From Newsgroup: rec.arts.tv

On Fri, 3 Oct 2025 18:08:26 -0400, Rhino
<no_offline_contact@example.com> wrote:

And that's the Big Problem. The next national election is unlikely until >2029 if Labour chooses to hang on until the last possible minute. We all >know that a lot can change in 4 years so today's polls do NOT make a
good predictor for an election that far in the future. If Reform makes
major mistakes, like proposing policies that are widely abhorrent to
their base or get caught up in corruption scandals, that could cost them >much of their support.

Canadian governing parties that delay the elections as late as
possible tend to get clobbered when the election is called which is
pretty much what happened in 2015 (Justin Trudeau's first win) and
there's no doubt things were looking far worse for JT had his party
not jettisoned him last spring.

My big gripe about Carney is that he presented himself as the man to
deal with Trump but once prime minister he's way more supine than
Starmer or Macron. Obviously I realise US trade with Canada is a
higher percentage of the economy that it is in Europe (where even
outside the EU Britain does at least as much trade with the EU as
Canada does with the US)

I understand that they're dickering but in this round he's already
made a huge concession BEFORE the start of talks - which only
encourages further demands (it would with any president but especially
so with Trump). And no question with the fall of the Canuck buck vs
the US $ the already high inflation isn't going to dip.

I remember 1982 (record 1 year inflation ever) quite well and while I
don't think it's going to reach 20% again it's not dropping anytime
soon and at this point the Canadian economy is in the worst shape of
the G7.

Long run the Canadian economy will be fine but that may not be till
2029.
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