XPost: rec.radio.amateur.space, rec.radio.shortwave, rec.radio.info

:Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2024 Aug 05 0210 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/content/subscription-services
#
# Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity
29 July - 04 August 2024

Solar activity was at high levels throughout the period. A total of
63 M-flares (51 R1-Minor events, 12 R2-Moderate events) and one
X-flare (R3-Strong event) were observed during the course of the
week from 13 unique regions. The largest event was an impulsive
X1.5/2b flare at 29/0237 UTC, with associated 300 sfu Tenflare and
535 km/s Type-II sweep, from Region 3766.

No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at
normal to moderate levels.

Geomagnetic field activity reached G1 (Minor) storm levels on 30
Jul-01 Aug due to the arrival and passage of multiple CMEs that left
the Sun over 27-29 Jul. G1-G3 (Minor-Strong) storm periods were
observed on 04 Aug following the arrival of a CME that left the Sun
on 01 Aug. Quiet and quiet to unsettled levels were observed
throughout the remainder of the period.

Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity
05 August - 31 August 2024

Solar activity is expected to be at moderate to high levels
throughout the outlook period. M-class flares are expected with a
chance for X-class flares through 31 Aug.

There is a slight chance for S1 (Minor) solar radiation storms
throughout the outlook period.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is
expected to be at normal to moderate levels.

An Isolated period of G1 (Minor) storms are possible on 05 Aug due
to waning CME influences. Geomagnetic field activity is expected to
be mostly quiet and quiet to unsettled over 06-31 Aug.

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