From Newsgroup: uk.sci.weather

If one long distance metelorological model prediction for 2 weeks off,
is giving a very extreme "300 year" type event it is very unlikely to
come to pass , the severity anyway.
But what if two independent models come up with exactly the same
prediction. For 2 weeks off, today, ECMWF and GFS give the same severe windscape heading for middle Eire 03 Mar.
If that wind was more south and entered the Eng channel, then the
windstress widgets to a surge in the Solent area of about 1.8m on a 4.9m
tide 03 Mar. (0.7m higher than the highest total tide marine flood event
in the last century)
It will be interesting to see how much of a double supercomputer
prediction comes to pass, if any, in terms of severity, spatial and
temporal positioning.
--
Global sea level rise to 2100 from curve-fitted existing altimetry data <http://diverse.4mg.com/slr.htm>
--- Synchronet 3.21a-Linux NewsLink 1.2

From Newsgroup: uk.sci.weather

On 17/02/2025 14:36, N_Cook wrote:

If one long distance metelorological model prediction for 2 weeks off,
is giving a very extreme "300 year" type event it is very unlikely to
come to pass , the severity anyway.
But what if two independent models come up with exactly the same
prediction. For 2 weeks off, today, ECMWF and GFS give the same severe windscape heading for middle Eire 03 Mar.
If that wind was more south and entered the Eng channel, then the
windstress widgets to a surge in the Solent area of about 1.8m on a 4.9m
tide 03 Mar. (0.7m higher than the highest total tide marine flood event
in the last century)
It will be interesting to see how much of a double supercomputer
prediction comes to pass, if any, in terms of severity, spatial and
temporal positioning.

Converging again, ECMWF big blow going for 04 Mar and N Ireland, GFS for
Eng Channel 03 Mar
--
Global sea level rise to 2100 from curve-fitted existing altimetry data <http://diverse.4mg.com/slr.htm>
--- Synchronet 3.21a-Linux NewsLink 1.2