• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0052

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Sun Jan 25 07:21:35 2026
    ACUS11 KWNS 250721
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 250720=20
    VAZ000-NCZ000-SCZ000-251315-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0052
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0120 AM CST Sun Jan 25 2026

    Areas affected...Northern South Carolina...Central and Northern
    North Carolina...Southern Virginia

    Concerning...Winter mixed precipitation=20

    Valid 250720Z - 251315Z

    SUMMARY...Areas of freezing rain are expected through Sunday morning
    from South Carolina into southern and central North Carolina. From
    northern North Carolina into southern Virginia, a mix of snow and
    sleet is expected to changeover to a mix of sleet and freezing rain
    by daybreak.

    DISCUSSION...Latest water vapor imagery shows abundant mid-level
    moisture across most of the east-central U.S. within
    west-southwesterly flow aloft. A broad mid-level jet extends
    westward from the Northeast into the southern Great Lakes and Ohio
    Valley. Strong lift within the right entrance region of the jet
    combined with a broad zone of warm advection will continue to be
    favorable for widespread precipitation from the Ohio and Tennessee
    Valley eastward to the Eastern Seaboard. From the Carolinas
    northward, a sub-freezing airmass is in place but temperatures in
    the low to mid-levels are warm, with forecast soundings showing a
    warm nose just above 850 mb ranging from +5 To +10 C. This
    temperature profile will be favorable for freezing rain from South
    Carolina northward into southern and central North Carolina through
    daybreak.

    Further to the north across northern North Carolina and southern
    Virginia, low to mid-level temperatures are cold enough for a mix of
    snow and sleet. As strong warm advection continues over the next few
    hours, a gradual transition to sleet and freezing rain is expected.

    ..Broyles/Mosier.. 01/25/2026

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!5egZ-JVeXmPPpKptc5ppj4o3q03kTWEnBW4Z7UhLTyk2T2AL-CHnUzTXHbDLqwEqCzh0haLlK= z71vtLLZ49Fus6m5U8$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...RNK...CAE...GSP...

    LAT...LON 34697911 34398011 34208103 34178191 34348233 34568245
    34968236 35428187 36398005 36857935 37127869 37197770
    37077700 36817666 36517661 36127680 35317772 34697911=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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