ACUS11 KWNS 152057
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 152056=20
TNZ000-VAZ000-NCZ000-KYZ000-152230-

Mesoscale Discussion 0212
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0356 PM CDT Sat Mar 15 2025

Areas affected...portions of middle into eastern Tennessee

Concerning...Tornado Watch 47...

Valid 152056Z - 152230Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 47 continues.

SUMMARY...The severe threat may continue downstream of Tornado Watch
47 into eastern TN. An additional WW issuance may be needed
downstream pending favorable convective trends.

DISCUSSION...A QLCS continues to progress across Middle TN, and is
approaching the eastern bounds of Tornado Watch 47. Downstream,
surface observations show surface temperatures exceeding 70 F amid
upper 40s to low 50s dewpoints. Given 20+ F surface
temperature/dewpoint spreads, a deeper, potentially drier boundary
layer may be in place, which may augment damaging gust potential.
Given large, clockwise curved hodographs (per regional VADs), QLCS
tornado potential may also exist. As such, a downstream WW issuance
may be needed if QLCS organization and intensity persists or
especially increases.

..Squitieri/Gleason.. 03/15/2025

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!7k6lr1iAdiRZOq_EtJYKx2EeC23-gBarKaiTerWfCFSOSMVuwV1EU4hQVBo31nDSEcFQEMxoi= w3WYun_ah_goES5ACk$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...GSP...MRX...JKL...OHX...HUN...

LAT...LON 35028645 35918587 36418547 36638440 36578308 36378283
35978310 35658359 35298407 35048460 35028645=20


=3D =3D =3D
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)