• Was Stalingrad stand firm a mistake?

    From SolomonW@SolomonW@citi.com to soc.history.what-if,alt.history.what-if,rec.aviation.military on Tue Dec 17 01:39:10 2019
    From Newsgroup: soc.history.what-if

    The Soviet Fifth Tank and Twenty-first Armies launched Uranus on 19
    November. It was reported to Hitler who was on holiday that hundreds of
    Soviet tanks had shattered the Rumanian front. This was not unexpected as
    the Germans were already concerned about their weakiness there and they had noted Soviet preparations in the area.

    Soon it became that day clear that the situation was dire.

    However, the Germans army were not sure then whether they could contain the Soviet army. They immediately ordered available troops to the area, but
    they did not have enough that could be sent in at such short notice. Soon
    it became clear that their armies and allies in Stalingrad would quickly be trapped between the quickly closing Soviet pincers.

    Now, what to do?

    Jeschonnek, chief of the Luftwaffe General Staff was called in and was
    advised that the German army and its allies in Stalingrad would probably be trapped. However, a German army would soon launch a relief effort, but for
    a short time, the German army would be cut off. Now he was asked if for a
    short time the German army could be supplied. Jeschonnek who was not given
    time to consider the situation and replied that it could be done for a
    short time. Maybe he should have asked for time to review the situation,
    but in truth then there was no time.

    So Hitler initially ordered his troops to stand in Stalingrad.

    However, later that day, many in the German army and Luftwaffe voiced their concerns and stated that the airlift was not going to work, and an
    immediate breakout was required. At this stage, German General Paulus might here have started the breakup on his initiative, but he did not. Note I am
    not so sure without Hitler's approval Paulus could do such a breakout.

    In a few days, Jeschonnek after doing a review of the situation concluded
    that the Luftwaffe could not supply the German army in Stalingrad and he
    told Hitler that. Hitler, however, refused to change his mind and ordered
    his forces in Stalingrad to stand firm. The die was cast.

    Most people think this stand order by Hitler was a mistake, but I am not so sure of this.

    If say Hitler had ordered the army at Stalingrad to withdraw, the German
    army there would have lost most of its equipment. Many of his troops would
    be lost anyway, many would-be wrecks too sick to do any more fighting.
    Probably only a remnant as a fighting force would be available to the
    Germans later. Then there is the problem of seven Soviet armies driving
    into the German lines in the South and not much to stop them.

    By ordering those people at Stalingrad to stand firm, Hitler kept the
    Soviet forces contained for months. Because of this, the bulk of the German army in the area was able to withdraw safely. Soon the front in the South
    was stabilised although at a terrible cost of the losses in Stalingrad.

    What are your thoughts about this?















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  • From a425couple@a425couple@hotmail.com to soc.history.what-if,alt.history.what-if,rec.aviation.military on Mon Dec 16 08:53:36 2019
    From Newsgroup: soc.history.what-if

    On 12/16/2019 6:39 AM, SolomonW wrote:
    ------
    Most people think this stand order by Hitler was a mistake, but I am not so sure of this.

    If say Hitler had ordered the army at Stalingrad to withdraw, the German
    army there would have lost most of its equipment. Many of his troops would
    be lost anyway, many would-be wrecks too sick to do any more fighting. Probably only a remnant as a fighting force would be available to the
    Germans later. Then there is the problem of seven Soviet armies driving
    into the German lines in the South and not much to stop them.

    By ordering those people at Stalingrad to stand firm, Hitler kept the
    Soviet forces contained for months. Because of this, the bulk of the German army in the area was able to withdraw safely. Soon the front in the South
    was stabilised although at a terrible cost of the losses in Stalingrad.

    What are your thoughts about this?

    In the very cruel math of mass deaths,
    the standing firm was probably best for
    Germany's war effort.
    (But disastrous for the German troops.
    "many died of wounds, disease (particularly typhus), malnutrition
    and maltreatment in the months following capture at Stalingrad: only approximately 6,000 of them lived to be repatriated after the war.")
    --- Synchronet 3.21a-Linux NewsLink 1.2
  • From Keith Willshaw@keithwillshaw@gmail.com to soc.history.what-if,alt.history.what-if,rec.aviation.military on Mon Dec 16 19:32:18 2019
    From Newsgroup: soc.history.what-if

    On 16/12/2019 14:39, SolomonW wrote:


    By ordering those people at Stalingrad to stand firm, Hitler kept the
    Soviet forces contained for months. Because of this, the bulk of the German army in the area was able to withdraw safely. Soon the front in the South
    was stabilised although at a terrible cost of the losses in Stalingrad.

    What are your thoughts about this?


    The basic strategic problem was that if Stalingrad was abandoned the
    armies in the Caucasus could be encircled and destroyed. The Caucasian campaign was ill conceived and the Wehrmacht simply didnt have the
    resources to do both. The Soviets were not about to allow the Germans to capture the Caucasian oil fields intact but even if they had the Germans
    have no credible ability to ship Caucasian oil west to be refined.
    .

    By the time of the Soviet encirclement Operation Edelweiss was already
    bogged down in the Caucasian mountains while the Soviets had built a new railway line from Baku to Orsk allowing them to supply the troops in the Caucasus. In order to take Stalingrad rather than simply bypass it the
    Germans had to strip men from the the Caucasian Army groups which meant
    they had not achieved the goals allotted to them. Even if we disregard
    the losses dues to the encirclement the losses in Stalingrad were
    bleeding the Wehrmacht dry.

    By the time of Operation Uranus a disaster was inevitable. Feeding an
    army trained a equipped for mobile warfare into an urban street battle
    was madness.

    The reality is that splitting the German force to take the Caucasus AND Stalingrad was the cardinal error leaving neither force able to achieve
    its objectives. The Caucasian campaign should have been abandoned in
    October when it was clear its objectives could not achieved and it along
    with 6th army withdrawn to a more defensible line.

    A similar disaster was looming in Tunisia where PanzerArmee Afrika at
    the the end of another precarious supply chain was being squeezed
    between the British and American armies. This would also cost the
    Germans grievously although unlike the armies in Russia most of the
    German POW's would survive the war.

    It could be argued that Adolf Hitler was one of the greatest military
    assets the Allies had, he could always be relied on to make the wrong decision.
    --- Synchronet 3.21a-Linux NewsLink 1.2
  • From The Horny Goat@lcraver@home.ca to soc.history.what-if,alt.history.what-if,rec.aviation.military on Mon Dec 16 12:45:23 2019
    From Newsgroup: soc.history.what-if

    On Mon, 16 Dec 2019 19:32:18 +0000, Keith Willshaw
    <keithwillshaw@gmail.com> wrote:

    The basic strategic problem was that if Stalingrad was abandoned the
    armies in the Caucasus could be encircled and destroyed. The Caucasian >campaign was ill conceived and the Wehrmacht simply didnt have the
    resources to do both. The Soviets were not about to allow the Germans to >capture the Caucasian oil fields intact but even if they had the Germans >have no credible ability to ship Caucasian oil west to be refined.

    That's not true as was demonstrated after the Stalingrad encirclement
    when Panzer Group A (the successor designation for 1st Panzer Army)
    was withdrawn from the Caucasus in Jan/Feb 1943 with virtually no
    casualties.

    By the time of the Soviet encirclement Operation Edelweiss was already >bogged down in the Caucasian mountains while the Soviets had built a new >railway line from Baku to Orsk allowing them to supply the troops in the >Caucasus. In order to take Stalingrad rather than simply bypass it the >Germans had to strip men from the the Caucasian Army groups which meant
    they had not achieved the goals allotted to them. Even if we disregard
    the losses dues to the encirclement the losses in Stalingrad were
    bleeding the Wehrmacht dry.

    That I definitely agree with.

    By the time of Operation Uranus a disaster was inevitable. Feeding an
    army trained a equipped for mobile warfare into an urban street battle
    was madness.

    The reality is that splitting the German force to take the Caucasus AND >Stalingrad was the cardinal error leaving neither force able to achieve
    its objectives. The Caucasian campaign should have been abandoned in
    October when it was clear its objectives could not achieved and it along >with 6th army withdrawn to a more defensible line.

    I'm not sure it was necessary to withdraw from Stalingrad but
    definitely 1st Panzer Army was over-extended in the Caucasus and if
    withdrawn and properly positioned could have destroyed any Soviet
    attack on the flanks of 6th Army. (I am highly skeptical such a
    redeployment could have been done without the knowledge of the Soviets
    so question whether Uranus would have been attempted in these changed circumstances)

    A similar disaster was looming in Tunisia where PanzerArmee Afrika at
    the the end of another precarious supply chain was being squeezed
    between the British and American armies. This would also cost the
    Germans grievously although unlike the armies in Russia most of the
    German POW's would survive the war.

    The bottom line is that in Tunisia the logistics were far better than
    Libya - if Rommel had ever had the troops sent to Tunisia in 1943 at
    any time in 1941 or 1942 AND ABLE TO PROPERLY SUPPLY THEM (which is
    the kicker) there is no question he could have conquered Egypt.

    However that's questionable and anybody who has read about the North
    African campaign knows it was entirely about logistics and that's a
    problem the Axis forces never solved.

    It could be argued that Adolf Hitler was one of the greatest military
    assets the Allies had, he could always be relied on to make the wrong >decision.

    Given his background there's no reason to think he clearly understood
    the importance of logistics - and certainly nothing in the records
    suggesting German forces on the WW1 western front (which is where
    Hitler served) ever operated anywhere where their logistics were a
    serious issue.

    (I'm not counting WW1 campaigns like von Lettow-Vorbeck's which very
    definitely did involve logistics but which was something Hitler
    couldn't have known anything about till after 1918. Certainly anyone
    who has read the treaty of Brest-Litovsk would clearly understand the
    Germans were thinking of logistics - and that this was why the German participation in the Soviet intervention stayed out of places like
    Georgia)
    --- Synchronet 3.21a-Linux NewsLink 1.2
  • From Jim Wilkins@muratlanne@gmail.com to soc.history.what-if,alt.history.what-if,rec.aviation.military on Mon Dec 16 17:47:13 2019
    From Newsgroup: soc.history.what-if

    "The Horny Goat" <lcraver@home.ca> wrote in message news:8cqfved7j574u0a3m49c1qpuc1k48i7vii@4ax.com...
    On Mon, 16 Dec 2019 19:32:18 +0000, Keith Willshaw
    <keithwillshaw@gmail.com> wrote:

    ...
    I'm not sure it was necessary to withdraw from Stalingrad but
    definitely 1st Panzer Army was over-extended in the Caucasus and if
    withdrawn and properly positioned could have destroyed any Soviet
    attack on the flanks of 6th Army. (I am highly skeptical such a
    redeployment could have been done without the knowledge of the
    Soviets
    so question whether Uranus would have been attempted in these
    changed
    circumstances)
    ...

    Wehrmacht and Luftwaffe plans reached Moscow very quickly, sometimes
    before they arrived at German field units. Only operations developed
    entirely at field headquarters could surprise the Soviets. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lucy_spy_ring

    If a German staff officer was the leak source he took the secret to
    the grave. However;

    "In 1981, it was alleged by Anthony Read and David Fisher that Lucy
    was, at its heart, a British Secret Service operation intended to get
    Ultra information to the Soviets in a convincing way untraceable to
    British codebreaking operations against the Germans."


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  • From Byker@byker@do~rag.net to soc.history.what-if,alt.history.what-if,rec.aviation.military on Mon Dec 16 17:14:34 2019
    From Newsgroup: soc.history.what-if

    "a425couple" wrote in message news:qt8cqh091p@news3.newsguy.com...

    In the very cruel math of mass deaths,
    the standing firm was probably best for
    Germany's war effort.
    (But disastrous for the German troops.
    "many died of wounds, disease (particularly typhus), malnutrition
    and maltreatment in the months following capture at Stalingrad: only approximately 6,000 of them lived to be repatriated after the war.")

    Judging by their rations, it's a wonder that they survived long enough to surrender: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=occOOTk6OKY

    I wonder if concentration camp inmates were better fed...
    --- Synchronet 3.21a-Linux NewsLink 1.2
  • From Rich Rostrom@rrostrom@comcast.net to soc.history.what-if on Mon Dec 16 17:40:46 2019
    From Newsgroup: soc.history.what-if

    Keith Willshaw <keithwillshaw@gmail.com> wrote:

    The basic strategic problem was that if Stalingrad
    was abandoned the armies in the Caucasus could be
    encircled and destroyed.

    Two problems with this:

    First, trying to hold Stalingrad required a major
    relief effort by German forces (Kampfgruppe Hoth),

    Second, the Stalingrad pocket was formed on 23
    November, but Army Group A in the Caucasus did not
    start to withdraw until the beginning of January 1943
    - five weeks later. If instead of insisting on trying
    to hold Stalingrad, Hitler had ordered the troops
    there to break out and retreat, then he could also
    have recognized that Army Group A was dangerously
    exposed and should retreat immediately. That would
    have removed any risk to that force.

    Since in fact he did realize that and order the retreat
    a month before the end of the Stalingrad pocket, it
    seems probable that he would have done so when he ordered
    retreat from Stalingrad.
    --
    Nous sommes dans une pot de chambre, et nous y serons emmerdos.
    --- General Auguste-Alexandre Ducrot at Sedan, 1870.
    --- Synchronet 3.21a-Linux NewsLink 1.2
  • From The Horny Goat@lcraver@home.ca to soc.history.what-if on Mon Dec 16 17:14:23 2019
    From Newsgroup: soc.history.what-if

    On Mon, 16 Dec 2019 17:40:46 -0600, Rich Rostrom
    <rrostrom@comcast.net> wrote:

    Two problems with this:

    First, trying to hold Stalingrad required a major
    relief effort by German forces (Kampfgruppe Hoth),

    Second, the Stalingrad pocket was formed on 23
    November, but Army Group A in the Caucasus did not
    start to withdraw until the beginning of January 1943
    - five weeks later. If instead of insisting on trying
    to hold Stalingrad, Hitler had ordered the troops
    there to break out and retreat, then he could also
    have recognized that Army Group A was dangerously
    exposed and should retreat immediately. That would
    have removed any risk to that force.

    Since in fact he did realize that and order the retreat
    a month before the end of the Stalingrad pocket, it
    seems probable that he would have done so when he ordered
    retreat from Stalingrad.

    My reading suggests that most of what few casualties WERE suffered by
    Army Group A (or whatever the force was called by then took place
    during the withdrawal across the Kerch peninsula in the Crimea in Feb
    1942 with MOST of the withdrawal taking place via Rostov during Jan
    1943.

    Thus my suggestion that if those troops had been available either due
    to a stoppages say perhaps half as far as they went in the Caucasus
    (or never having attempted to go there in the first place) they could
    handily have beaten the troops that in OTL closed at Kalach and
    trapped 6th Army.

    Probably it would have been a blood bath similar to Kursk 9 months
    later but this time with the Germans with all the trump cards.
    Obviously NOT losing 6th Army would have made things less of a
    stalemate than OTL's 1943 was but even though the Russians were facing
    a manpower shortage in late 1944 I still don't see Hitler turning
    Moscow and Leningrad into lakes as per his pre 6/22/1941 fantasy.

    (More than likely the net effect is that with a stalemate in the east
    we would have seen a German surrender after Dresden and Berlin or
    wherever Little Boy and Fatman would be used - and no question nukes
    WOULD have been used over Germany if Germany was still fighting when
    nukes were available. The postwar evidence is quite strong on that
    point as the "Germany First" policy would have required first use of
    nukes against them if they were still fighting - whether that would
    also have brought about immediate Japanese surrender is doubtful as
    the Japanese would only have their own diplomats rather than first
    hand evidence as they did at Hiroshima and Nagasaki)
    --- Synchronet 3.21a-Linux NewsLink 1.2
  • From SolomonW@SolomonW@citi.com to soc.history.what-if,alt.history.what-if,rec.aviation.military on Tue Dec 17 21:49:52 2019
    From Newsgroup: soc.history.what-if

    On Mon, 16 Dec 2019 17:14:34 -0600, Byker wrote:

    "a425couple" wrote in message news:qt8cqh091p@news3.newsguy.com...

    In the very cruel math of mass deaths,
    the standing firm was probably best for
    Germany's war effort.
    (But disastrous for the German troops.
    "many died of wounds, disease (particularly typhus), malnutrition
    and maltreatment in the months following capture at Stalingrad: only
    approximately 6,000 of them lived to be repatriated after the war.")

    Judging by their rations, it's a wonder that they survived long enough to surrender: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=occOOTk6OKY


    Nice video

    I wonder if concentration camp inmates were better fed...

    Total number of Jews sent to Auschwitz was 1,095,000
    Total number killed was 960,000

    Survival rate 12%

    It was safer to be a Jew in Auschwitz, then a soldier in the sixth army.

    Here is an interesting fact, among those that survived who were captured by
    the Soviets, was General Paulus, his aides Col. Wilhelm Adam and Lt.-Gen. Arthur Schmidt. All these survived. I bet most of those that survived were officers who had more food in the siege and who had propaganda value for
    the Russians.










    --- Synchronet 3.21a-Linux NewsLink 1.2
  • From SolomonW@SolomonW@citi.com to soc.history.what-if,alt.history.what-if,rec.aviation.military on Tue Dec 17 21:53:54 2019
    From Newsgroup: soc.history.what-if

    On Mon, 16 Dec 2019 17:47:13 -0500, Jim Wilkins wrote:

    "In 1981, it was alleged by Anthony Read and David Fisher that Lucy
    was, at its heart, a British Secret Service operation intended to get
    Ultra information to the Soviets in a convincing way untraceable to
    British codebreaking operations against the Germans."

    If so then the British would have known all the information that Lucy
    supplied the Soviets, the British did not.
    --- Synchronet 3.21a-Linux NewsLink 1.2
  • From Keith Willshaw@keithwillshaw@gmail.com to soc.history.what-if,alt.history.what-if,rec.aviation.military on Tue Dec 17 18:04:35 2019
    From Newsgroup: soc.history.what-if

    On 16/12/2019 20:45, The Horny Goat wrote:


    That's not true as was demonstrated after the Stalingrad encirclement
    when Panzer Group A (the successor designation for 1st Panzer Army)
    was withdrawn from the Caucasus in Jan/Feb 1943 with virtually no
    casualties.


    Indeed but the Strategic aim behind the entire campaign was to seize the Caucasian Oil Field not retreat from them. To protect the supply lines
    for 1st Panzer Army a blocking force on the Volga was needed but it did
    not to need to be fed into the cauldron that was the Battle of Stalingrad.

    The German logistical situation was poor in the first place. Fighting a
    major offensive battle in unfavourable circumstances just made matters
    worse as neither thrust was able to make the decisive advances needed
    for success. Worse it left a large gap between the forces and meant the
    flanks had to be guarded by poorly equipped Romanian, Hungarian, and
    Italian troop which the Red Army was able to quickly overcome.

    As you say same problem dogged the Axis forces in North Africa, the
    farther they got from the ports in Libya the worse their logisitics got.
    The failure to neutralise Malta was a major strategic error but Rommel
    was able to convince Hitler that the air forces needed to do so would be better used by the Afrika Corps. The result was that aircraft and
    submarines based in Malta were able to decimate the axis convoys. This
    was the last hurrah of the biplane as Fairey Swordfish aircraft were
    rather successful in night attacks on Axis Convoys. Just 27 aircraft
    were sinking an average of 50,000 tons of axis shipping a month.

    --- Synchronet 3.21a-Linux NewsLink 1.2
  • From Rich Rostrom@rrostrom@comcast.net to soc.history.what-if on Tue Dec 17 17:05:44 2019
    From Newsgroup: soc.history.what-if

    "Jim Wilkins" <muratlanne@gmail.com> wrote:

    Secrets discovered by cryptanalysis needed a credible cover story that
    they had been discovered by other means to keep the enemy from
    changing the code, for example a search plane "happened" to notice and
    be noticed by a located U-boot before it was attacked.

    ULTRA intelligence provided target information for the
    British aircraft at Malta attacking Axis shipping to
    North Africa. However, to protect the source, the air
    command would precede each strike with three search
    missions - one to the known location of the target
    ships, and two to other plausible locations.

    (At least one search mission was needed anyway, to ensure
    that the target actually was there.)

    The extra two missions were to conceal the source from
    Allied personnel. If every strike mission found a target
    with no preliminary search - then everyone in the units
    would figure out that the Allies had advance knowledge.

    Some would fall into enemy hands, be interrogated, and
    perhaps say foolish things about matters that they hadn't
    been briefed and warned on. Others might be transferred
    to other areas where Axis intelligence was operating, and
    "spill the beans" in conversation with civilians.

    One of the great achievements of the war was the work
    of the Special Liaison Units established by Wing
    Commander Winterbotham to deliver ULTRA intelligence
    to operational commanders in the field. Each SLU had
    to make sure that the commander they supplied
    maintained security and carried out cover activities
    as required. Since the commanders far outranked the
    SLU men, this required very delicate managing, but it
    was done successfully.
    --
    Nous sommes dans une pot de chambre, et nous y serons emmerdos.
    --- General Auguste-Alexandre Ducrot at Sedan, 1870.
    --- Synchronet 3.21a-Linux NewsLink 1.2
  • From SolomonW@SolomonW@citi.com to soc.history.what-if,alt.history.what-if,rec.aviation.military on Wed Dec 18 20:11:28 2019
    From Newsgroup: soc.history.what-if

    On Mon, 16 Dec 2019 19:32:18 +0000, Keith Willshaw wrote:

    A similar disaster was looming in Tunisia where PanzerArmee Afrika at
    the the end of another precarious supply chain was being squeezed
    between the British and American armies.

    Probably the most critical loss here was the German Junkers Ju 52 transport fleets, which together with the losses of the German transport fleets at Stalingrad would have disastrous consequences to their Russian campaign.

    --- Synchronet 3.21a-Linux NewsLink 1.2
  • From The Horny Goat@lcraver@home.ca to soc.history.what-if,alt.history.what-if,rec.aviation.military on Wed Dec 18 07:19:55 2019
    From Newsgroup: soc.history.what-if

    On Wed, 18 Dec 2019 20:11:28 +1100, SolomonW <SolomonW@citi.com>
    wrote:

    On Mon, 16 Dec 2019 19:32:18 +0000, Keith Willshaw wrote:

    A similar disaster was looming in Tunisia where PanzerArmee Afrika at
    the the end of another precarious supply chain was being squeezed
    between the British and American armies.

    Probably the most critical loss here was the German Junkers Ju 52 transport >fleets, which together with the losses of the German transport fleets at >Stalingrad would have disastrous consequences to their Russian campaign.

    In which specific battles do you feel this loss was most felt? Tunisia
    was mostly Jan-May 1943 if memory serves. (They had previously lost a
    lot of Ju 52s taking Crete)
    --- Synchronet 3.21a-Linux NewsLink 1.2
  • From Keith Willshaw@keithwillshaw@gmail.com to soc.history.what-if,alt.history.what-if,rec.aviation.military on Wed Dec 18 21:31:19 2019
    From Newsgroup: soc.history.what-if

    On 18/12/2019 15:19, The Horny Goat wrote:
    On Wed, 18 Dec 2019 20:11:28 +1100, SolomonW <SolomonW@citi.com>
    wrote:



    In which specific battles do you feel this loss was most felt? Tunisia
    was mostly Jan-May 1943 if memory serves. (They had previously lost a
    lot of Ju 52s taking Crete)


    The Ju-52's lost at Crete had for the most part been replaced by 1943.
    By the time of the Tunisian Campaign the Germans and Italians had lost
    control of the Mediterranea with over 3000 ships being sunk and the only
    way of resupplying their forces was by air. Building to a peak of around
    150 landings a day in April 1943, not just by JU-52's but also using the
    Me 323 Gigant and He-111

    The allies launched Operation Flax to stop this and the result was a
    slaughter of the Axis air transport fleet. More than 140 were shot down
    in just 2 months culminating in the Palm Sunday Massacre where 24 Ju 52s
    were shot down, and another 35 turned back to Sicily with many of them
    badly damaged.

    In the Stalingrad resupply efforts the Luftwaffe lost around 488
    aircraft of all types including 266 Ju 52, 165 He 111, 42 Ju 86, 9 Fw
    200, 5 He 177 and 1 Ju 290

    Often forgotten was the heavy losses of Ju-52's in the invasion of the Netherlands. The Dutch AA units shot down around 125 and damaged another 47

    There was another force in Africa using the Ju-52, the South African Air Force.

    All up around 4850 Ju-52's were manufactured which sounds impressive
    until you look at the number of C-47's which rolled off the production
    lines (over 15,000)

    KeithW
    --- Synchronet 3.21a-Linux NewsLink 1.2
  • From @@-@-.- to soc.history.what-if,alt.history.what-if,rec.aviation.military on Sun Jan 26 13:18:12 2020
    From Newsgroup: soc.history.what-if

    SolomonW wrote on 2019-12-17 10:49:
    On Mon, 16 Dec 2019 17:14:34 -0600, Byker wrote:

    "a425couple" wrote in message news:qt8cqh091p@news3.newsguy.com...

    In the very cruel math of mass deaths,
    the standing firm was probably best for
    Germany's war effort.
    (But disastrous for the German troops.
    "many died of wounds, disease (particularly typhus), malnutrition
    and maltreatment in the months following capture at Stalingrad: only
    approximately 6,000 of them lived to be repatriated after the war.")
    Judging by their rations, it's a wonder that they survived long enough to
    surrender: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=occOOTk6OKY

    Nice video

    I wonder if concentration camp inmates were better fed...
    Total number of Jews sent to Auschwitz was 1,095,000
    Total number killed was 960,000

    Survival rate 12%

    It was safer to be a Jew in Auschwitz, then a soldier in the sixth army.

    Here is an interesting fact, among those that survived who were captured by the Soviets, was General Paulus, his aides Col. Wilhelm Adam and Lt.-Gen. Arthur Schmidt. All these survived. I bet most of those that survived were officers who had more food in the siege and who had propaganda value for
    the Russians.


    some quote 7300 Auschwitz survivors, though not out of the fake 4
    million total number.


    --- Synchronet 3.21a-Linux NewsLink 1.2
  • From The Horny Goat@lcraver@home.ca to soc.history.what-if,alt.history.what-if,rec.aviation.military on Sun Jan 26 11:47:45 2020
    From Newsgroup: soc.history.what-if

    On Sun, 26 Jan 2020 13:18:12 +0000, "@" <-@-.-> wrote:

    some quote 7300 Auschwitz survivors, though not out of the fake 4
    million total number.

    Bear in mind that in the closing days of the war thousands were
    forcibly marched out of the camps mostly westwards with minimal warm
    clothing or food with the inevitable result that many of the marchers
    died. (This type of forced march wasn't unique to the Nazis - anybody
    who has read Tolstoy's War and Peace will remember the scenes of the
    forced march west of Russian prisoners by the French involving Pierre
    and Platon Karateyev. While obviously War and Peace is fiction,
    Tolstoy didn't conceive the idea of a forced march on his own)

    Most accounts DON'T consider those 'victims of the camps' and
    obviously were not gassed. In the camps liberated by the western
    Allies there were many ex-prisoners whose health had been so
    debilitated by their imprisonment that many did not survive their
    first six months of liberation. These aren't generally counted amongst
    Nazi victims either.
    --- Synchronet 3.21a-Linux NewsLink 1.2
  • From jgd@jgd@cix.co.uk (John Dallman) to soc.history.what-if on Sun Jan 9 15:37:00 2022
    From Newsgroup: soc.history.what-if

    In article <1581qtbwa4qkc.1g4abrbk2ckdj.dlg@40tude.net>,
    SolomonW@citi.com (SolomonW) wrote:

    If say Hitler had ordered the army at Stalingrad to withdraw, the
    German army there would have lost most of its equipment. Many of
    his troops would be lost anyway, many would-be wrecks too sick to
    do any more fighting.

    They might well have lost a lot of equipment, but the men weren't in bad condition at the time of the encirclement. They were by the time of the surrender, but that was a result of several months of very limited
    rations.

    John
    --- Synchronet 3.21a-Linux NewsLink 1.2
  • From jgd@jgd@cix.co.uk (John Dallman) to soc.history.what-if on Sun Jan 9 15:37:00 2022
    From Newsgroup: soc.history.what-if

    In article <qt91fh$h54$1@dont-email.me>, muratlanne@gmail.com (Jim
    Wilkins) wrote:

    Wehrmacht and Luftwaffe plans reached Moscow very quickly,
    sometimes before they arrived at German field units. Only
    operations developed entirely at field headquarters could surprise
    the Soviets.
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lucy_spy_ring

    If a German staff officer was the leak source he took the secret to
    the grave. However;

    "In 1981, it was alleged by Anthony Read and David Fisher that Lucy
    was, at its heart, a British Secret Service operation intended to
    get Ultra information to the Soviets in a convincing way
    untraceable to British codebreaking operations against the Germans."

    There is a nearly-plausible hypothesis that the source was Erich
    Fellgiebel, the head of Heer signals from 1938, and Chief Signal Office
    to OKW 1942-44. He was definitely a member of the resistance within the Wehrmacht.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Erich_Fellgiebel

    The hypothesis is that he arranged for the Lucy ring to have an Enigma
    machine, plus a legitimate German call-sign and a place on signal
    distribution lists. The operators who sent out signals from OKH and OKW
    only saw cipher texts; the people who encoded the signals didn't see distribution lists.

    The problem with this hypothesis is that "Lucy" would need new Enigma key material regularly. The most plausible way to get it to them during
    wartime would be a leak from the German embassy in Berne.

    John
    --- Synchronet 3.21a-Linux NewsLink 1.2
  • From The Horny Goat@lcraver@home.ca to soc.history.what-if on Sun Jan 9 19:53:20 2022
    From Newsgroup: soc.history.what-if

    On Sun, 9 Jan 2022 15:37 +0000 (GMT Standard Time), jgd@cix.co.uk
    (John Dallman) wrote:

    In article <1581qtbwa4qkc.1g4abrbk2ckdj.dlg@40tude.net>,
    SolomonW@citi.com (SolomonW) wrote:

    If say Hitler had ordered the army at Stalingrad to withdraw, the
    German army there would have lost most of its equipment. Many of
    his troops would be lost anyway, many would-be wrecks too sick to
    do any more fighting.

    They might well have lost a lot of equipment, but the men weren't in bad >condition at the time of the encirclement. They were by the time of the >surrender, but that was a result of several months of very limited
    rations.

    I agree with Solomon - 6th Army took a lot of time to die and if the
    air supply effort had been spent supplying a retreating army 6th army
    could have gotten back to the new German front line badly damaged but functional.

    I am skeptical that would have helped the Germans much given the type
    of fighting that was 1943 which was all about mobility and not
    infantry attacks against fixed objectives. It probably WOULD have
    meant survival of 100000 or so German soldiers most of whom in OTL
    ended up dying in the Kolyma and similarly "hospitable" places
    --- Synchronet 3.21a-Linux NewsLink 1.2