• Nikki Haley's (very slim) Chances of Becoming President Suddenly Surge

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    from https://www.newsweek.com/nikki-haleys-chances-becoming-president-suddenly-surge-bookmakers-1936831

    Nikki Haley's Chances of Becoming President Suddenly Surge With Bookmakers Published Aug 09, 2024 at 5:15 AM EDT
    Updated Aug 09, 2024 at 12:32 PM EDT

    01:02
    Nikki Haley's Chances Of Becoming President Suddenly Surge With Bookmakers
    By James Bickerton
    US News Reporter
    FOLLOW
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    The odds on former South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley winning the 2024 presidential election have improved sharply over the past few days,
    according to a leading bookmaker, after social media speculation that
    Donald Trump could follow the example set by President Joe Biden and
    drop out of the contest.

    On August 6, William Hill, a betting company in the U.K., offered odds
    of 250/1 (0.4 percent) on Haley being elected president in November, but
    these were slashed to 50/1 (2 percent) on Thursday. A William Hill
    spokesperson suggested these odds are premised on Haley replacing Trump
    as the Republican candidate rather than running as an independent.

    Haley, who served as U.S. ambassador to the U.N. under Trump, ran for
    the 2024 Republican presidential nomination but was defeated by her
    former boss. However, on August 1, Anthony Scaramucci, who briefly
    served as Trump's White House communications director in July 2017,
    suggested the 2024 Republican presidential nominee "may leave the race," adding, "Just watch his poll numbers plummet and see what happens."

    Speaking to Newsweek on Thursday, William Hill spokesperson Lee Phelps
    said: "There have been numerous twists in the race for the U.S.
    presidency already, and we could be seeing another big one developing as momentum builds behind Republican Nikki Haley in the market.

    "The former governor of South Carolina—who exited the race in March—was
    a no-hoper at 250/1 on Tuesday, but we've seen good support for her in
    the last 48 hours, so much so that she has shortened all the way into 50/1.

    "It's too early to say whether we could be seeing a move within the
    Republican Party to replace Donald Trump, but interestingly, the former president is weak in the market, and there is now nothing to split him
    and Kamala Harris at 10/11."

    Nikki Haley
    Former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley at the Republican National Convention
    at the Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee on July 16. On Thursday, William Hill
    offered odds of 50/1 on Haley winning the 2024 presidential election.
    CHIP SOMODEVILLA/GETTY
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    Haley, who ended her presidential campaign in March after a string of
    Super Tuesday losses, has not given any indication that she seeks to
    replace Trump as the official Republican nominee. Newsweek contacted representatives of Haley and Trump's 2024 presidential election campaign
    for comment by email outside regular office hours.

    On Thursday, William Hill also offered odds of 11/2 (15.4 percent) on
    Haley becoming the 2024 Republican vice presidential candidate should
    Ohio Senator JD Vance be replaced, compared with 12/1 (7.7 percent) at
    the end of July.

    Before she dropped out of the GOP presidential primary, Haley won 95
    Republican National Convention delegates, more than any other candidate
    besides Trump, who secured victory with more than 2,200 delegates.


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    On July 21, Biden, who had been the Democratic Party's presumptive 2024 presidential candidate, stepped down from the race and endorsed Harris, following a wave of concern over the 81-year-old's age and mental agility.

    In the weeks since, Harris has outperformed Trump, whom Biden had
    generally been trailing, in over a dozen polls. According to leading bookmakers, she has become the favorite to win in November.

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