ACUS11 KWNS 161129
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 161128=20
GAZ000-FLZ000-161300-

Mesoscale Discussion 0222
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0628 AM CDT Sun Mar 16 2025

Areas affected...North Florida and southeast Georgia

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely=20

Valid 161128Z - 161300Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent

SUMMARY...A broken band of storms will spread eastward into
southeast Georgia and north Florida through late morning. A new
tornado watch appears likely.

DISCUSSION...A broken band of storms has persisted overnight from
south central GA into the eastern FL Panhandle, with
occasional/embedded supercell structures. Low-level moistening over
the next few hours and the onset of diurnal heating will drive
destabilization across north FL/southeast GA later this morning.=20
Though the low-level jet core will develop northeastward toward the
Carolinas through the day, low-level flow/shear will remain
sufficiently strong to support additional supercells through the
morning across north FL/southeast GA. The storms will remain
capable of producing occasional damaging winds and possibly a couple
of tornadoes, and a new tornado watch will likely be needed from
12-13z.

..Thompson/Smith.. 03/16/2025

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!-P6FAEjODZ6iW2v_P1hNKW8XweshlwyKGu3RKhV0lOe4z7TACHwDHyV88518acwYmbUzp0AfE= NBNuHxK9Hk7j6LmwD8$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...CHS...TBW...JAX...TAE...

LAT...LON 31288133 30368164 29908202 29548247 29388309 29388323
29808337 30538324 31158280 31698236 31748192 31288133=20


=3D =3D =3D
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