• Next Hurricane - Models Shift Slightly West, But Intensity Guess Increa

    From 186283@ud0s4.net@21:1/5 to All on Sun Nov 3 17:31:16 2024
    XPost: talk.politics.misc, alt.disasters, alt.politics.usa
    XPost: alt.survival

    https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/#18L

    This time yesterday the models suggested the new
    storm coming up and curving into west Florida
    as a TS - kind of the same area as the last two.

    Now two of three models suggest impact in Louisiana
    instead - again by Friday or early Saturday. The
    Euro model still points at the Tallahassee area
    however.

    The more troubling aspect is that the intensity
    forecast has jumped up a notch - more likely a
    middle cat-1 rather than a middle TS. Intensity
    prediction IS still pretty "iffy", so it might
    be wise to assume one category higher at landfall.

    The exact steering of the storm will depend on
    the position of fall high-pressure areas over
    the continent. These kind of ebb and flow like
    big jellyfish.


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