• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2219

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Fri Nov 8 12:23:45 2024
    ACUS11 KWNS 081223
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 081223=20
    KSZ000-OKZ000-COZ000-TXZ000-NMZ000-081630-

    Mesoscale Discussion 2219
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0623 AM CST Fri Nov 08 2024

    Areas affected...southeast Colorado...far northeast New Mexico...and
    the western OK Panhandle.

    Concerning...Heavy snow=20

    Valid 081223Z - 081630Z

    SUMMARY...Heavy snow will develop across southeast Colorado and
    vicinity this morning.

    DISCUSSION...An upper-level low across New Mexico has started to
    become negatively tilted this morning. As this has occurred, a broad
    region of ascent has overspread the southern Plains, evidenced by
    widespread lightning activity. In addition, strong frontogenesis
    across the Texas Panhandle has resulted in a more focused region of
    ascent. The heavier precipitation associated with this enhanced area
    of UVV will migrate northwestward into the cold airmass across
    southeast Colorado over the next few hours. In addition, a easterly
    low-level jet, currently around 35 knots (per DDC VWP) and expected
    to strengthen to around 45 knots, will result in strengthening
    isentropic ascent. The combination of these factors will result in a
    favorable region across southeast Colorado and vicinity with
    snowfall rates of 1 to 2 inches per hour, likely starting between
    13Z and 14Z.

    ..Bentley.. 11/08/2024

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!7NmvQLFgkj4nsxR13Plfk-zmAHETpfk3IDbTPqwJi3L_wLJkQqwpvNMLQ2OeiFXZpZqKu1jbg= mHVc0IpRJ6qpvf1a5M$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...DDC...GLD...AMA...PUB...BOU...ABQ...

    LAT...LON 36440403 37140450 38360471 38920453 39550311 39530235
    39220194 38040196 36830208 36290236 36020315 36440403=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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