 to 2015 it slid hard
rCo roughly a ~40rCo45% drop.
- Meanwhile, US equities (like the S&P 500) went
on a monster bull run.
- And by the mid-2010s, crypto (especially Bitcoin)
started stealing the rCLhard money / anti-fiatrCY narrative.
Mild Shock schrieb:
Hi,
Will the crypto bros become AI bros? They
could repurpose their infrastructure. But
this will mostlikely not happen:
- Worthless Infrastructure:
Mostlikely their infrastructure is discounted
to zero. Except for some personell know how
value, and some real estate value, they possibly
run hardware which lacks the leap to currently
slightly expensive HBM (High Bandwidth Memory) ?
- Shift to Local AI:
Even if they can repurpose their infrastruture,
they might not see a lot of customers. Smartphone
technology is now used in Desktops, giving again
a leap in low power consumption with the benefit
of integrated AI accelerators (example Snapdragon X).
These new PCs, can run local AI models, and the
possible winners will be Microsoft with Copilot+, etc..
and the loosers will be Palantir, etc..
A corresponding sector rotation is already seen.
Bye
Mild Shock schrieb:
Hi,
My original theory was a little different
when I predicted that BTC will disappear
by end of 2025. I assumed that "Kiosk"
From 120'000 to 80'000 in a few days
https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/bitcoin/
money exchange will be done by Dogecoin,
LTC, etc.. But my theory is different now.
The West doesn't need Crypto. There is
enough cyber security and active database
technology around, and Mastercard, VISA,
Banks, etc.. have all mordernized, instant
payment and mobile apps.
Bye
P.S.: Also USA gets fucked hard with their
silly "Strategic Bitcoin Reserve". And most-
likely Michael Sailor will be one of the
"black peter"s, or some other moron, or
some other colllective of morons ?
Mild Shock schrieb:
Hi,
Looks like having some crypto bought in
March 2025, would have been a good idea.
For exampe BTC is currently going through
the 120'000.- USD ceiling:
122'000 USD (Mon, 14 Jul 2025 08:43:33 +0200)
https://coinmarketcap.com/
But why am I still believing BTC will disappear.
I don't know. Epstein did also disappear, and
his funds on Virgin Islands are all gone,
compensation payed to Non-Virgins.
Bye
Mild Shock schrieb:
Hi,
Bravo: Bitcon at 82'000.- USD now! Not as
bad as the 79'000.- USD a few days ago.
Thanks to the modern AI trading bots, now
everything runs in parallel, BTC, ETH, altcoins.
If one altcoin is favorable, an AI trading bot
will sell, and buy something else. So that
after a while BTC, ETH, altcoin show all the
same trajectory and so on:
https://coinmarketcap.com/
It doesn't matter anymore if the strategic
bitcoin reserve would includen SOL, XRP, or
who knows what. Its all completely broken.
Bye
Hi,
Who is the "you", do you mean "one"?
Like in "one" should drop the idea of
crypto gold as a store of wealth.
Well you are wellcome to write it like
that, since I am not seeking advice.
I am only commenting the currious
events and how they progress from
delusion to another delusion. But I
wont tell how to get out of this
vicious cycle, since I don't know the
optimum and the future. Even if you
take some actions, its always bounded
rationality and uncertainty.
Have Fun!
Bye
Ross Finlayson schrieb:
You mean the "Board of Piss"' dumped in its scattergory
saudi sovereign shekels, because the dirty money didn't
have anywhere else to go?
Maybe you should look into some nice bonds, ....
The Japanese made a major shift to increase
the attractiveness of Nippon bonds.
These days the Swiss are almost giving better
than even money.
On 02/21/2026 03:47 PM, Mild Shock wrote:
Hi,
Goldbugs are now the new heros, since they didn't
believe in Crypto, which recently saw a Wipeout,
and they now simply walk into a Store with a big Pincher:
Goldbugs going to the grocery store
https://9gag.com/gag/aoywg43
And see also:
Gold Bug: What It Is, How It Works, and Example
https://www.investopedia.com/terms/g/goldbug.asp
Bye
P.S.: Gold reputation wasn't always good:
- Gold peaked around 2011 during the aftermath
of the Federal Reserve QE era and eurozone crisis panic.
- Then from 2012 to 2015 it slid hard
-a-a rCo roughly a ~40rCo45% drop.
- Meanwhile, US equities (like the S&P 500) went
on a monster bull run.
- And by the mid-2010s, crypto (especially Bitcoin)
started stealing the rCLhard money / anti-fiatrCY narrative.
Mild Shock schrieb:
Hi,
Will the crypto bros become AI bros? They
could repurpose their infrastructure. But
this will mostlikely not happen:
- Worthless Infrastructure:
-a-a-a Mostlikely their infrastructure is discounted
-a-a-a to zero. Except for some personell know how
-a-a-a value, and some real estate value, they possibly
-a-a-a run hardware which lacks the leap to currently
-a-a-a slightly expensive HBM (High Bandwidth Memory) ?
- Shift to Local AI:
-a-a-a Even if they can repurpose their infrastruture,
-a-a-a they might not see a lot of customers. Smartphone
-a-a-a technology is now used in Desktops, giving again
-a-a-a a leap in low power consumption with the benefit
-a-a-a of integrated AI accelerators (example Snapdragon X).
These new PCs, can run local AI models, and the
possible winners will be Microsoft with Copilot+, etc..
and the loosers will be Palantir, etc..
A corresponding sector rotation is already seen.
Bye
Mild Shock schrieb:
-a > Hi,
-a >
-a > My original theory was a little different
-a > when I predicted that BTC will disappear
-a > by end of 2025. I assumed that "Kiosk"
-a >
-a >-a From 120'000 to 80'000 in a few days
-a > https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/bitcoin/
-a >
-a > money exchange will be done by Dogecoin,
-a > LTC, etc.. But my theory is different now.
-a > The West doesn't need Crypto. There is
-a >
-a > enough cyber security and active database
-a > technology around, and Mastercard, VISA,
-a > Banks, etc.. have all mordernized, instant
-a >
-a > payment and mobile apps.
-a >
-a > Bye
-a >
-a > P.S.: Also USA gets fucked hard with their
-a > silly "Strategic Bitcoin Reserve". And most-
-a > likely Michael Sailor will be one of the
-a >
-a > "black peter"s, or some other moron, or
-a > some other colllective of morons ?
-a >
-a > Mild Shock schrieb:
-a >-a > Hi,
-a >-a >
-a >-a > Looks like having some crypto bought in
-a >-a > March 2025, would have been a good idea.
-a >-a > For exampe BTC is currently going through
-a >-a >
-a >-a > the 120'000.- USD ceiling:
-a >-a >
-a >-a > 122'000 USD (Mon, 14 Jul 2025 08:43:33 +0200)
-a >-a > https://coinmarketcap.com/
-a >-a >
-a >-a > But why am I still believing BTC will disappear.
-a >-a > I don't know. Epstein did also disappear, and
-a >-a > his funds on Virgin Islands are all gone,
-a >-a >
-a >-a > compensation payed to Non-Virgins.
-a >-a >
-a >-a > Bye
-a >-a >
-a >-a > Mild Shock schrieb:
-a >-a >> Hi,
-a >-a >>
-a >-a >> Bravo: Bitcon at 82'000.- USD now! Not as
-a >-a >> bad as the 79'000.- USD a few days ago.
-a >-a >>
-a >-a >> Thanks to the modern AI trading bots, now
-a >-a >> everything runs in parallel, BTC, ETH, altcoins.
-a >-a >> If one altcoin is favorable, an AI trading bot
-a >-a >>
-a >-a >> will sell, and buy something else. So that
-a >-a >> after a while BTC, ETH, altcoin show all the
-a >-a >> same trajectory and so on:
-a >-a >>
-a >-a >> https://coinmarketcap.com/
-a >-a >>
-a >-a >> It doesn't matter anymore if the strategic
-a >-a >> bitcoin reserve would includen SOL, XRP, or
-a >-a >> who knows what. Its all completely broken.
-a >-a >>
-a >-a >> Bye
Hi,
I am not sure whether the some bond advice
is the best advice, it depends whether you
are risk adverse or risk seeking, and what
bothers you most, inflation or what else?
If one is a little more risk seeking one
might be better of with real estate.
In general it might be anyways a bad sign,
that a portfolio isn't diversified yet,
i.e. either a gold bug portfolio, or a
bitcoin believer portfolio. 5 years from
now gold bugs might be hit, if some long
term cycle hits the financial markets, or
if Elon Musk has found gold on mars.
Bye
Mild Shock schrieb:
Hi,
Who is the "you", do you mean "one"?
Like in "one" should drop the idea of
crypto gold as a store of wealth.
Well you are wellcome to write it like
that, since I am not seeking advice.
I am only commenting the currious
events and how they progress from
delusion to another delusion. But I
wont tell how to get out of this
vicious cycle, since I don't know the
optimum and the future. Even if you
take some actions, its always bounded
rationality and uncertainty.
Have Fun!
Bye
Ross Finlayson schrieb:
You mean the "Board of Piss"' dumped in its scattergory
saudi sovereign shekels, because the dirty money didn't
have anywhere else to go?
Maybe you should look into some nice bonds, ....
The Japanese made a major shift to increase
the attractiveness of Nippon bonds.
These days the Swiss are almost giving better
than even money.
On 02/21/2026 03:47 PM, Mild Shock wrote:
Hi,
Goldbugs are now the new heros, since they didn't
believe in Crypto, which recently saw a Wipeout,
and they now simply walk into a Store with a big Pincher:
Goldbugs going to the grocery store
https://9gag.com/gag/aoywg43
And see also:
Gold Bug: What It Is, How It Works, and Example
https://www.investopedia.com/terms/g/goldbug.asp
Bye
P.S.: Gold reputation wasn't always good:
- Gold peaked around 2011 during the aftermath
of the Federal Reserve QE era and eurozone crisis panic.
- Then from 2012 to 2015 it slid hard
-a-a rCo roughly a ~40rCo45% drop.
- Meanwhile, US equities (like the S&P 500) went
on a monster bull run.
- And by the mid-2010s, crypto (especially Bitcoin)
started stealing the rCLhard money / anti-fiatrCY narrative.
Mild Shock schrieb:
Hi,
Will the crypto bros become AI bros? They
could repurpose their infrastructure. But
this will mostlikely not happen:
- Worthless Infrastructure:
-a-a-a Mostlikely their infrastructure is discounted
-a-a-a to zero. Except for some personell know how
-a-a-a value, and some real estate value, they possibly
-a-a-a run hardware which lacks the leap to currently
-a-a-a slightly expensive HBM (High Bandwidth Memory) ?
- Shift to Local AI:
-a-a-a Even if they can repurpose their infrastruture,
-a-a-a they might not see a lot of customers. Smartphone
-a-a-a technology is now used in Desktops, giving again
-a-a-a a leap in low power consumption with the benefit
-a-a-a of integrated AI accelerators (example Snapdragon X).
These new PCs, can run local AI models, and the
possible winners will be Microsoft with Copilot+, etc..
and the loosers will be Palantir, etc..
A corresponding sector rotation is already seen.
Bye
Mild Shock schrieb:
-a > Hi,
-a >
-a > My original theory was a little different
-a > when I predicted that BTC will disappear
-a > by end of 2025. I assumed that "Kiosk"
-a >
-a >-a From 120'000 to 80'000 in a few days
-a > https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/bitcoin/
-a >
-a > money exchange will be done by Dogecoin,
-a > LTC, etc.. But my theory is different now.
-a > The West doesn't need Crypto. There is
-a >
-a > enough cyber security and active database
-a > technology around, and Mastercard, VISA,
-a > Banks, etc.. have all mordernized, instant
-a >
-a > payment and mobile apps.
-a >
-a > Bye
-a >
-a > P.S.: Also USA gets fucked hard with their
-a > silly "Strategic Bitcoin Reserve". And most-
-a > likely Michael Sailor will be one of the
-a >
-a > "black peter"s, or some other moron, or
-a > some other colllective of morons ?
-a >
-a > Mild Shock schrieb:
-a >-a > Hi,
-a >-a >
-a >-a > Looks like having some crypto bought in
-a >-a > March 2025, would have been a good idea.
-a >-a > For exampe BTC is currently going through
-a >-a >
-a >-a > the 120'000.- USD ceiling:
-a >-a >
-a >-a > 122'000 USD (Mon, 14 Jul 2025 08:43:33 +0200)
-a >-a > https://coinmarketcap.com/
-a >-a >
-a >-a > But why am I still believing BTC will disappear.
-a >-a > I don't know. Epstein did also disappear, and
-a >-a > his funds on Virgin Islands are all gone,
-a >-a >
-a >-a > compensation payed to Non-Virgins.
-a >-a >
-a >-a > Bye
-a >-a >
-a >-a > Mild Shock schrieb:
-a >-a >> Hi,
-a >-a >>
-a >-a >> Bravo: Bitcon at 82'000.- USD now! Not as
-a >-a >> bad as the 79'000.- USD a few days ago.
-a >-a >>
-a >-a >> Thanks to the modern AI trading bots, now
-a >-a >> everything runs in parallel, BTC, ETH, altcoins.
-a >-a >> If one altcoin is favorable, an AI trading bot
-a >-a >>
-a >-a >> will sell, and buy something else. So that
-a >-a >> after a while BTC, ETH, altcoin show all the
-a >-a >> same trajectory and so on:
-a >-a >>
-a >-a >> https://coinmarketcap.com/
-a >-a >>
-a >-a >> It doesn't matter anymore if the strategic
-a >-a >> bitcoin reserve would includen SOL, XRP, or
-a >-a >> who knows what. Its all completely broken.
-a >-a >>
-a >-a >> Bye
Hi,
Its really amazing how the Mar-A-Logo Effect
works. BTC went from oversold to overbought.
And price recovered a little bit.
But the pendelum might swing back, into new
wipeouts. (*) What one can already see, price
doesn't break the 70'000 barrier, right?
Its not a rocket to the moon effect, this
surreal Mar-A-Logo theatre. And in crypto
the weekends determine how the whole comming
week works out. Whales setting the stage,
Shrimps only having a minor impact. Won't
change much during the comming week, right?
You see overbought/oversold here:
Crypto Relative Strength Index (RSI)
https://coinmarketcap.com/charts/rsi/
Bye
(*) Thats an interesting question what might
trigger new wipeouts. What are the landmarks,
when whales come out of their hibernation,
and perform some market actions?
Mild Shock schrieb:
Hi,
I am not sure whether the some bond advice
is the best advice, it depends whether you
are risk adverse or risk seeking, and what
bothers you most, inflation or what else?
If one is a little more risk seeking one
might be better of with real estate.
In general it might be anyways a bad sign,
that a portfolio isn't diversified yet,
i.e. either a gold bug portfolio, or a
bitcoin believer portfolio. 5 years from
now gold bugs might be hit, if some long
term cycle hits the financial markets, or
if Elon Musk has found gold on mars.
Bye
Mild Shock schrieb:
Hi,
Who is the "you", do you mean "one"?
Like in "one" should drop the idea of
crypto gold as a store of wealth.
Well you are wellcome to write it like
that, since I am not seeking advice.
I am only commenting the currious
events and how they progress from
delusion to another delusion. But I
wont tell how to get out of this
vicious cycle, since I don't know the
optimum and the future. Even if you
take some actions, its always bounded
rationality and uncertainty.
Have Fun!
Bye
Ross Finlayson schrieb:
You mean the "Board of Piss"' dumped in its scattergory
saudi sovereign shekels, because the dirty money didn't
have anywhere else to go?
Maybe you should look into some nice bonds, ....
The Japanese made a major shift to increase
the attractiveness of Nippon bonds.
These days the Swiss are almost giving better
than even money.
On 02/21/2026 03:47 PM, Mild Shock wrote:
Hi,
Goldbugs are now the new heros, since they didn't
believe in Crypto, which recently saw a Wipeout,
and they now simply walk into a Store with a big Pincher:
Goldbugs going to the grocery store
https://9gag.com/gag/aoywg43
And see also:
Gold Bug: What It Is, How It Works, and Example
https://www.investopedia.com/terms/g/goldbug.asp
Bye
P.S.: Gold reputation wasn't always good:
- Gold peaked around 2011 during the aftermath
of the Federal Reserve QE era and eurozone crisis panic.
- Then from 2012 to 2015 it slid hard
-a-a rCo roughly a ~40rCo45% drop.
- Meanwhile, US equities (like the S&P 500) went
on a monster bull run.
- And by the mid-2010s, crypto (especially Bitcoin)
started stealing the rCLhard money / anti-fiatrCY narrative.
Mild Shock schrieb:
Hi,
Will the crypto bros become AI bros? They
could repurpose their infrastructure. But
this will mostlikely not happen:
- Worthless Infrastructure:
-a-a-a Mostlikely their infrastructure is discounted
-a-a-a to zero. Except for some personell know how
-a-a-a value, and some real estate value, they possibly
-a-a-a run hardware which lacks the leap to currently
-a-a-a slightly expensive HBM (High Bandwidth Memory) ?
- Shift to Local AI:
-a-a-a Even if they can repurpose their infrastruture,
-a-a-a they might not see a lot of customers. Smartphone
-a-a-a technology is now used in Desktops, giving again
-a-a-a a leap in low power consumption with the benefit
-a-a-a of integrated AI accelerators (example Snapdragon X).
These new PCs, can run local AI models, and the
possible winners will be Microsoft with Copilot+, etc..
and the loosers will be Palantir, etc..
A corresponding sector rotation is already seen.
Bye
Mild Shock schrieb:
-a > Hi,
-a >
-a > My original theory was a little different
-a > when I predicted that BTC will disappear
-a > by end of 2025. I assumed that "Kiosk"
-a >
-a >-a From 120'000 to 80'000 in a few days
-a > https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/bitcoin/
-a >
-a > money exchange will be done by Dogecoin,
-a > LTC, etc.. But my theory is different now.
-a > The West doesn't need Crypto. There is
-a >
-a > enough cyber security and active database
-a > technology around, and Mastercard, VISA,
-a > Banks, etc.. have all mordernized, instant
-a >
-a > payment and mobile apps.
-a >
-a > Bye
-a >
-a > P.S.: Also USA gets fucked hard with their
-a > silly "Strategic Bitcoin Reserve". And most-
-a > likely Michael Sailor will be one of the
-a >
-a > "black peter"s, or some other moron, or
-a > some other colllective of morons ?
-a >
-a > Mild Shock schrieb:
-a >-a > Hi,
-a >-a >
-a >-a > Looks like having some crypto bought in
-a >-a > March 2025, would have been a good idea.
-a >-a > For exampe BTC is currently going through
-a >-a >
-a >-a > the 120'000.- USD ceiling:
-a >-a >
-a >-a > 122'000 USD (Mon, 14 Jul 2025 08:43:33 +0200)
-a >-a > https://coinmarketcap.com/
-a >-a >
-a >-a > But why am I still believing BTC will disappear.
-a >-a > I don't know. Epstein did also disappear, and
-a >-a > his funds on Virgin Islands are all gone,
-a >-a >
-a >-a > compensation payed to Non-Virgins.
-a >-a >
-a >-a > Bye
-a >-a >
-a >-a > Mild Shock schrieb:
-a >-a >> Hi,
-a >-a >>
-a >-a >> Bravo: Bitcon at 82'000.- USD now! Not as
-a >-a >> bad as the 79'000.- USD a few days ago.
-a >-a >>
-a >-a >> Thanks to the modern AI trading bots, now
-a >-a >> everything runs in parallel, BTC, ETH, altcoins.
-a >-a >> If one altcoin is favorable, an AI trading bot
-a >-a >>
-a >-a >> will sell, and buy something else. So that
-a >-a >> after a while BTC, ETH, altcoin show all the
-a >-a >> same trajectory and so on:
-a >-a >>
-a >-a >> https://coinmarketcap.com/
-a >-a >>
-a >-a >> It doesn't matter anymore if the strategic
-a >-a >> bitcoin reserve would includen SOL, XRP, or
-a >-a >> who knows what. Its all completely broken.
-a >-a >>
-a >-a >> Bye
100-year bonds since the Great Depression, idiot.
One fancies they'd imagine to roll them over,
the bond-holders.
On 02/22/2026 03:48 AM, Mild Shock wrote:
Hi,
Its really amazing how the Mar-A-Logo Effect
works. BTC went from oversold to overbought.
And price recovered a little bit.
But the pendelum might swing back, into new
wipeouts. (*) What one can already see, price
doesn't break the 70'000 barrier, right?
Its not a rocket to the moon effect, this
surreal Mar-A-Logo theatre. And in crypto
the weekends determine how the whole comming
week works out. Whales setting the stage,
Shrimps only having a minor impact. Won't
change much during the comming week, right?
You see overbought/oversold here:
Crypto Relative Strength Index (RSI)
https://coinmarketcap.com/charts/rsi/
Bye
(*) Thats an interesting question what might
trigger new wipeouts. What are the landmarks,
when whales come out of their hibernation,
and perform some market actions?
Mild Shock schrieb:
Hi,
I am not sure whether the some bond advice
is the best advice, it depends whether you
are risk adverse or risk seeking, and what
bothers you most, inflation or what else?
If one is a little more risk seeking one
might be better of with real estate.
In general it might be anyways a bad sign,
that a portfolio isn't diversified yet,
i.e. either a gold bug portfolio, or a
bitcoin believer portfolio. 5 years from
now gold bugs might be hit, if some long
term cycle hits the financial markets, or
if Elon Musk has found gold on mars.
Bye
Mild Shock schrieb:
Hi,
Who is the "you", do you mean "one"?
Like in "one" should drop the idea of
crypto gold as a store of wealth.
Well you are wellcome to write it like
that, since I am not seeking advice.
I am only commenting the currious
events and how they progress from
delusion to another delusion. But I
wont tell how to get out of this
vicious cycle, since I don't know the
optimum and the future. Even if you
take some actions, its always bounded
rationality and uncertainty.
Have Fun!
Bye
Ross Finlayson schrieb:
You mean the "Board of Piss"' dumped in its scattergory
saudi sovereign shekels, because the dirty money didn't
have anywhere else to go?
Maybe you should look into some nice bonds, ....
The Japanese made a major shift to increase
the attractiveness of Nippon bonds.
These days the Swiss are almost giving better
than even money.
On 02/21/2026 03:47 PM, Mild Shock wrote:
Hi,
Goldbugs are now the new heros, since they didn't
believe in Crypto, which recently saw a Wipeout,
and they now simply walk into a Store with a big Pincher:
Goldbugs going to the grocery store
https://9gag.com/gag/aoywg43
And see also:
Gold Bug: What It Is, How It Works, and Example
https://www.investopedia.com/terms/g/goldbug.asp
Bye
P.S.: Gold reputation wasn't always good:
- Gold peaked around 2011 during the aftermath
of the Federal Reserve QE era and eurozone crisis panic.
- Then from 2012 to 2015 it slid hard
rCo roughly a ~40rCo45% drop.
- Meanwhile, US equities (like the S&P 500) went
on a monster bull run.
- And by the mid-2010s, crypto (especially Bitcoin)
started stealing the rCLhard money / anti-fiatrCY narrative.
Mild Shock schrieb:
Hi,
Will the crypto bros become AI bros? They
could repurpose their infrastructure. But
this will mostlikely not happen:
- Worthless Infrastructure:
Mostlikely their infrastructure is discounted
to zero. Except for some personell know how
value, and some real estate value, they possibly
run hardware which lacks the leap to currently
slightly expensive HBM (High Bandwidth Memory) ?
- Shift to Local AI:
Even if they can repurpose their infrastruture,
they might not see a lot of customers. Smartphone
technology is now used in Desktops, giving again
a leap in low power consumption with the benefit
of integrated AI accelerators (example Snapdragon X).
These new PCs, can run local AI models, and the
possible winners will be Microsoft with Copilot+, etc..
and the loosers will be Palantir, etc..
A corresponding sector rotation is already seen.
Bye
Mild Shock schrieb:
Hi,
My original theory was a little different
when I predicted that BTC will disappear
by end of 2025. I assumed that "Kiosk"
From 120'000 to 80'000 in a few days
https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/bitcoin/
money exchange will be done by Dogecoin,
LTC, etc.. But my theory is different now.
The West doesn't need Crypto. There is
enough cyber security and active database
technology around, and Mastercard, VISA,
Banks, etc.. have all mordernized, instant
payment and mobile apps.
Bye
P.S.: Also USA gets fucked hard with their
silly "Strategic Bitcoin Reserve". And most-
likely Michael Sailor will be one of the
"black peter"s, or some other moron, or
some other colllective of morons ?
Mild Shock schrieb:
Hi,
Looks like having some crypto bought in
March 2025, would have been a good idea.
For exampe BTC is currently going through
the 120'000.- USD ceiling:
122'000 USD (Mon, 14 Jul 2025 08:43:33 +0200)
https://coinmarketcap.com/
But why am I still believing BTC will disappear.
I don't know. Epstein did also disappear, and
his funds on Virgin Islands are all gone,
compensation payed to Non-Virgins.
Bye
Mild Shock schrieb:
Hi,
Bravo: Bitcon at 82'000.- USD now! Not as
bad as the 79'000.- USD a few days ago.
Thanks to the modern AI trading bots, now
everything runs in parallel, BTC, ETH, altcoins.
If one altcoin is favorable, an AI trading bot
will sell, and buy something else. So that
after a while BTC, ETH, altcoin show all the
same trajectory and so on:
https://coinmarketcap.com/
It doesn't matter anymore if the strategic
bitcoin reserve would includen SOL, XRP, or
who knows what. Its all completely broken.
Bye
Hi,
Oki Rossy Boy. You are stubborn right?
He probably read this article:
As students and professors begin classes
in September, the financing departments of
many universities have been very busy: last
week University of Virginia sold a 100-year
bond at even lower rates rCo 3.23 percent rCo
while Rutgers University plans to issue $330
million for 100 years, at a rate not yet
announced. MITrCOs 2011 century-bond issue at
5.6 percent now looks very expensive. https://thedailyeconomy.org/article/the-return-of-the-century-bond/
Well nobody cares whether a bond is 100
years or 30 years. As long as it can be traded
and has an interest rate? Right? Or maybe you
don't like liquidity from time to time? A
bond that has 3 - 6% per year has maybe less
return on invest than real estate, which can
have 6% - 10% per year easily, if you can find,
and buy early and very low. And/or if you have
tenants that pay high rent.
Bye
BTW: I can easily top the 100 years by 1 year:
Lease Length: 101 yrs left https://www.winkworth.co.uk/properties/sales/martin-house-falmouth-road-london-se1/KEN230421
Check out allow subletting freely.
You find also leashold for 1000 years.
Have Fun!
Ross Finlayson schrieb:
100-year bonds since the Great Depression, idiot.
One fancies they'd imagine to roll them over,
the bond-holders.
On 02/22/2026 03:48 AM, Mild Shock wrote:
Hi,
Its really amazing how the Mar-A-Logo Effect
works. BTC went from oversold to overbought.
And price recovered a little bit.
But the pendelum might swing back, into new
wipeouts. (*) What one can already see, price
doesn't break the 70'000 barrier, right?
Its not a rocket to the moon effect, this
surreal Mar-A-Logo theatre. And in crypto
the weekends determine how the whole comming
week works out. Whales setting the stage,
Shrimps only having a minor impact. Won't
change much during the comming week, right?
You see overbought/oversold here:
Crypto Relative Strength Index (RSI)
https://coinmarketcap.com/charts/rsi/
Bye
(*) Thats an interesting question what might
trigger new wipeouts. What are the landmarks,
when whales come out of their hibernation,
and perform some market actions?
Mild Shock schrieb:
Hi,
I am not sure whether the some bond advice
is the best advice, it depends whether you
are risk adverse or risk seeking, and what
bothers you most, inflation or what else?
If one is a little more risk seeking one
might be better of with real estate.
In general it might be anyways a bad sign,
that a portfolio isn't diversified yet,
i.e. either a gold bug portfolio, or a
bitcoin believer portfolio. 5 years from
now gold bugs might be hit, if some long
term cycle hits the financial markets, or
if Elon Musk has found gold on mars.
Bye
Mild Shock schrieb:
Hi,
Who is the "you", do you mean "one"?
Like in "one" should drop the idea of
crypto gold as a store of wealth.
Well you are wellcome to write it like
that, since I am not seeking advice.
I am only commenting the currious
events and how they progress from
delusion to another delusion. But I
wont tell how to get out of this
vicious cycle, since I don't know the
optimum and the future. Even if you
take some actions, its always bounded
rationality and uncertainty.
Have Fun!
Bye
Ross Finlayson schrieb:
You mean the "Board of Piss"' dumped in its scattergory
saudi sovereign shekels, because the dirty money didn't
have anywhere else to go?
Maybe you should look into some nice bonds, ....
The Japanese made a major shift to increase
the attractiveness of Nippon bonds.
These days the Swiss are almost giving better
than even money.
-a > On 02/21/2026 03:47 PM, Mild Shock wrote:
-a >> Hi,
-a >>
-a >> Goldbugs are now the new heros, since they didn't
-a >> believe in Crypto, which recently saw a Wipeout,
-a >> and they now simply walk into a Store with a big Pincher:
-a >>
-a >> Goldbugs going to the grocery store
-a >> https://9gag.com/gag/aoywg43
-a >>
-a >> And see also:
-a >>
-a >> Gold Bug: What It Is, How It Works, and Example
-a >> https://www.investopedia.com/terms/g/goldbug.asp
-a >>
-a >> Bye
-a >>
-a >> P.S.: Gold reputation wasn't always good:
-a >>
-a >> - Gold peaked around 2011 during the aftermath
-a >> of the Federal Reserve QE era and eurozone crisis panic.
-a >>
-a >> - Then from 2012 to 2015 it slid hard
-a >>-a-a rCo roughly a ~40rCo45% drop.
-a >>
-a >> - Meanwhile, US equities (like the S&P 500) went
-a >> on a monster bull run.
-a >>
-a >> - And by the mid-2010s, crypto (especially Bitcoin)
-a >> started stealing the rCLhard money / anti-fiatrCY narrative.
-a >>
-a >> Mild Shock schrieb:
-a >>> Hi,
-a >>>
-a >>> Will the crypto bros become AI bros? They
-a >>> could repurpose their infrastructure. But
-a >>> this will mostlikely not happen:
-a >>>
-a >>> - Worthless Infrastructure:
-a >>>-a-a-a Mostlikely their infrastructure is discounted
-a >>>-a-a-a to zero. Except for some personell know how
-a >>>-a-a-a value, and some real estate value, they possibly
-a >>>-a-a-a run hardware which lacks the leap to currently
-a >>>-a-a-a slightly expensive HBM (High Bandwidth Memory) ?
-a >>>
-a >>> - Shift to Local AI:
-a >>>-a-a-a Even if they can repurpose their infrastruture,
-a >>>-a-a-a they might not see a lot of customers. Smartphone
-a >>>-a-a-a technology is now used in Desktops, giving again
-a >>>-a-a-a a leap in low power consumption with the benefit
-a >>>-a-a-a of integrated AI accelerators (example Snapdragon X).
-a >>>
-a >>> These new PCs, can run local AI models, and the
-a >>> possible winners will be Microsoft with Copilot+, etc..
-a >>> and the loosers will be Palantir, etc..
-a >>>
-a >>> A corresponding sector rotation is already seen.
-a >>>
-a >>> Bye
-a >>>
-a >>> Mild Shock schrieb:
-a >>>-a > Hi,
-a >>>-a >
-a >>>-a > My original theory was a little different
-a >>>-a > when I predicted that BTC will disappear
-a >>>-a > by end of 2025. I assumed that "Kiosk"
-a >>>-a >
-a >>>-a >-a From 120'000 to 80'000 in a few days
-a >>>-a > https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/bitcoin/
-a >>>-a >
-a >>>-a > money exchange will be done by Dogecoin,
-a >>>-a > LTC, etc.. But my theory is different now.
-a >>>-a > The West doesn't need Crypto. There is
-a >>>-a >
-a >>>-a > enough cyber security and active database
-a >>>-a > technology around, and Mastercard, VISA,
-a >>>-a > Banks, etc.. have all mordernized, instant
-a >>>-a >
-a >>>-a > payment and mobile apps.
-a >>>-a >
-a >>>-a > Bye
-a >>>-a >
-a >>>-a > P.S.: Also USA gets fucked hard with their
-a >>>-a > silly "Strategic Bitcoin Reserve". And most-
-a >>>-a > likely Michael Sailor will be one of the
-a >>>-a >
-a >>>-a > "black peter"s, or some other moron, or
-a >>>-a > some other colllective of morons ?
-a >>>-a >
-a >>>-a > Mild Shock schrieb:
-a >>>-a >-a > Hi,
-a >>>-a >-a >
-a >>>-a >-a > Looks like having some crypto bought in
-a >>>-a >-a > March 2025, would have been a good idea.
-a >>>-a >-a > For exampe BTC is currently going through
-a >>>-a >-a >
-a >>>-a >-a > the 120'000.- USD ceiling:
-a >>>-a >-a >
-a >>>-a >-a > 122'000 USD (Mon, 14 Jul 2025 08:43:33 +0200)
-a >>>-a >-a > https://coinmarketcap.com/
-a >>>-a >-a >
-a >>>-a >-a > But why am I still believing BTC will disappear.
-a >>>-a >-a > I don't know. Epstein did also disappear, and
-a >>>-a >-a > his funds on Virgin Islands are all gone,
-a >>>-a >-a >
-a >>>-a >-a > compensation payed to Non-Virgins.
-a >>>-a >-a >
-a >>>-a >-a > Bye
-a >>>-a >-a >
-a >>>-a >-a > Mild Shock schrieb:
-a >>>-a >-a >> Hi,
-a >>>-a >-a >>
-a >>>-a >-a >> Bravo: Bitcon at 82'000.- USD now! Not as
-a >>>-a >-a >> bad as the 79'000.- USD a few days ago.
-a >>>-a >-a >>
-a >>>-a >-a >> Thanks to the modern AI trading bots, now
-a >>>-a >-a >> everything runs in parallel, BTC, ETH, altcoins.
-a >>>-a >-a >> If one altcoin is favorable, an AI trading bot
-a >>>-a >-a >>
-a >>>-a >-a >> will sell, and buy something else. So that
-a >>>-a >-a >> after a while BTC, ETH, altcoin show all the
-a >>>-a >-a >> same trajectory and so on:
-a >>>-a >-a >>
-a >>>-a >-a >> https://coinmarketcap.com/
-a >>>-a >-a >>
-a >>>-a >-a >> It doesn't matter anymore if the strategic
-a >>>-a >-a >> bitcoin reserve would includen SOL, XRP, or
-a >>>-a >-a >> who knows what. Its all completely broken.
-a >>>-a >-a >>
-a >>>-a >-a >> Bye
-a >>>
-a >>>
-a >>
-a >
Hi,--- Synchronet 3.21b-Linux NewsLink 1.2
Now comes the fun part. Bonds can crash.
After the post-COVID stimulus period,
there was a major bond crash in 2022,
and long-term bonds were hit especially hard.
How bad was it?
- The Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Bond Index fell
about 13% in 2022 rCo the worst year in modern history.
- Long-duration Treasury bond funds dropped 20rCo30%.
- Some ultra-long bonds (50rCo100 years) lost even more.
What does it mean. It means you could not
liquidate it without loosing all your total
interest more or less, depending how
long you did hold it. A 20% drop in price,
means you lost 4 years or so, if the interest
rate was 5%. A further problem is that,
inflation is a hidden danger for bonds,
especially long-term ones like 100-year bonds.
If inflation is 2% per year, your $1,000
bond paying $50 per year ($50 |+ $1,000 = 5%)
actually gives you less purchasing power each year.
Bye
BTW: Real estate has different dynamics.
Mild Shock schrieb:
Hi,
Oki Rossy Boy. You are stubborn right?
He probably read this article:
As students and professors begin classes
in September, the financing departments of
many universities have been very busy: last
week University of Virginia sold a 100-year
bond at even lower rates rCo 3.23 percent rCo
while Rutgers University plans to issue $330
million for 100 years, at a rate not yet
announced. MITrCOs 2011 century-bond issue at
5.6 percent now looks very expensive.
https://thedailyeconomy.org/article/the-return-of-the-century-bond/
Well nobody cares whether a bond is 100
years or 30 years. As long as it can be traded
and has an interest rate? Right? Or maybe you
don't like liquidity from time to time? A
bond that has 3 - 6% per year has maybe less
return on invest than real estate, which can
have 6% - 10% per year easily, if you can find,
and buy early and very low. And/or if you have
tenants that pay high rent.
Bye
BTW: I can easily top the 100 years by 1 year:
Lease Length: 101 yrs left
https://www.winkworth.co.uk/properties/sales/martin-house-falmouth-road-london-se1/KEN230421
Check out allow subletting freely.
You find also leashold for 1000 years.
Have Fun!
Ross Finlayson schrieb:
100-year bonds since the Great Depression, idiot.
One fancies they'd imagine to roll them over,
the bond-holders.
Hi,
Since Mac Neger called me an IT supporter,
I do what lazy IT supporters do. They don't
sign leashold contracts. They don't bring
tenants on board. They speculate with ETFs.
The below could be a sleeper cannon, who knows,
slowly rebounding to pre Corona levels.
Currently it has some green candles:
iShares Developed Markets Property Yield UCITS ETF https://www.justetf.com/ch/etf-profile.html?isin=IE00B1FZS350
ETFs are quick. So if you think some alarm bells
are ringing, you can rotate easily and instantaneous.
The composition sheet says:
Immobilien-a-a-a 96,29%
Sonstige-a-a-a 3,38%
Have Fun!
bye
Mild Shock schrieb:
Hi,
Now comes the fun part. Bonds can crash.
After the post-COVID stimulus period,
there was a major bond crash in 2022,
and long-term bonds were hit especially hard.
How bad was it?
- The Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Bond Index fell
about 13% in 2022 rCo the worst year in modern history.
- Long-duration Treasury bond funds dropped 20rCo30%.
- Some ultra-long bonds (50rCo100 years) lost even more.
What does it mean. It means you could not
liquidate it without loosing all your total
interest more or less, depending how
long you did hold it. A 20% drop in price,
means you lost 4 years or so, if the interest
rate was 5%. A further problem is that,
inflation is a hidden danger for bonds,
especially long-term ones like 100-year bonds.
If inflation is 2% per year, your $1,000
bond paying $50 per year ($50 |+ $1,000 = 5%)
actually gives you less purchasing power each year.
Bye
BTW: Real estate has different dynamics.
Mild Shock schrieb:
Hi,
Oki Rossy Boy. You are stubborn right?
He probably read this article:
As students and professors begin classes
in September, the financing departments of
many universities have been very busy: last
week University of Virginia sold a 100-year
bond at even lower rates rCo 3.23 percent rCo
while Rutgers University plans to issue $330
million for 100 years, at a rate not yet
announced. MITrCOs 2011 century-bond issue at
5.6 percent now looks very expensive.
https://thedailyeconomy.org/article/the-return-of-the-century-bond/
Well nobody cares whether a bond is 100
years or 30 years. As long as it can be traded
and has an interest rate? Right? Or maybe you
don't like liquidity from time to time? A
bond that has 3 - 6% per year has maybe less
return on invest than real estate, which can
have 6% - 10% per year easily, if you can find,
and buy early and very low. And/or if you have
tenants that pay high rent.
Bye
BTW: I can easily top the 100 years by 1 year:
Lease Length: 101 yrs left
https://www.winkworth.co.uk/properties/sales/martin-house-falmouth-road-london-se1/KEN230421
Check out allow subletting freely.
You find also leashold for 1000 years.
Have Fun!
Ross Finlayson schrieb:
100-year bonds since the Great Depression, idiot.
One fancies they'd imagine to roll them over,
the bond-holders.
Hi,
Now comes the Quizz and IQ Test. What are
the escape assets of the Crypto Wipeout.
Statistics shows that a lot of crypto was
sold, generating liquidity. Where does the
liquidity go now. Rossy Boys bonds or
IT supporters real estate?
Probably both. The real estate ETF had
exactly a price hike the last few days,
possibly due to some demand.
One could easily realize a win of 5%,
in case one bought the ETF before the price
hike. And realize this win over a small
period of a few days. Amazing!
Or as the saying goes: Traders like Volatility
How Traders Can Take Advantage of Volatile Markets https://www.schwab.co.uk/how-traders-can-take-advantage-volatile-markets
Bye
Mild Shock schrieb:
Hi,
Since Mac Neger called me an IT supporter,
I do what lazy IT supporters do. They don't
sign leashold contracts. They don't bring
tenants on board. They speculate with ETFs.
The below could be a sleeper cannon, who knows,
slowly rebounding to pre Corona levels.
Currently it has some green candles:
iShares Developed Markets Property Yield UCITS ETF
https://www.justetf.com/ch/etf-profile.html?isin=IE00B1FZS350
ETFs are quick. So if you think some alarm bells
are ringing, you can rotate easily and instantaneous.
The composition sheet says:
Immobilien-a-a-a 96,29%
Sonstige-a-a-a 3,38%
Have Fun!
bye
Mild Shock schrieb:
Hi,
Now comes the fun part. Bonds can crash.
After the post-COVID stimulus period,
there was a major bond crash in 2022,
and long-term bonds were hit especially hard.
How bad was it?
- The Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Bond Index fell
about 13% in 2022 rCo the worst year in modern history.
- Long-duration Treasury bond funds dropped 20rCo30%.
- Some ultra-long bonds (50rCo100 years) lost even more.
What does it mean. It means you could not
liquidate it without loosing all your total
interest more or less, depending how
long you did hold it. A 20% drop in price,
means you lost 4 years or so, if the interest
rate was 5%. A further problem is that,
inflation is a hidden danger for bonds,
especially long-term ones like 100-year bonds.
If inflation is 2% per year, your $1,000
bond paying $50 per year ($50 |+ $1,000 = 5%)
actually gives you less purchasing power each year.
Bye
BTW: Real estate has different dynamics.
Mild Shock schrieb:
Hi,
Oki Rossy Boy. You are stubborn right?
He probably read this article:
As students and professors begin classes
in September, the financing departments of
many universities have been very busy: last
week University of Virginia sold a 100-year
bond at even lower rates rCo 3.23 percent rCo
while Rutgers University plans to issue $330
million for 100 years, at a rate not yet
announced. MITrCOs 2011 century-bond issue at
5.6 percent now looks very expensive.
https://thedailyeconomy.org/article/the-return-of-the-century-bond/
Well nobody cares whether a bond is 100
years or 30 years. As long as it can be traded
and has an interest rate? Right? Or maybe you
don't like liquidity from time to time? A
bond that has 3 - 6% per year has maybe less
return on invest than real estate, which can
have 6% - 10% per year easily, if you can find,
and buy early and very low. And/or if you have
tenants that pay high rent.
Bye
BTW: I can easily top the 100 years by 1 year:
Lease Length: 101 yrs left
https://www.winkworth.co.uk/properties/sales/martin-house-falmouth-road-london-se1/KEN230421
Check out allow subletting freely.
You find also leashold for 1000 years.
Have Fun!
Ross Finlayson schrieb:
100-year bonds since the Great Depression, idiot.
One fancies they'd imagine to roll them over,
the bond-holders.
Hi,
So what killed bitcoin. Was it the death
embrace of financial markets, moving it into
instutional hands (*) via ETF.
A Death Embrace that had also support
by Donald Trump that managed once to even
ruin a Casino. What one could see pretty much
12 months ago was not only a trump rally
in terms of voting, Bitcoin was also down
and saw a surged after trump got its ticket.
Now Bitcoin is obvisouly completely crashing.
This morning the downfall continues from
68'000 to 65'000. As I predicted the week
doesn't care about the weekend.
Have Fun!
Bye
(*) Institutaional hands means also more
Adam Smiths invisible hand:
"Going far beyond the original intent
of Smith's metaphor, twentieth-century
economists, especially Paul Samuelson,
popularized the use of the term to refer
to a more general and abstract conclusion
that truly free markets are self-regulating
systems that always tend to create economically
optimal outcomes"
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Invisible_hand
Asking more questions about rentability,
beyond being a shiny digital gold. In the
present times IT supporter possibly have other
priorites than using their infrastructure
to sustain some absurd digital gold, with
no value at all and only transaction costs
and cyber security problems.
Mild Shock schrieb:
Hi,
Now comes the Quizz and IQ Test. What are
the escape assets of the Crypto Wipeout.
Statistics shows that a lot of crypto was
sold, generating liquidity. Where does the
liquidity go now. Rossy Boys bonds or
IT supporters real estate?
Probably both. The real estate ETF had
exactly a price hike the last few days,
possibly due to some demand.
One could easily realize a win of 5%,
in case one bought the ETF before the price
hike. And realize this win over a small
period of a few days. Amazing!
Or as the saying goes: Traders like Volatility
How Traders Can Take Advantage of Volatile Markets
https://www.schwab.co.uk/how-traders-can-take-advantage-volatile-markets
Bye
Mild Shock schrieb:
Hi,
Since Mac Neger called me an IT supporter,
I do what lazy IT supporters do. They don't
sign leashold contracts. They don't bring
tenants on board. They speculate with ETFs.
The below could be a sleeper cannon, who knows,
slowly rebounding to pre Corona levels.
Currently it has some green candles:
iShares Developed Markets Property Yield UCITS ETF
https://www.justetf.com/ch/etf-profile.html?isin=IE00B1FZS350
ETFs are quick. So if you think some alarm bells
are ringing, you can rotate easily and instantaneous.
The composition sheet says:
Immobilien-a-a-a 96,29%
Sonstige-a-a-a 3,38%
Have Fun!
bye
Mild Shock schrieb:
Hi,
Now comes the fun part. Bonds can crash.
After the post-COVID stimulus period,
there was a major bond crash in 2022,
and long-term bonds were hit especially hard.
How bad was it?
- The Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Bond Index fell
about 13% in 2022 rCo the worst year in modern history.
- Long-duration Treasury bond funds dropped 20rCo30%.
- Some ultra-long bonds (50rCo100 years) lost even more.
What does it mean. It means you could not
liquidate it without loosing all your total
interest more or less, depending how
long you did hold it. A 20% drop in price,
means you lost 4 years or so, if the interest
rate was 5%. A further problem is that,
inflation is a hidden danger for bonds,
especially long-term ones like 100-year bonds.
If inflation is 2% per year, your $1,000
bond paying $50 per year ($50 |+ $1,000 = 5%)
actually gives you less purchasing power each year.
Bye
BTW: Real estate has different dynamics.
Mild Shock schrieb:
Hi,
Oki Rossy Boy. You are stubborn right?
He probably read this article:
As students and professors begin classes
in September, the financing departments of
many universities have been very busy: last
week University of Virginia sold a 100-year
bond at even lower rates rCo 3.23 percent rCo
while Rutgers University plans to issue $330
million for 100 years, at a rate not yet
announced. MITrCOs 2011 century-bond issue at
5.6 percent now looks very expensive.
https://thedailyeconomy.org/article/the-return-of-the-century-bond/
Well nobody cares whether a bond is 100
years or 30 years. As long as it can be traded
and has an interest rate? Right? Or maybe you
don't like liquidity from time to time? A
bond that has 3 - 6% per year has maybe less
return on invest than real estate, which can
have 6% - 10% per year easily, if you can find,
and buy early and very low. And/or if you have
tenants that pay high rent.
Bye
BTW: I can easily top the 100 years by 1 year:
Lease Length: 101 yrs left
https://www.winkworth.co.uk/properties/sales/martin-house-falmouth-road-london-se1/KEN230421
Check out allow subletting freely.
You find also leashold for 1000 years.
Have Fun!
Ross Finlayson schrieb:
100-year bonds since the Great Depression, idiot.
One fancies they'd imagine to roll them over,
the bond-holders.
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