• A SURVEY OF UFOLOGISTS AN

    From Wes Thomas@RICKSBBS to all on Wed Dec 4 07:00:00 2024

    A SURVEY OF UFOLOGISTS AND THEIR BELIEFS IN UNEXPLAINED PHENOMENA

    by Donald A. Johnson, Ph.D.
    P.O. Box 161, Kirkland, WA 98083-0161
    MUFON Consultant in Research Psychology

    In order to learn what beliefs UFOlogists hold about
    paranormal phenomena--particularly parapsychological phenomena--and
    to determine whether a relationship exists between witnessing UFO
    events and belief in psychic abilities, I conducted a small survey
    of attendees of the 1983 MUFON Symposium, held in Pasadena,
    California. This report presents the results from that survey.

    There were three things I hoped to accomplish by conducting
    this survey. The first goal was mainly descriptive: to determine
    what pattern of beliefs exists among UFOlogists in the various
    paranomal phenomena listed in the questionnaire. I thought it
    would be interesting to find out to what degree these beliefs
    differ from those held by the general public. The comparison data
    was supplied by a survey of 1553 adults conducted by the Gallup
    Poll in February 1978. The results were reported by Jeff Sobal and
    Charles Emmons in the Zetetic Scholar (1).

    The second purpose of the survey was to discover if UFO
    witnesses differ significantly from non-witnesses in their beliefs
    in unexplained phenomena, and especially to determine whether UFO
    witnesses have higher rates of belief in unexplained phenomena.
    Such a finding, if replicated, might lead to the conclusion that
    UFO witnesses, as a group, have a lower threshold of acceptance for
    phenomena not recognized or explained by current scientific
    paradigms. It could suggest that they are less skeptical and more
    credulous than non-witnesses. Evidence of this kind would tend to
    cast doubt on the validity of at least some UFO eyewitness
    testimony, because the ability of these observers to distinguish
    inexplicable phenomena from everyday events would be called into
    question.

    The third objective was to test the hypothesis that a
    relationship exists between belief in ones own psychic abilities
    and the witnessing of UFO phenomena. A correspondence between
    belief in psychic ability and witnessing UFO events has been
    hypothesized by a number of authors, and some tentative evidence to
    support such a relationship was presented by Benton Jamison (2) at
    the 1976 C.U.F.O.S. Conference. This relationship, should it
    exist, could have a variety of causes. It could be that greater
    open-mindedness and perceptiveness on the part of psychic UFO
    witnesses allows them to witness possibly paranormal aspects of the
    UFO phenomena, it might be that psychic individuals are selected to
    witness UFO events, or it could be that so-called "psychics" are
    simply more gullible and more easily fooled by misperceived stimuli.

    The survey was designed to elicit beliefs about UFOs and other
    unexplained phenonena. Two hundred questionnaires were distributed
    at the conference, and 70 completed questionnaires were returned,
    representing a 35% response rate. However, some of the
    participants were allowed to take and keep an extra copy of the
    questionnaire, so the actual participation rate may be higher.
    Since this is a "convenience" sample and not a true probability
    sample of UFO researchers, inferences about the generalizability of
    the results are generally not warranted. However, it is my opinion
    that the answers provided by the sample probably reflect the views
    of a sub-population of those individuals indentified as
    "UFOlogists". This group consists of those people with enough
    interest in the UFO phenomenon to attend a conference, and with
    sufficient interest in the general purposes of this survey to
    participate.

    The questionnaire consisted of two brief paragraphs describing
    the study, three questions on respondent's beliefs regarding the
    UFO phenomenon, twelve questions on other unexplained phenomena
    drawn from the Gallup Poll survey, four questions on belief in
    one's own psychic abilities, and two questions on how often the
    respondent had witnessed a UFO. All questionnaires were completed
    anonymously. In addition to completing the above mentioned items,
    participants were asked to supply information about their age, sex,
    race, education, and marital status.

    A few survey participants objected to using the term "belief"
    to define their opinions about the existence of paranormal
    phenomena. While I readily concede that the word is not the best
    choice of terms because of the religious connotation associated
    with its use, it was necessary to retain the terminology used by
    the Gallup Poll to insure comparability with their results. I
    don't believe that it interfered with anyone's interpretation of
    the meaning of the questions.

    Results. Nearly two-thirds of the respondents were male, and
    the sample was nearly equally split between married (49%) and
    unmarried (51%) individuals. Ninety-one percent listed their
    racial or ethnic group as White, while 3% were Hispanic, 3% Black,
    and 3% Asian. Two of the Black respondents also indicated they
    were part American Indian. Only two of the respondents were
    younger than thirty. In general, survey participants tended to be
    middle-aged and very well educated, as Table 1 shows. Almost half
    (46%) of the respondents had witnessed at least one UFO, and
    one-third reported having seen UFOs on more than one occasion.

    Table 1

    Age and Education of MUFON Respondents

    Age Category Percent

    18-29 years 3
    30-49 years 24
    40-49 years 30
    50-64 years 28
    65 years and over 15
    ---
    100%

    Educational level

    11 years or less 0
    12 years 8
    13-15 years 25
    16 years 28
    17 years or more 39
    ---
    100%

    If we assume that the sample of UFOlogists is truely
    representative of a larger population, than we can disregard for
    the moment the inappropriateness of applying statistical tests to
    the results of a "convenience" sample. Concerning the first goal
    of the survey, it turns out that UFOlogists can be categorized as
    similar to the general public in their beliefs in paranormal
    activity, except that they are significantly less likely to believe
    in angels, devils, and astrology, and significantly more likely to
    believe in evidence for psychic phenomena and the existence of
    valid cryptozoologic claims. Table 2 presents the results of the
    beliefs questions.

    Table 2

    Belief in UFOs and Other Unexplained Phenomena by MUFON Sample

    Percent of Respondents
    No ? Yes
    UFOs are real rather than imaginary 1 3 96 100%
    UFOs are intelligently controlled
    devices 6 8 86 100%
    UFOs are extraterrestrial visitors 4 26 70 100%

    Do you believe in:
    Angels 48 24 26 100%
    Devils 59 28 13 100%
    Life After Death 18 19 63 100%
    Loch Ness Monster 13 46 41 100%
    Bigfoot (Sasquatch) 10 52 38 100%
    Witches 62 23 15 100%
    Ghosts 38 31 31 100%
    Astrology 63 21 16 100%
    ESP 9 23 68 100%
    Precognition 11 25 64 100%
    Deja vu 14 41 45 100%
    Clairvoyance 16 25 58 100%

    In general, the Gallup Poll results reveal that the more
    education one has the more likely one is to believe in psychic
    abilities. When compared to only those with college training, the
    differences in belief in psychic phenomena become less noticeable.
    Belief in precognition and clairvoyance are still significantly
    more common among UFOlogists than among the college trained general
    public, but no significant differences remain for "ESP" or "deja
    vu".

    The results on whether UFOlogists who report having seen a UFO
    differ in their beliefs from UFOlogists who have never had a UFO
    sighting are not definitive. On the one hand, there was a trend
    among some who have witnessed the UFO phenomenon to be less
    critical of other unexplained phenomenon. However, the sample size
    is not sufficient to make any conclusions about that trend. The
    data are reported in Table 3. The data are presented in two ways:
    with the percentage who had responded "yes" to each of the "do you
    believe in" statements; and as an average of the numeric values of
    the responses, with "no" coded 1, "?" coded 2, and "yes" coded 3.
    There were 31 who reported having had at least one UFO sighting and
    36 who reported not having had any sightings.

    Table 3

    Comparison of the beliefs of UFO witnesses and non-witnesses

    Witnesses Non-witnesses
    % Yes Ave. % Yes Ave.
    UFOs are real rather than imaginary 100 3.00 92 2.89
    UFOs are intelligently controlled
    devices 94 2.90 78 2.69
    UFOs are extraterrestrial visitors 77 2.77 61 2.52

    Do you believe in:
    Angels 43 2.17 17 1.56
    Devils 21 1.75 8 1.42
    Life After Death 76 2.66 51 2.29
    Loch Ness Monster 48 2.41 36 2.19
    Bigfoot 50 2.43 31 2.19
    Witches 24 1.76 8 1.36
    Ghosts 45 2.17 22 1.81
    Astrology 21 1.66 14 1.47
    ESP 73 2.63 64 2.56
    Precognition 69 2.58 63 2.54
    Deja vu 54 2.39 40 2.29
    Clairvoyance 68 2.54 53 2.39

    The differences between the two groups were greatest for
    beliefs in religious phenomena such as angels and life after death,
    and for the "Halloween" associated phenomena of ghosts and
    witches. While these differences prove nothing, they do suggest
    that the non-witnesses show more skepticism in general, which might
    lead one to infer that they also have a higher threshold for
    rejecting unusual phenomena they personally observe as lacking a
    mundane explanation. Conversely, it may also be seen as evidence
    suggesting that at least some UFO witnesses are less skeptical and
    more credulous that non-witnesses. In one respect, "seeing" does
    seem to equate with "believing": respondents who had witnessed
    UFOs more than once were significantly more likely to say that UFOs
    are extraterrestrial visitors (87%) than those who had never
    witnessed the UFO phenomenon or had witnessed it only once (59%).

    There were no significant differences between a belief in ones
    own psychic abilities and whether or not one has personally
    witnessed the UFO phenomenon. Table 4 displays these results for
    both witnesses and non-witnesses. However, there were significant
    differences for the number of UFO encounters for both belief in
    pre-cognition ability and psychokinesis ability. Those who
    responded yes to the pre-cognition question reported an average of
    2.9 UFO sightings compared to an average of one UFO sighting for
    the remainder of the sample. Those who felt they had an ability
    with psychokinesis reportedly had seen UFOs an average of 3.33
    times, compared to 1.1 times for those who said they did not have
    the ability or weren't sure.



    Table 4

    Comparison of the psychic ability beliefs of
    UFO witnesses and non-witnesses

    Witnesses Non-witnesses
    % Yes Ave. % Yes Ave.
    Believe have some ability to gain
    extra-sensory perceptions (ESP) of
    thoughts and feelings of other
    people (telepathy)? 48 2.32 53 2.25

    Believe have some ability to gain
    impressions of events or objects
    which are outside usual environ-
    ment (clairvoyance)? 45 2.10 36 1.92

    Believe have some ability to gain
    impressions of future events
    (pre-cognition)? 42 2.16 33 1.86

    Believe have some ability to
    influence the physical environment
    around you (psychokinesis or "mind
    over matter")? 27 1.76 19 1.64


    This last finding is interesting, but it is certainly
    preliminary and open to a wide variety of interpretations. As I
    mentioned previously, "psychics" may simply be more gullible and
    more apt to misinterpret ambiguous stimuli, or it might be that
    they are actually more perceptive and that this perceptiveness has
    some relation to the UFO phenomenon. Before we lend further
    credence to this latter interpretation it would behoove us to test
    these individuals under controlled, laboratory conditions; to
    determine whether these abilities can indeed be proven to exist.

    References

    (1) Sobal, Jeff and Charles F. Emmons (1982). Patterns of belief
    in religious, psychic and other paranormal phenomena,
    Zetetic Scholar, no. 9 (March 1982), pp. 7-17.

    (2) Jamison, Benton (1976). Some proposals: Modest, immodest,
    and maybe fundable. In Nancy Dourbos (ed.), Proceedings
    of the 1976 CUFOS Conference. Evanston, IL: Center for
    UFO Studies, pp. 119-132.


    telnet://ricksbbs.synchro.net:23
    ---
    ■ Synchronet ■ Rick's BBS - telnet://ricksbbs.synchro.net:23