• The real Gaza deal unfolds in the next 72 hours

    From Julian@julianlzb87@gmail.com to alt.buddha.short.fat.guy on Fri Oct 10 16:04:46 2025
    From Newsgroup: alt.buddha.short.fat.guy

    The machine is beginning to turn. The ceasefire agreed between Israel
    and Hamas, brokered with the direct involvement of President Trump, his
    envoy Steve Witkoff, and adviser Jared Kushner, has now formally taken
    effect. Hostages are not yet returned, but the mechanism for their
    release is in place. According to the agreement, Hamas must release all
    20 living hostages within 72 hours. The countdown has begun.

    Israel is redeploying troops along new lines in accordance with the
    terms. American forces, around 200 personnel, are arriving in Israel to support a joint control centre intended to coordinate humanitarian
    logistics and the entry of international actors into Gaza. Crucially,
    these troops will not enter the Strip. Their role is to manage the flow,
    not dictate it.

    This is the deal, or at least the part of it that matters right now. Not
    the clauses about local police forces or the disarmament of jihadist
    groups. Those are, in strategic terms, fictions. They exist for
    political cover, not operational planning. No one serious believes Hamas
    will voluntarily give up its weapons or dissolve itself into some future technocratic Gazan authority. That is no more likely now than it was in
    2006. Hezbollah has still not disarmed in Lebanon. Hamas will not likely disarm in Gaza.

    But those clauses were never the point. They are sweeteners, crafted for
    the Arab states that still need to appear invested in rCythe Palestinian issue,rCO and for Western leaders who require a fantasy ending to sell to their increasingly extremist constituencies. Macron, Starmer, and others
    may cling to the storybook. They need it, politically. But those making
    the deal know what is real. The real deal is the next 72 hours. The
    hostages. The ceasefire. The positioning. Everything else remains to be
    seen.

    This is what Netanyahu has kept in view. Despite two years of war,
    enormous international pressure, and persistent domestic upheaval, he
    has maintained a consistent focus on securing the return of the
    hostages, despite the accusations to the contrary made by his enemies
    and detractors. In his words: rCyWe promised, and we are delivering.rCO The price has been steep. Israel is releasing dozens of convicted
    Palestinian prisoners. It is an appalling exchange on its face. But only
    those insulated from reality would call it unjustified. Two hundred and
    fifty prisoners will be released from Israeli jails. Two hundred and
    thirty killed people, 206 were involved in terror activity. Only ten did
    not commit violence or killing. These are mostly brutal murderers and psychopathic terrorists.

    Among those being freed are men behind some of the bloodiest massacres
    of the Second Intifada. Muhammad Abu Tabikh orchestrated the Megiddo
    Junction bus bombing in 2002, where 17 commuters were torn apart in a
    fireball on their way to work. Muhammad Akel helped plan the Karkur
    Junction attack, in which two suicide bombers blew up a packed bus near Hadera, killing 14 and wounding scores more. And Bahar Badr, a senior
    Hamas operative, tied to multiple atrocities. These are not political prisoners or freedom fighters but men who targeted caf|--goers, students,
    and passengers rCo whose release under this deal underscores the
    unbearable moral arithmetic of hostage diplomacy.

    Israeli journalist Amit Segal has reported that Itamar Ben-Gvir,
    objecting to the deal, asked Jared Kushner if he would have made peace
    with Hitler, telling him rCyHamas is Hitler. They want to kill us.rCO And protestors in the UK and beyond seem determined to keep marching on our streets in defiance of this tough deal. But it is not protestors
    chanting idiocies about rCyliberationrCO who bear the cost of refusing a
    deal. It is the families who would never see their children again. It is
    the soldiers who would be sent to die in search-and-recovery missions
    through booby-trapped tunnels. It is the state, forced to trade away its deterrence to keep its covenant with its people.

    And Israel is making that trade. Because it is serious. Because it
    governs. Because it lives in the world as it is, not as the deluded
    imagine it. Netanyahu himself put it plainly: rCyHamas never agreed to
    release all our hostages while we were inside the StriprCa Hamas agreed to
    the deal only when it felt the sword was at its neck rCo and it still is
    at its neck.rCO That sword is the Israeli army, still positioned across
    Gaza, still controlling strategic points, still ready to resume the
    offensive the moment the deal is broken.

    TrumprCOs role in this must be recognised, especially by those who sneered when he was last in office and cheered the arrival of rCyadult leadershiprCO in Washington when Biden took over. It is Trump, not Biden, whose plan
    now governs the path forward. His team assembled the framework. His
    presence in the region, and his credibility with Netanyahu, enabled the convergence of Arab states, the deployment of a coordinated task force,
    and the final press on Hamas. The rCyadultsrCO of the diplomatic salons were offered their fantasy clauses; the hostages are being brought home under
    terms the real adults dictated.

    This is the harshness of reality. Israel, under Netanyahu, accepted the burden. It resisted calls to retreat, ignored foreign pressure, and
    persisted until Hamas broke. Now, it is executing the most painful phase
    of the plan: prisoner releases, exposure to risk, public scrutiny, all
    for the return of its citizens.

    The hostages are not yet back. The war is not over. But the mechanism
    has begun. The real test is unfolding now. If the hostages return within
    the window, a new stage opens. If Hamas fails, Israel will act,
    unencumbered, justified, and prepared. Everything else is commentary.



    Jonathan Sacerdoti
    --- Synchronet 3.21a-Linux NewsLink 1.2
  • From Noah Sombrero@fedora@fea.st to alt.buddha.short.fat.guy on Fri Oct 10 11:27:43 2025
    From Newsgroup: alt.buddha.short.fat.guy

    On Fri, 10 Oct 2025 16:04:46 +0100, Julian <julianlzb87@gmail.com>
    wrote:

    The machine is beginning to turn. The ceasefire agreed between Israel
    and Hamas, brokered with the direct involvement of President Trump, his >envoy Steve Witkoff, and adviser Jared Kushner, has now formally taken >effect. Hostages are not yet returned, but the mechanism for their
    release is in place. According to the agreement, Hamas must release all
    20 living hostages within 72 hours. The countdown has begun.

    Israel is redeploying troops along new lines in accordance with the
    terms. American forces, around 200 personnel, are arriving in Israel to >support a joint control centre intended to coordinate humanitarian
    logistics and the entry of international actors into Gaza. Crucially,
    these troops will not enter the Strip. Their role is to manage the flow,
    not dictate it.

    This is the deal, or at least the part of it that matters right now. Not
    the clauses about local police forces or the disarmament of jihadist
    groups. Those are, in strategic terms, fictions. They exist for
    political cover, not operational planning. No one serious believes Hamas >will voluntarily give up its weapons or dissolve itself into some future >technocratic Gazan authority. That is no more likely now than it was in >2006. Hezbollah has still not disarmed in Lebanon. Hamas will not likely >disarm in Gaza.

    True peace has not been declared. Surrender has not been declared.
    Ceasefire has been declared. Which can always be followed by commence
    firing. IDF has retreated to a line. Not returned to israel, not
    dispersed.

    But we need not be so cynical.

    Not necessarily:
    Those are, in strategic terms, fictions.
    They are sweeteners, crafted for the Arab states

    As you say below
    Everything else remains to be seen.

    But you needed to put your cynicism out there. yizzat?

    But those clauses were never the point. They are sweeteners, crafted for
    the Arab states that still need to appear invested in athe Palestinian >issue,A and for Western leaders who require a fantasy ending to sell to >their increasingly extremist constituencies. Macron, Starmer, and others
    may cling to the storybook. They need it, politically. But those making
    the deal know what is real. The real deal is the next 72 hours. The >hostages. The ceasefire. The positioning. Everything else remains to be >seen.

    This is what Netanyahu has kept in view. Despite two years of war,
    enormous international pressure, and persistent domestic upheaval, he
    has maintained a consistent focus on securing the return of the
    hostages, despite the accusations to the contrary made by his enemies
    and detractors. In his words: aWe promised, and we are delivering.A The >price has been steep. Israel is releasing dozens of convicted
    Palestinian prisoners. It is an appalling exchange on its face. But only >those insulated from reality would call it unjustified. Two hundred and >fifty prisoners will be released from Israeli jails. Two hundred and
    thirty killed people, 206 were involved in terror activity. Only ten did
    not commit violence or killing. These are mostly brutal murderers and >psychopathic terrorists.

    Among those being freed are men behind some of the bloodiest massacres
    of the Second Intifada. Muhammad Abu Tabikh orchestrated the Megiddo >Junction bus bombing in 2002, where 17 commuters were torn apart in a >fireball on their way to work. Muhammad Akel helped plan the Karkur
    Junction attack, in which two suicide bombers blew up a packed bus near >Hadera, killing 14 and wounding scores more. And Bahar Badr, a senior
    Hamas operative, tied to multiple atrocities. These are not political >prisoners or freedom fighters but men who targeted cafo-goers, students,
    and passengers u whose release under this deal underscores the
    unbearable moral arithmetic of hostage diplomacy.

    Israeli journalist Amit Segal has reported that Itamar Ben-Gvir,
    objecting to the deal, asked Jared Kushner if he would have made peace
    with Hitler, telling him aHamas is Hitler. They want to kill us.A And >protestors in the UK and beyond seem determined to keep marching on our >streets in defiance of this tough deal. But it is not protestors
    chanting idiocies about aliberationA who bear the cost of refusing a
    deal. It is the families who would never see their children again. It is
    the soldiers who would be sent to die in search-and-recovery missions >through booby-trapped tunnels. It is the state, forced to trade away its >deterrence to keep its covenant with its people.

    And Israel is making that trade. Because it is serious. Because it
    governs. Because it lives in the world as it is, not as the deluded
    imagine it. Netanyahu himself put it plainly: aHamas never agreed to
    release all our hostages while we were inside the Stripa Hamas agreed to
    the deal only when it felt the sword was at its neck u and it still is
    at its neck.A That sword is the Israeli army, still positioned across
    Gaza, still controlling strategic points, still ready to resume the >offensive the moment the deal is broken.

    TrumpAs role in this must be recognised, especially by those who sneered >when he was last in office and cheered the arrival of aadult leadershipA
    in Washington when Biden took over. It is Trump, not Biden, whose plan
    now governs the path forward. His team assembled the framework. His
    presence in the region, and his credibility with Netanyahu, enabled the >convergence of Arab states, the deployment of a coordinated task force,
    and the final press on Hamas. The aadultsA of the diplomatic salons were >offered their fantasy clauses; the hostages are being brought home under >terms the real adults dictated.

    This is the harshness of reality. Israel, under Netanyahu, accepted the >burden. It resisted calls to retreat, ignored foreign pressure, and >persisted until Hamas broke. Now, it is executing the most painful phase
    of the plan: prisoner releases, exposure to risk, public scrutiny, all
    for the return of its citizens.

    The hostages are not yet back. The war is not over. But the mechanism
    has begun. The real test is unfolding now. If the hostages return within
    the window, a new stage opens. If Hamas fails, Israel will act, >unencumbered, justified, and prepared. Everything else is commentary.



    Jonathan Sacerdoti
    --
    Noah Sombrero mustachioed villain
    Don't get political with me young man
    or I'll tie you to a railroad track and
    <<<talk>>> to <<<YOOooooo>>>
    Who dares to talk to El Sombrero?
    dares: Ned
    does not dare: Julian shrinks in horror and warns others away

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